Flat-Factor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$48	70	0	+70	Down	$-48	05-06 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	05-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	05-06 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$44	62	40	+22	Up	$-21	05-06 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-05 20:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 20:30
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 17:49
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-05 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	Up	$-38	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	05-05 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$37	40	0	+40	Down	$-37	05-06 16:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$36	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	05-05 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$35	40	0	+40	Down	+$5	05-05 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$35	70	0	+70	Down	$-35	05-06 12:45
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$34	40	0	+40	Up	+$6	05-05 22:30
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$33	40	0	+40	Down	$-33	05-06 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$32	60	0	+60	Up	+$28	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$31	40	0	+40	Down	+$9	05-06 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$31	40	0	+40	Up	+$9	05-06 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$10	05-06 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$30	40	0	+40	Up	+$10	05-06 17:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$29	40	0	+40	Down	+$11	05-05 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$29	44	0	+44	Up	+$15	05-05 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf3da6a…
05-09 09:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4c3ad3…
05-08 23:45:00	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf96ddc…
05-08 23:45:00	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x9e529a…
05-07 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xc5329d…
05-07 01:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe77344…
05-06 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc44361…
05-06 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xb1f812…
05-06 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa9caf6…
05-06 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8a7993…
05-06 17:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x922e4d…
05-06 17:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xa5d1cc…
05-06 17:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xa3c395…
05-06 16:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x25242d…
05-06 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdb4867…
05-06 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9355dd…
05-06 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x270cbf…
05-06 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x267713…
05-06 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x206ed3…
05-06 12:45:08	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x9ad8d1…
05-06 11:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x46edd1…
05-06 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x973cd0…
05-06 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0xd75e53…
05-06 06:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8754cf…
05-06 06:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x512069…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xd0dcda…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x406f99…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x023cc1…
05-06 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xcac25f…
05-06 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x32e674…
05-06 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x4eda0b…
05-06 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x1b4c62…
05-06 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xf9b8dc…
05-06 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xc0d947…
05-05 23:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0xaa3b8c…
05-05 23:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0x93db78…
05-05 23:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa155fe…
05-05 23:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x50667b…
05-05 23:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x6789f0…
05-05 23:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x1d2656…
05-05 22:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x944414…
05-05 22:25:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xc762f5…
05-05 20:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x3591e6…
05-05 20:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc25043…
05-05 20:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x4d2c6a…
05-05 20:00:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x60a7f5…
05-05 20:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xdf1502…
05-05 20:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x1d1827…
05-05 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x92c5b5…
05-05 19:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x58761e…
05-05 19:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x27da2d…
05-05 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x968006…
05-05 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x442ab1…
05-05 18:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xac9cc3…
05-05 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x7298f0…
05-05 17:40:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	86¢	$23	0xa747eb…
05-05 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xce9c54…
05-05 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa9d5a2…
05-05 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x076cc0…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xea97bf…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbab0c7…
05-05 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xfef9a2…
05-05 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xeced13…
05-05 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc29d2d…
05-05 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa92d7d…
05-05 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2ed504…
05-05 15:30:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x93d49c…
05-05 15:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4885b1…
05-05 14:35:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x869c2f…
05-05 14:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xb26f07…
05-05 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x4ca0ea…
05-05 12:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xa66e6d…
05-05 12:25:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xa0e653…
05-05 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xcbd45d…
05-05 11:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x8ad00b…
05-05 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xd6baaa…
05-05 10:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x84e902…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfaf554…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd527f0…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xb3534a…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x9ee11e…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x94b421…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x70d4fa…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x42092c…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2a049a…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0baecf…
05-05 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0abf28…
05-05 09:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x57a8b3…
05-05 08:55:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xe2ec4b…
05-05 06:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x712995…
05-05 06:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xc1f15b…