Perfect-Loophole-Gloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-20 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% $-10

Other

0% 50% +$5

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$242	54	234	-179	Down	+$22	05-12 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$206	118	118	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	8	$186	150	136	+14	Down	$-7	05-13 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$155	115	115	+0	Down	+$73	05-12 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$149	226	0	+226	Down	$-149	05-13 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	10	$141	117	115	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$121	74	74	+0	Down	+$25	05-12 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	5	$102	76	76	+0	Down	+$42	05-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$94	0	95	-95	Down	$-1	05-12 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$82	59	59	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$80	61	61	+0	Up	+$40	05-11 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$78	52	52	+0	Down	+$26	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$73	61	61	+0	Down	+$49	05-12 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	10	$62	53	53	+0	open	—	05-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	5	$51	35	35	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$43	67	5	+62	open	—	05-15 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$42	31	31	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$42	40	40	+0	Down	$-13	05-11 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$42	59	59	+0	Up	$-7	05-12 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$40	32	32	+0	Up	+$24	05-11 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$39	94	0	+94	Up	$-39	05-12 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$39	89	0	+89	Up	+$50	05-12 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$39	105	0	+105	Up	$-39	05-11 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$38	41	41	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$37	100	0	+100	Down	$-37	05-12 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$36	38	38	+0	Down	$-14	05-11 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$35	62	0	+62	Down	$-35	05-13 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$35	31	31	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$34	23	23	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x808f77…
05-20 15:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf8671e…
05-20 15:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5a490…
05-20 15:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3f3dea…
05-20 15:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe10c40…
05-20 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81124e…
05-20 14:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x2f552b…
05-20 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x25709a…
05-20 14:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa9ccd8…
05-20 14:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x88e38e…
05-20 14:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x16f2a3…
05-20 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf49075…
05-20 14:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xde6910…
05-20 14:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdb9fe0…
05-20 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x1bed9c…
05-20 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x39d0b8…
05-20 14:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52bf1d…
05-20 14:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeafcc4…
05-20 14:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x19a5ed…
05-17 13:17:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x1750a2…
05-17 13:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x897107…
05-16 14:40:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7e0074…
05-15 10:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x86680d…
05-15 10:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x701891…
05-15 10:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xf6a0c4…
05-15 10:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdb80fc…
05-15 10:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xc69e0e…
05-15 10:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf6e203…
05-15 10:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2f09be…
05-15 10:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3bb4be…
05-15 10:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0e6166…
05-15 10:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8599de…
05-15 10:31:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x57f445…
05-15 10:31:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd5069d…
05-15 10:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x830d18…
05-15 10:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x4a71b5…
05-15 10:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xef3aaa…
05-15 10:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5816b6…
05-15 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe456d5…
05-15 07:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7357f8…
05-15 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x54219f…
05-15 07:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe883d6…
05-15 07:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf9b754…
05-15 07:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x470787…
05-15 07:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfd53e5…
05-15 07:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7cffd2…
05-15 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xca42f2…
05-15 06:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf15fbd…
05-15 06:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9fd4e4…
05-15 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5627ec…
05-15 06:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe36901…
05-15 06:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x882489…
05-15 06:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb611d7…
05-15 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x8732cd…
05-15 06:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdeb095…
05-15 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0b4672…
05-15 06:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb89615…
05-15 06:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x76d3c7…
05-15 06:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x989a31…
05-15 06:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd44e06…
05-15 06:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x6f2ec4…
05-15 06:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd99efa…
05-15 06:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x46f397…
05-15 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb0a966…
05-15 06:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x863774…
05-15 06:45:18	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48f3e4…
05-15 06:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9be45c…
05-15 06:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3f06d4…
05-15 06:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4daf6…
05-15 06:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x113706…
05-15 06:37:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x0fb98f…
05-15 06:30:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0b3732…
05-13 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x2636bf…
05-13 13:44:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x583408…
05-13 11:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd32ff8…
05-13 11:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xf9f078…
05-13 11:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	58¢	$45	0xff54fa…
05-13 11:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	88	61¢	$54	0xf2e6b3…
05-13 11:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xce0f44…
05-13 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0xdf8fff…
05-13 11:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4dfa92…
05-13 11:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x8b162c…
05-13 10:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xdf3934…
05-13 10:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x040b18…
05-13 10:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x38e041…
05-13 10:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7dc776…
05-13 10:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x5cbdc4…
05-13 10:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa3c1e0…
05-13 10:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x930c2f…
05-13 10:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x2c4c5e…
05-13 10:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	64¢	$18	0xbf2af9…
05-13 10:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xebf046…
05-13 10:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa113c9…
05-13 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xf6aff3…
05-13 10:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xb07c3b…
05-13 10:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1e8d72…
05-13 10:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xd2f9bf…
05-13 10:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xe21a71…
05-13 10:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x9ee145…
05-13 10:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x167e14…