Weird-Spark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-24 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$4

Other

42% 0% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	2	$8.5K	4,245	4,245	+0	open	—	03-17 17:00
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 140pt5	3	$8.1K	8,800	8,800	+0	open	—	03-17 15:10
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	4	$2.4K	1,632	841	+791	open	—	02-25 21:32
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	03-16 14:52
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	6	$995	502	502	+0	open	—	01-30 02:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	8	$790	500	500	-0	open	—	03-03 11:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	2	$635	700	700	+0	open	—	05-22 03:59
will nflx reach 105 in march	5	$555	370	370	+0	open	—	03-10 17:32
btc updown 5m 1773762900	5	$465	281	280	+1	open	—	03-17 15:59
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	03-02 11:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	10	$401	1,167	639	+528	open	—	05-23 01:24
btc updown 15m 1771045200	3	$401	209	202	+7	open	—	02-14 05:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$401	205	205	+0	open	—	02-28 07:27
btc updown 5m 1770992400	3	$398	206	200	+6	open	—	02-13 14:25
btc updown 15m 1770987600	3	$391	214	197	+17	open	—	02-13 13:15
btc updown 5m 1773763500	3	$384	200	199	+0	open	—	03-17 16:09
btc updown 15m 1770954300	3	$382	208	197	+10	open	—	02-13 03:57
btc updown 15m 1772121600	11	$345	233	231	+2	open	—	02-26 16:11
btc updown 15m 1772568000	6	$325	313	308	+5	open	—	03-03 20:09
btc updown 15m 1772742600	4	$275	270	266	+4	open	—	03-05 20:44
btc updown 15m 1771008300	9	$273	153	147	+5	open	—	02-13 19:00
btc updown 15m 1772197200	4	$266	661	658	+3	open	—	02-27 13:05
bitcoin up or down march 8 7pm et	5	$255	194	193	+1	open	—	03-08 23:48
btc updown 5m 1772449500	2	$229	131	130	+1	open	—	03-02 11:06
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	6	$228	236	232	+4	open	—	03-18 23:24
btc updown 5m 1773143700	4	$216	261	258	+3	open	—	03-10 11:57
btc updown 15m 1771064100	2	$212	108	108	+0	open	—	02-14 10:30
btc updown 15m 1773151200	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	03-10 14:11
btc updown 15m 1772165700	2	$206	108	107	+0	open	—	02-27 04:30
btc updown 5m 1772570700	2	$204	108	107	+0	open	—	03-03 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:41:33	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x6efa93…
05-24 20:13:35	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0x41dee0…
05-24 20:09:19	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x14109d…
05-24 18:57:32	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x2a62d7…
05-23 01:24:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	410	17¢	$70	0x498b1f…
05-23 01:23:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0xc5eca5…
05-23 01:20:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x3fc61e…
05-23 01:11:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x1b37b9…
05-23 01:09:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	658	17¢	$112	0xaf9de5…
05-23 01:08:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xa0b67b…
05-23 01:07:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x4a0aac…
05-23 00:56:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x1b6f23…
05-23 00:55:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	163	21¢	$34	0x098a53…
05-23 00:55:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	235	21¢	$49	0x0f13ee…
05-22 03:59:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	700	42¢	$292	0x8cb8b0…
05-22 03:49:14	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x83ff1f…
05-22 03:46:17	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x92f191…
05-22 03:24:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	No	SELL	87	54¢	$47	0x4af095…
05-22 03:24:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	47	35¢	$17	0xa4b826…
05-22 03:22:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	No	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x771d42…
05-22 03:17:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	700	49¢	$343	0x633eda…
05-22 03:13:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xa36458…
05-22 02:59:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x76f0a5…
05-19 00:19:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	167	43¢	$72	0x3627e4…
05-18 22:20:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xaf6ad5…
05-18 22:20:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x3eecb4…
05-18 22:20:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x27921c…
05-18 22:20:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x24459d…
05-18 22:20:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x736ef6…
05-18 22:20:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x471c52…
05-18 22:20:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xa00d17…
05-18 22:20:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x4163fc…
05-18 22:20:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x21273f…
05-18 22:20:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x845a7a…
05-12 23:43:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x2768a3…
05-12 23:43:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa91dd8…
03-26 20:45:29	btc updown 15m 1774557000	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x046766…
03-26 20:42:45	btc updown 15m 1774557000	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0d6f07…
03-22 19:57:17	btc updown 5m 1774209300	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xee5bd0…
03-22 19:55:23	btc updown 5m 1774209300	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x375348…
03-20 20:41:39	btc updown 5m 1774039200	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x77c926…
03-20 20:40:25	btc updown 5m 1774039200	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x1aae0c…
03-20 20:31:05	btc updown 5m 1774038600	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xcaca1a…
03-20 20:30:55	btc updown 5m 1774038600	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfd4162…
03-20 20:25:13	btc updown 5m 1774038000	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc73bad…
03-20 20:23:37	btc updown 5m 1774038000	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe35e0f…
03-20 00:35:49	btc updown 5m 1773966600	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2507d5…
03-20 00:30:31	btc updown 5m 1773966600	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcbfd28…
03-19 00:01:23	btc updown 5m 1773878400	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x6d5699…
03-19 00:00:25	btc updown 5m 1773878400	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa35714…
03-18 23:51:07	btc updown 15m 1773877500	Down	SELL	87	52¢	$45	0xf8d329…
03-18 23:49:29	btc updown 15m 1773877500	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x8ea28c…
03-18 23:47:49	btc updown 5m 1773877500	Down	SELL	78	17¢	$13	0x7202b6…
03-18 23:47:13	btc updown 5m 1773877500	Down	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x0c3abb…
03-18 23:46:03	btc updown 5m 1773877500	Up	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc016b0…
03-18 23:45:33	btc updown 5m 1773877500	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4e2a0a…
03-18 23:29:31	btc updown 15m 1773875700	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x83340c…
03-18 23:28:33	btc updown 15m 1773875700	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x75c36f…
03-18 23:24:17	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	52	51¢	$27	0x211dde…
03-18 23:22:37	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x443a2c…
03-18 23:19:45	btc updown 5m 1773875700	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xc182c6…
03-18 23:17:45	btc updown 5m 1773875700	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x95ea09…
03-18 23:13:21	btc updown 15m 1773874800	Down	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x13678c…
03-18 23:12:05	btc updown 15m 1773874800	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xef3e35…
03-18 23:11:25	btc updown 5m 1773875400	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x92adfa…
03-18 23:10:41	btc updown 5m 1773875400	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd6ee8a…
03-18 23:06:13	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	107	49¢	$52	0x7e0d43…
03-18 23:04:33	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xb1682e…
03-18 23:02:41	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	73	40¢	$29	0x28148a…
03-18 23:00:33	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x2cc332…
03-18 22:51:51	btc updown 5m 1773874200	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf3ffa1…
03-18 22:50:27	btc updown 15m 1773873900	Down	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0xe73646…
03-18 22:46:53	btc updown 15m 1773873900	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdf7bea…
03-18 22:44:25	btc updown 5m 1773873600	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x6b66d8…
03-18 22:41:33	btc updown 5m 1773873600	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x16b671…
03-18 22:40:15	btc updown 5m 1773873300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c88a8…
03-18 22:36:53	btc updown 5m 1773873300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xafc046…
03-18 17:52:55	btc updown 15m 1773855900	Down	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x26b347…
03-18 17:50:15	btc updown 15m 1773855900	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2f2249…
03-18 17:50:13	btc updown 15m 1773855900	Down	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x0a7047…
03-18 04:38:37	btc updown 5m 1773808500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x74cddc…
03-18 04:35:09	btc updown 5m 1773808200	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x16c2ad…
03-18 04:31:29	btc updown 5m 1773808200	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xcf81fb…
03-18 04:27:55	btc updown 5m 1773807900	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x2db851…
03-18 04:26:43	btc updown 5m 1773807900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf607fb…
03-17 17:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	4,245	100¢	$4,241	0x826def…
03-17 16:58:37	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	4,245	100¢	$4,240	0x0ae7d0…
03-17 16:52:25	btc updown 5m 1773766200	Up	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x03e9de…
03-17 16:50:29	btc updown 5m 1773766200	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x1e4cde…
03-17 16:15:13	btc updown 5m 1773763800	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xb16e26…
03-17 16:14:19	btc updown 5m 1773763800	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x443ab1…
03-17 16:09:31	btc updown 5m 1773763500	Up	SELL	199	98¢	$195	0xa2da93…
03-17 16:09:13	btc updown 5m 1773763500	Up	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xeb009c…
03-17 16:07:03	btc updown 5m 1773763500	Up	BUY	98	91¢	$90	0x16c0b2…
03-17 15:59:35	btc updown 5m 1773762900	Down	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0x5bcad6…
03-17 15:58:03	btc updown 5m 1773762900	Down	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x6e3d11…
03-17 15:56:45	btc updown 5m 1773762900	Up	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x16c462…
03-17 15:56:35	btc updown 5m 1773762900	Up	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x54ddc9…
03-17 15:55:59	btc updown 5m 1773762900	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4b4ffc…
03-17 15:49:25	btc updown 5m 1773762300	Down	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xff028b…