Ancient-Continuity-Insurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-21 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% — —

Sports

1% 78% +$2

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$145	137	137	+0	open	—	05-20 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$126	95	95	+0	open	—	05-20 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$98	151	151	+0	open	—	05-20 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$89	76	76	+0	open	—	05-19 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	05-19 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-21 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$19	487	143	+345	open	—	05-04 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 08:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	97	97	+0	open	—	05-04 08:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 08:01
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Knicks	+$1	05-04 08:24
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Timberwolves	$-1	05-04 08:21
Flyers vs. Hurricanes	1	$1	1	0	+1	Hurricanes	+$0	05-04 08:23
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 08:19
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$1	2	0	+2	Golden Knights	+$1	05-04 08:23
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Thunder	+$1	05-04 08:23
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	2	0	+2	Pistons	+$1	05-04 08:22
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	1	0	+1	Knicks	+$0	05-04 08:20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	1	0	+1	Timberwolves	$-1	05-04 08:21
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	1	0	+1	Thunder	+$0	05-04 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 02:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$14	0xae25fa…
05-21 02:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb9ce97…
05-21 02:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xe1bc5f…
05-21 02:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6b660b…
05-20 10:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	151	13¢	$20	0x0ec078…
05-20 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	151	52¢	$78	0x65e7db…
05-20 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x8c2f9d…
05-20 10:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x99a069…
05-20 08:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	137	55¢	$75	0xe72896…
05-20 08:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x1b571e…
05-20 08:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	95	81¢	$77	0x201fd4…
05-20 07:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	95	51¢	$49	0xbb7ea1…
05-19 13:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	76	68¢	$51	0x7d772d…
05-19 12:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0xa3f8f6…
05-19 12:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0x80b39e…
05-19 12:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x4c2c2d…
05-19 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0x88dde6…
05-19 12:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x484e2b…
05-19 11:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x26fe86…
05-19 11:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x0050f4…
05-19 11:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc68cac…
05-04 08:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	97	0¢	$0	0xb1ddbd…
05-04 08:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x14b401…
05-04 08:24:12	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc85040…
05-04 08:23:44	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeb4986…
05-04 08:23:26	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfa0b0c…
05-04 08:23:02	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x162054…
05-04 08:22:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x836cd8…
05-04 08:22:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1bff7f…
05-04 08:21:50	Spread: Spurs (-13.5)	Spurs	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x024c73…
05-04 08:21:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3aa9e1…
05-04 08:20:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf379c0…
05-04 08:19:08	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	Molde FK	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1b7713…
05-04 08:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x84cd0d…
05-04 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e5e01…
05-04 08:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x8ce6f1…
05-04 08:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x402024…
05-04 08:01:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x47e3c8…
05-04 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	345	1¢	$2	0x6c4ec4…
05-04 07:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0x740d48…
05-04 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xacf2f9…
05-04 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x980673…