Hospitable-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$182

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-13 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 54% $-5

Politics

11% 100% +$2

Other

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	05-03 17:06
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	05-04 15:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	05-07 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-04 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-04 20:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-07 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 11:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-04 20:07
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 21:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 18:09
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 21:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-07 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 01:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 01:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-04 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-07 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 01:10:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9cc62c…
05-13 01:10:21	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9597ab…
05-13 01:10:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d3ff0…
05-07 22:10:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8795e2…
05-07 22:08:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xee04a0…
05-07 22:05:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x70ae70…
05-07 21:57:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa89698…
05-07 21:57:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xefb551…
05-07 21:56:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x990c59…
05-07 21:50:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2611ac…
05-07 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfe1ae3…
05-07 21:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6dae3d…
05-07 21:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x048de7…
05-07 21:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x23ccd9…
05-07 21:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x20f95d…
05-07 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x013957…
05-07 21:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x88334a…
05-07 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd70984…
05-07 15:12:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x93e7f2…
05-04 21:54:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x520ad1…
05-04 21:45:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ef346…
05-04 21:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3e86a7…
05-04 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9477cd…
05-04 20:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x477403…
05-04 20:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x312ed9…
05-04 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x1fd6d5…
05-04 20:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x14c6b7…
05-04 18:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x31b311…
05-04 18:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1ee0c6…
05-04 18:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6cd1f6…
05-04 17:58:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4d8068…
05-04 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x47ee66…
05-04 17:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf6e8d4…
05-04 17:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x230f34…
05-04 17:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x287251…
05-04 17:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9dd717…
05-04 17:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9a1754…
05-04 16:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x142257…
05-04 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedf159…
05-04 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4555d1…
05-04 16:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x949375…
05-04 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc5204e…
05-04 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0ec558…
05-04 16:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x059c34…
05-04 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6fddc…
05-04 15:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa9393…
05-04 15:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x32a5d7…
05-04 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd27147…
05-04 15:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8787cf…
05-04 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x60c1a3…
05-04 15:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6b1a86…
05-04 14:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8de40c…
05-04 14:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd2955c…
05-04 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbb91d7…
05-04 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb7ec2e…
05-03 17:22:18	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7ce3b0…
05-03 17:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb99624…
05-03 17:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0b8f36…
05-03 16:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x71ac60…
05-03 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0fa1ac…