Cultivated-Lemur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$3.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-10 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

70% — —

Other

15% 100% +$11

Sports

10% 0% $-260

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$1.1K	830	830	+0	open	—	04-25 22:52
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$303	387	181	+205	open	—	04-21 22:46
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$250	303	0	+303	Sean Strickland	$-250	05-10 04:41
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	1	$145	171	0	+171	open	—	04-16 17:07
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$104	171	21	+149	open	—	03-15 18:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$104	102	42	+60	open	—	04-04 21:14
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	6	$95	79	42	+37	open	—	04-02 16:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$85	144	31	+113	open	—	03-08 20:51
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$63	73	73	+0	open	—	04-18 05:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$45	98	0	+98	open	—	03-30 00:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$42	67	67	+0	open	—	04-04 14:21
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$40	143	0	+143	open	—	04-25 22:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	03-01 02:17
btc updown 5m 1772322600	4	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	02-28 23:54
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	03-03 02:24
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	2	$24	84	0	+84	open	—	04-02 16:02
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-02 16:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-19 02:42
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	2	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	03-09 04:51
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-06 19:56
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	03-09 03:51
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-10 13:37
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$20	103	0	+103	open	—	03-10 04:45
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-08 05:01
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$19	21	9	+13	open	—	03-01 07:15
btc updown 5m 1772326500	3	$17	23	10	+14	open	—	03-01 00:58
btc updown 5m 1772325000	3	$16	20	9	+11	open	—	03-01 00:34
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-02 19:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 08:42
btc updown 5m 1772325300	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	03-01 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:41:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0xde7d83…
05-10 04:38:12	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x8b74af…
05-09 23:16:05	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6340a4…
05-09 23:15:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	128	82¢	$105	0xca4e13…
05-06 21:42:10	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xd0d4ad…
04-25 22:53:30	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xee9b30…
04-25 22:52:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0x3bc24d…
04-23 02:11:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xde4d63…
04-22 13:48:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	143	77¢	$110	0x33c644…
04-22 13:12:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	137	60¢	$82	0xe0dc5e…
04-22 13:11:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	199	40¢	$80	0x6c3588…
04-22 12:33:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x77182e…
04-22 12:33:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xbd64d6…
04-22 12:31:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	250	44¢	$109	0x192699…
04-22 11:47:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x72c4ed…
04-21 22:46:38	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xe87df1…
04-21 22:46:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	98	44¢	$43	0x272e7f…
04-21 21:20:26	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0xa08640…
04-21 21:01:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	181	46¢	$83	0x0c922d…
04-21 20:58:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x23540a…
04-21 20:58:18	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x37e0b2…
04-21 20:50:08	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x6bf056…
04-21 20:49:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbce534…
04-21 20:49:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x85ce1d…
04-21 20:49:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x09f555…
04-21 20:47:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x73509a…
04-21 20:47:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf20952…
04-19 08:55:26	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2d0e0b…
04-18 05:48:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0x8ddf8a…
04-18 05:11:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe5aaab…
04-18 01:39:32	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xd86852…
04-16 17:07:36	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	85¢	$145	0x335271…
04-14 03:50:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8c55ac…
04-12 14:49:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x8580c9…
04-07 23:12:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0xe08b70…
04-07 17:25:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9f9cb3…
04-05 05:42:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x43f69c…
04-04 21:14:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x73a3cc…
04-04 19:44:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x1806eb…
04-04 14:21:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0x3c9f39…
04-02 19:36:51	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x87a756…
04-02 16:02:55	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1c9583…
04-02 16:02:33	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x49b7cb…
04-02 16:02:15	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x42de69…
04-02 16:00:31	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x8da8d3…
04-01 08:42:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0e29f1…
04-01 08:40:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x8658a5…
03-30 00:37:58	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x08c35e…
03-30 00:37:30	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x79acd9…
03-30 00:36:48	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x5e0421…
03-25 13:42:17	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x98edd3…
03-23 23:05:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0x5c96e9…
03-23 23:04:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x571a90…
03-19 02:42:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x8e1b0d…
03-19 02:32:53	btc updown 5m 1773887400	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe75009…
03-19 01:59:25	btc updown 5m 1773885300	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1ffa65…
03-18 22:59:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xdfe0e1…
03-17 16:40:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x2f454b…
03-15 18:37:53	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc5d926…
03-13 04:07:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf139d8…
03-12 04:06:09	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2484d6…
03-11 04:39:33	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x71e4c1…
03-10 23:40:23	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf3d3b8…
03-10 17:15:45	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x3b6fce…
03-10 13:37:15	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd5bf94…
03-10 04:45:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x886ca2…
03-09 04:51:43	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x15ac6e…
03-09 04:51:29	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7a619a…
03-09 04:47:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc47b9d…
03-09 03:51:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x370fc3…
03-08 22:37:49	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3dc9a6…
03-08 22:37:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0fa7ee…
03-08 22:37:25	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x71f614…
03-08 22:37:07	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x41834f…
03-08 21:44:31	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xa07ede…
03-08 21:30:03	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd5b64c…
03-08 20:51:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0xc15de6…
03-08 05:57:57	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x743fb8…
03-08 05:35:31	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe3567f…
03-08 05:07:23	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 go the distance	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa79e21…
03-08 05:01:53	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x53f028…
03-08 05:01:15	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x431660…
03-06 18:24:49	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x400f8e…
03-06 03:31:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x93a44a…
03-05 19:44:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc685bd…
03-05 19:44:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeaff64…
03-05 19:43:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x33e621…
03-05 18:55:07	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd0400f…
03-05 18:14:33	kristi noem out by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6dd400…
03-04 17:03:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x696f2f…
03-03 22:55:17	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xecf028…
03-03 22:55:11	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x597a91…
03-03 22:54:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3c749c…
03-03 22:54:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xed928a…
03-03 22:51:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xc6161b…
03-03 02:24:07	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0ba3a3…
03-01 14:44:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x44e04a…
03-01 07:15:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x545278…
03-01 07:15:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7a8040…
03-01 07:06:55	lol tsw dcg 2026 03 01	Team Secret Whales	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5efbc3…