Judicious-Ephemera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$532

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-08 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Crypto

22% — —

Other

17% 0% $-5

Sports

2% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by january 31	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	01-23 21:31
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	01-22 21:05
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	1	$81	85	0	+85	open	—	01-25 13:21
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	1	$59	81	0	+81	open	—	01-23 21:31
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	1	$45	69	0	+69	open	—	01-27 17:44
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	1	$40	67	0	+67	open	—	01-27 17:44
will trump say nato during wef address on january 21	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	01-20 12:47
will trump say maduro or khamenei during wef address on january 21	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	01-20 12:48
will trump say resolve or hammer during wef address on january 21	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-20 12:47
will trump say nuclear or iran 4 times during wef address on january 21	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	01-20 12:48
will trump say denmark or norway during wef address on january 21	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	01-20 12:48
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$5	14	0	+14	Club Atlético de Madrid	$-5	05-05 18:27
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$5	12	0	+12	Toronto Blue Jays	$-5	05-08 18:05
mlb kc cle 2026 04 07	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:35
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-07 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:05:32	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x282c61…
05-05 18:27:56	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2c2513…
04-07 18:37:39	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9a9574…
04-07 18:35:47	mlb kc cle 2026 04 07	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8049cd…
01-27 17:44:37	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	69	64¢	$45	0x72d593…
01-27 17:44:27	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x9676f5…
01-25 13:21:18	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	Yes	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x026a13…
01-23 21:31:54	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	81	73¢	$59	0x7075d8…
01-23 21:31:14	trump x greenland deal signed by january 31	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x27900c…
01-22 21:05:28	trump x greenland deal signed by january 31	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x5952c1…
01-22 21:05:02	ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xc70228…
01-21 20:31:38	ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0xd8b09a…
01-20 12:48:32	will trump say denmark or norway during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3f6f11…
01-20 12:48:14	will trump say nuclear or iran 4 times during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3e0d75…
01-20 12:48:04	will trump say maduro or khamenei during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6a8351…
01-20 12:47:20	will trump say nato during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x7a9e68…
01-20 12:47:00	will trump say resolve or hammer during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x46731b…