Phony-Detainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$222

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-09 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$7

Politics

26% 0% $-5

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		-25	$-1	4¢	$-1	+$0	07-09 20:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	4	$77	110	110	+0	open	—	05-15 12:34
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$37	23	23	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 11:37
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-13 15:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$12	31	0	+31	open	—	05-24 20:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$11	17	17	+0	open	—	05-13 05:39
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$11	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-15 12:49
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$7	33	33	+0	open	—	05-12 18:43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-24 20:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-24 20:02
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-12 18:52
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	2	$5	64	64	+0	open	—	05-13 12:45
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	2	$3	172	172	+0	open	—	05-12 09:00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	2	$3	242	0	+242	Yes	$-3	05-12 11:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	05-10 09:40
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	$-2	05-10 09:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$2	154	0	+154	open	—	05-10 09:42
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	2	$2	100	100	+0	open	—	05-13 12:46
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	05-16 08:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$1	40	0	+40	open	—	05-10 11:20
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 21:51
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$1	76	0	+76	open	—	05-13 05:37
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$1	155	0	+155	open	—	05-13 05:38
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 05:38
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	05-10 09:48
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-10 09:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$1	0	25	-25	open	—	07-09 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:40:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x36520d…
05-24 20:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x710662…
05-24 20:02:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa0f464…
05-24 20:02:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf4bbed…
05-16 19:49:39	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xdd5427…
05-16 08:57:11	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x29e6bc…
05-15 12:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb02a02…
05-15 12:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd8c579…
05-15 12:36:16	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9d1a76…
05-15 12:34:56	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	110	48¢	$53	0xaab12f…
05-13 15:53:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x7a2d06…
05-13 12:46:16	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6674c4…
05-13 12:45:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x19fe55…
05-13 12:44:24	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe57f8a…
05-13 05:39:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xd534e8…
05-13 05:38:34	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x344742…
05-13 05:38:04	Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$1	0x796044…
05-13 05:38:01	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x20f174…
05-13 05:37:57	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x9fc5a6…
05-12 21:51:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ad2de…
05-12 18:52:30	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x11447c…
05-12 18:52:05	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe5398b…
05-12 18:43:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x0b3110…
05-12 14:51:44	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e28be…
05-12 11:41:25	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd0a2ae…
05-12 11:37:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x0dadb3…
05-12 09:00:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	1¢	$2	0x59e0db…
05-10 11:21:00	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x983070…
05-10 11:20:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x20ac29…
05-10 09:52:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0xb0396f…
05-10 09:52:16	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xd66758…
05-10 09:48:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa6c9f9…
05-10 09:48:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x089b96…
05-10 09:48:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x624557…
05-10 09:46:02	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf96e97…
05-10 09:43:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x978686…
05-10 09:42:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xa97302…
05-10 09:41:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcdfcda…
05-10 09:41:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xea52c3…
05-10 09:40:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x2077b3…