Robust-Lantern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-14 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 64% $-94

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$216	118	118	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 21:14
btc updown 5m 1776228300	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 04:49
btc updown 5m 1776228000	2	$181	97	96	+1	open	—	04-15 04:45
btc updown 5m 1776227700	2	$152	89	87	+2	open	—	04-15 04:40
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	5	$140	158	155	+3	open	—	04-14 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$121	132	114	+18	Down	$-99	05-13 21:50
btc updown 5m 1776228600	2	$120	169	164	+5	open	—	04-15 04:54
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$114	68	67	+1	open	—	04-14 21:02
sea mil udi 2026 04 11 udi	2	$99	72	72	+1	open	—	04-11 16:50
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$82	230	225	+5	open	—	04-14 17:02
btc updown 5m 1776230100	4	$63	82	78	+3	open	—	04-15 05:20
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	2	$59	98	95	+2	open	—	04-14 19:51
btc updown 5m 1776230700	2	$54	43	41	+2	open	—	04-15 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$42	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776231000	2	$39	54	0	+54	open	—	04-15 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$19	51	51	+0	Down	$-13	05-13 21:57
sol updown 15m 1770171300	3	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-04 02:27
solana up or down february 3 9pm et	1	$14	420	0	+420	open	—	02-04 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	$-10	05-13 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-14 03:00
sol updown 15m 1770147900	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	02-03 19:51
sol updown 15m 1770148800	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	02-03 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x77b1d0…
05-14 02:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc54190…
05-14 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x03fb49…
05-13 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0xffde89…
05-13 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0x3cd7a7…
05-13 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb91d17…
05-13 21:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x6c8bba…
05-13 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	96	8¢	$8	0x9b3fc1…
05-13 21:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x9cc346…
05-13 21:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x38fcd8…
05-13 21:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2b8af7…
05-13 21:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0xe8466e…
05-13 21:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x3bd1bd…
05-13 20:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x168d3d…
05-13 20:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0e9a7f…
05-13 20:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x56adf8…
05-13 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xb149d8…
05-13 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x9585e5…
05-13 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x102c09…
05-13 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x14d4ba…
05-13 18:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1635e7…
05-13 18:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56b129…
04-15 05:33:10	btc updown 5m 1776231000	Down	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0xe6850e…
04-15 05:32:42	btc updown 5m 1776231000	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5a9d61…
04-15 05:28:58	btc updown 5m 1776230700	Down	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x6d1072…
04-15 05:26:10	btc updown 5m 1776230700	Down	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x6558ab…
04-15 05:20:12	btc updown 5m 1776230100	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x515e35…
04-15 05:19:22	btc updown 5m 1776230100	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x56e2a6…
04-15 05:17:28	btc updown 5m 1776230100	Down	SELL	63	23¢	$15	0xbf23ae…
04-15 05:16:08	btc updown 5m 1776230100	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x86baee…
04-15 04:54:56	btc updown 5m 1776228600	Down	SELL	164	13¢	$21	0x6047c3…
04-15 04:52:52	btc updown 5m 1776228600	Down	BUY	169	58¢	$99	0xcfcbf4…
04-15 04:49:48	btc updown 5m 1776228300	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x37789d…
04-15 04:49:06	btc updown 5m 1776228300	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3f1c8d…
04-15 04:45:10	btc updown 5m 1776228000	Up	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x838715…
04-15 04:44:22	btc updown 5m 1776228000	Up	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xf554f7…
04-15 04:40:10	btc updown 5m 1776227700	Up	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xc432b5…
04-15 04:38:34	btc updown 5m 1776227700	Up	BUY	89	75¢	$66	0xb34cba…
04-14 21:02:20	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xd246f6…
04-14 20:49:24	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	68	70¢	$47	0xad905f…
04-14 20:36:48	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0xffd0e6…
04-14 19:58:54	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0xdd7e36…
04-14 19:51:20	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	SELL	95	31¢	$30	0x6d720f…
04-14 19:45:40	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	98	30¢	$29	0xec44d7…
04-14 19:43:52	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	75	37¢	$28	0x3b5e5c…
04-14 19:42:30	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x83bdb4…
04-14 19:32:50	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0xbf8a95…
04-14 17:02:04	cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	225	15¢	$34	0xc78b9c…
04-14 16:42:56	cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	230	21¢	$48	0x7022d1…
04-11 16:50:27	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 udi	Yes	SELL	72	68¢	$49	0x9e6efa…
04-11 16:48:27	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 udi	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x4b0622…
02-04 02:45:26	solana up or down february 3 9pm et	Up	BUY	420	3¢	$14	0x86f60c…
02-04 02:27:28	sol updown 15m 1770171300	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x0f7335…
02-04 02:23:46	sol updown 15m 1770171300	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x478bcd…
02-04 02:23:44	sol updown 15m 1770171300	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8e2ba5…
02-03 20:02:36	sol updown 15m 1770148800	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc09798…
02-03 19:51:36	sol updown 15m 1770147900	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb9bce5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	21	$8.07K	993	05-14 03:02
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	21	$6.11K	796	05-14 03:02
Joyful-Algorithm 0xf16a…f999	20	$601	45	05-14 03:00
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	19	$1.80K	233	05-14 03:00
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	18	$47.4K	6,069	05-14 03:04
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	18	$18.8K	1,894	05-14 03:03
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	18	$14.6K	205	05-14 03:02
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$14.4K	644	05-14 03:01