Gregarious-Taxpayer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,454

lifetime

Volume

$50.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

14% 43% $-77

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	42	$3.0K	1,700	1,800	-100	open	—	01-21 03:41
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	15	$2.4K	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	01-03 06:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	26	$1.5K	904	904	+0	open	—	01-18 19:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	23	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	01-30 18:00
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	21	$1.2K	750	750	+0	open	—	01-09 23:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$1.2K	725	725	+0	open	—	02-01 20:04
Will the US strike Iran next?	20	$1.2K	715	615	+100	open	—	01-10 20:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	16	$870	480	480	+0	open	—	01-30 18:01
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	14	$867	500	500	+0	open	—	01-26 14:15
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	23	$845	490	490	+0	open	—	01-13 07:06
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	15	$802	556	486	+69	open	—	01-09 14:35
will the us strike syria next 492	21	$765	466	466	+0	open	—	01-20 13:59
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	8	$734	400	400	+0	open	—	01-25 22:47
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	10	$710	400	400	+0	open	—	01-25 21:54
Will the US strike Iran next?	20	$669	444	408	+35	open	—	01-13 00:04
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	16	$624	388	388	+0	open	—	01-20 14:16
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	19	$620	400	365	+35	open	—	01-19 01:57
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	8	$556	300	327	-27	open	—	01-10 05:37
Will the US strike Syria next?	12	$520	320	320	+0	open	—	01-12 15:31
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	14	$496	300	300	+0	open	—	01-10 14:20
us forces enter iran by january 31	8	$439	240	240	+0	open	—	01-14 01:46
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	30	$429	254	274	-20	open	—	01-19 10:12
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	12	$426	250	250	+0	open	—	01-28 13:40
odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january	6	$387	220	220	+0	open	—	01-26 15:09
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	4	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	01-19 02:53
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	4	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 21:03
Will the US strike Iran next?	19	$337	200	200	+0	open	—	02-01 15:50
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	8	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	02-01 21:39
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	8	$333	200	200	+0	open	—	01-28 08:54
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	11	$333	186	186	+0	open	—	02-03 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:20:54	btc updown 5m 1781508000	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x362a7b…
06-15 07:20:49	btc updown 5m 1781508000	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9b2ed8…
06-13 14:09:28	btc updown 5m 1781359500	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xd4ffa4…
06-13 14:09:27	btc updown 5m 1781359500	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x474f35…
06-13 13:59:30	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x6193f8…
06-13 13:59:27	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6e53a2…
06-13 13:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781357700	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x816e49…
06-13 13:39:36	btc updown 5m 1781357700	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9d8015…
06-13 11:39:34	btc updown 5m 1781350500	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xb9f961…
06-13 11:39:27	btc updown 5m 1781350500	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd3fffa…
06-11 10:58:51	btc updown 5m 1781175300	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x942bc4…
06-11 10:58:33	btc updown 5m 1781175300	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xf879cc…
05-30 14:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xb0dd2d…
05-30 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xc1feb4…
05-30 12:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xeebdd8…
05-30 12:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x1c5712…
05-29 23:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xde8caa…
05-29 23:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xc906bb…
05-29 19:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xfd9250…
05-29 19:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xddf382…
05-29 19:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xcb3d46…
05-29 19:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x4a873a…
05-29 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x7df93a…
05-29 17:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xb24429…
05-29 04:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x104618…
05-29 04:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x084039…
05-28 14:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x679d0d…
05-28 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x52b918…
05-28 04:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x4a0ff8…
05-28 04:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe9d5dc…
05-28 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x5fb22d…
05-28 03:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x701d87…
05-27 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xdb540d…
05-27 22:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3401fa…
05-27 14:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x7abb13…
05-27 14:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x0de637…
05-27 09:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xf89bd1…
05-27 09:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x377111…
05-27 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xc998d5…
05-27 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x357715…
05-26 16:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2d5159…
05-26 16:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3537d7…
05-26 15:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x809d1b…
05-26 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc1fb57…
05-26 09:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xe4f9c9…
05-26 09:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7aa767…
05-26 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xad7af6…
05-26 05:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xba13d2…
05-26 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x9274de…
05-26 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xca01c1…
05-26 00:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0f4916…
05-26 00:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x823fd7…
05-25 09:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xd0d91d…
05-25 09:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf9e9a1…
05-25 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x31193a…
05-25 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0e014f…
05-24 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xd8d124…
05-24 23:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2ed379…
05-24 16:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x498d13…
05-24 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x49eece…
05-14 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8a54aa…
05-13 22:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x5e4e8a…
05-13 22:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x675220…
05-12 19:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x6a829e…
05-12 19:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf28815…
05-12 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xdf6103…
05-12 11:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x1d309f…
05-11 21:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xdca5e3…
05-11 21:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6a2f46…
05-11 12:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0x3a261a…
05-11 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x147213…
05-11 11:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x145044…
05-11 11:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xfe74b3…
05-11 11:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xd03599…
05-11 11:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x64a1d7…
05-11 11:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x7d0196…
05-11 08:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xd2335e…
05-11 08:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xf2827d…
05-11 07:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x32fe29…
05-11 07:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xefd6e2…
05-11 07:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xd13b87…
05-11 07:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x48b62b…
05-09 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x54fe21…
05-09 04:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf60f07…
05-08 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x1e38d5…
05-08 15:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x74f436…
05-08 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x3952cb…
05-08 11:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xffdfce…
05-08 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x5c66d3…
05-08 09:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x64d4c3…
05-08 09:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x9a5096…
05-08 09:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x87be0c…
05-08 06:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xcff14d…
05-08 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3cc0ac…
05-06 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xa5c303…
05-06 00:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3d56c1…
05-05 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x6963b8…
05-05 22:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x71ec86…
05-05 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x31f0e4…
05-05 18:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xc278bf…