Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$109.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$319

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-08 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% — —

Politics

27% 100% +$1

Other

2% 100% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	61	$33.6K	16,628	17,071	-443	open	—	02-05 14:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	128	$19.5K	10,643	9,744	+899	open	—	02-08 06:39
bitcoin above 76k on february 6	44	$12.3K	6,776	5,563	+1,213	open	—	02-06 15:59
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	7	$11.5K	7,091	4,380	+2,711	open	—	02-05 14:49
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	4	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	02-06 04:36
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	5	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	02-06 16:16
bitcoin above 80k on february 7	5	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	02-07 05:16
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	2	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	02-06 10:36
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	11	$3.6K	2,700	911	+1,789	open	—	02-06 10:53
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	02-07 06:37
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$406	205	205	+0	open	—	02-23 06:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$267	270	0	+270	open	—	04-05 05:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$240	241	0	+241	open	—	03-16 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$240	240	0	+240	open	—	03-06 14:28
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$228	117	117	+0	open	—	01-23 03:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$228	250	0	+250	open	—	03-22 07:41
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	02-27 13:50
ethereum above 1700 on march 10	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	03-10 10:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$216	140	140	+0	open	—	03-03 05:37
bitcoin above 62k on february 14	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	02-14 12:12
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	02-08 06:48
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 10:02
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$183	183	0	+183	open	—	02-11 11:55
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$132	135	0	+135	open	—	03-14 13:52
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2026?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-12 07:00
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	01-15 16:39
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-27 10:40
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	03-02 15:55
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	02-03 03:48
Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-24 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:33:19	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9b67f2…
06-05 11:42:00	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x44500e…
05-23 03:16:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x700321…
05-23 02:58:10	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5a194b…
05-15 08:01:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0xd6b90f…
05-15 07:54:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14d3e0…
05-15 07:51:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09902c…
05-15 07:49:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ce2d4…
05-15 07:49:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x94790f…
05-15 07:49:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb54cf8…
05-15 07:43:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb5fb24…
05-11 09:14:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfa1eb0…
05-09 01:06:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa884f8…
05-05 08:51:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe26973…
05-05 08:49:20	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd69cc7…
04-29 06:13:58	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9afeb2…
04-29 06:13:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xed2b9e…
04-23 06:29:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x83146c…
04-16 06:14:56	Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x76389d…
04-14 04:08:47	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xff5a9a…
04-05 05:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0xd4c740…
03-22 07:41:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x1d3296…
03-16 08:21:35	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdb4784…
03-16 08:20:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x9dc23e…
03-14 13:52:49	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x2348b6…
03-12 05:34:05	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	112	97¢	$108	0x0cb712…
03-10 10:34:29	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x281a65…
03-06 14:28:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x8e2d6e…
03-06 14:28:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x502198…
03-06 14:26:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf5607b…
03-03 05:37:31	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	140	79¢	$111	0x53e3a9…
03-02 15:55:21	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xf86507…
03-01 09:50:21	lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	Gen.G	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x292588…
02-27 13:50:51	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2a577e…
02-26 06:23:46	bitcoin above 60k on february 26	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x106463…
02-26 06:23:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe12825…
02-26 06:22:32	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x586aa0…
02-23 06:59:36	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6a806f…
02-23 06:59:14	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x188776…
02-23 06:58:28	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	140	75¢	$105	0x60a63d…
02-23 06:58:00	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0x710d59…
02-19 10:12:32	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	205	99¢	$202	0xe1e34a…
02-19 10:05:54	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf51f73…
02-19 10:02:50	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc5c00b…
02-18 08:25:38	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x403521…
02-18 08:25:10	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcb2efc…
02-18 08:24:26	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f96cb…
02-14 12:13:19	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x360119…
02-14 12:12:53	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x12c631…
02-11 11:56:51	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf6d7c…
02-11 11:56:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8aed17…
02-11 11:55:55	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xb68c8d…
02-08 06:50:07	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3f3ea4…
02-08 06:48:33	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xde5dfa…
02-08 06:39:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x68f764…
02-08 06:38:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x87e8b3…
02-08 06:32:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,500	96¢	$1,432	0x89ca93…
02-08 06:20:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xceaca7…
02-08 06:18:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,326	95¢	$1,263	0x25641c…
02-08 06:11:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xd83f6d…
02-08 06:10:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,183	95¢	$1,124	0xad0971…
02-08 06:05:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	153	95¢	$145	0x8dfda2…
02-08 06:03:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6eb092…
02-07 14:28:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	189	96¢	$181	0x99fd1c…
02-07 14:28:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xfdb7b3…
02-07 14:27:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xff9d0b…
02-07 14:24:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x3bf7cb…
02-07 14:24:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	302	96¢	$289	0x04311d…
02-07 12:22:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	168	96¢	$160	0xa2a8dc…
02-07 12:22:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	924	96¢	$883	0xa61472…
02-07 12:22:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	323	96¢	$309	0xce1cd9…
02-07 12:22:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xa73472…
02-07 12:16:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0411c5…
02-07 12:15:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x492145…
02-07 12:14:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xdf883f…
02-07 12:09:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcc9577…
02-07 12:06:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0d5218…
02-07 12:05:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd6ea60…
02-07 12:05:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xe4648a…
02-07 12:04:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd95953…
02-07 12:04:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe4cd50…
02-07 12:03:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xc9d538…
02-07 12:02:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x0b38de…
02-07 12:02:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	425	96¢	$406	0x31a87c…
02-07 11:34:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	191	96¢	$182	0x40c43f…
02-07 11:00:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xb44b1a…
02-07 11:00:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x212572…
02-07 10:55:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1c4175…
02-07 10:55:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xa3b816…
02-07 10:55:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x3c32fe…
02-07 10:52:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1186cd…
02-07 10:47:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xa9192e…
02-07 10:47:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x62e5b4…
02-07 10:47:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x8916f8…
02-07 10:46:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	102	96¢	$98	0xc35066…
02-07 10:43:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x408cfa…
02-07 10:42:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$43	0x37bcc7…
02-07 10:40:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xdd846a…
02-07 10:39:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	196	96¢	$188	0x10cbf2…
02-07 10:36:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	162	96¢	$156	0xb4a217…