Occasional-Violin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-05 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 29% $-23

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 27 3am et	10	$52	79	45	+33	open	—	01-27 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$40	60	0	+60	Down	$-40	05-07 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$31	29	29	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	06-02 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	06-02 15:04
ethereum up or down january 26 9pm et	6	$29	230	0	+230	open	—	01-27 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 12:12
ethereum up or down january 27 2am et	2	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	01-27 07:58
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$22	222	222	+0	open	—	05-07 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	06-03 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$20	50	0	+50	Down	+$30	05-07 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-23 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	06-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$18	34	0	+34	open	—	06-02 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	06-02 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$14	31	0	+31	open	—	06-02 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	06-02 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$14	19	0	+19	Up	+$5	05-07 04:17
bitcoin up or down january 27 9pm et	1	$12	50	0	+50	open	—	01-28 02:25
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	4	$12	208	0	+208	open	—	05-02 17:24
ethereum up or down january 28 1am et	3	$11	60	0	+60	open	—	01-28 06:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11	24	24	+0	open	—	05-06 15:56
eth updown 15m 1769483700	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	01-27 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	06-01 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	06-02 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-02 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$10	36	0	+36	Down	$-10	05-07 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 09:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780653000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3cea08…
06-05 09:39:45	btc updown 5m 1780652400	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xac90a2…
06-05 09:35:49	btc updown 5m 1780652100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7ee23b…
06-05 08:48:10	btc updown 5m 1780649400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x85063e…
06-04 23:20:24	btc updown 5m 1780615200	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x49fd8a…
06-04 16:49:34	btc updown 5m 1780591800	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x020939…
06-04 16:38:15	btc updown 5m 1780591200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x05b502…
06-04 16:27:01	btc updown 5m 1780590600	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c780a…
06-04 15:58:06	btc updown 5m 1780588800	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x950baa…
06-04 14:31:42	btc updown 5m 1780583700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3330bb…
06-04 13:57:49	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x515a90…
06-03 17:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9d1188…
06-03 14:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x00ab66…
06-03 14:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66371b…
06-03 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a422d…
06-03 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x17343c…
06-03 13:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd33f09…
06-03 11:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7544c3…
06-03 07:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8db942…
06-03 06:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe52213…
06-03 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x086a3b…
06-03 06:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfac12b…
06-03 03:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc4f072…
06-03 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x402338…
06-03 02:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70dcd4…
06-02 16:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x226aaf…
06-02 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x587f20…
06-02 16:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7779d7…
06-02 15:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0x20d2bd…
06-02 15:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xd60e50…
06-02 14:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xedc6bf…
06-02 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x2e1d3b…
06-02 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x144816…
06-02 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x486d62…
06-02 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe64996…
06-02 14:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0baacc…
06-02 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf8c997…
06-02 14:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4665e2…
06-02 12:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa78841…
06-02 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xba917b…
06-02 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf66e78…
06-02 12:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeabfdf…
06-02 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7a7ad8…
06-02 11:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xa2811e…
06-02 11:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6bfa62…
06-02 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe86022…
06-02 10:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x87445d…
06-02 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1482af…
06-02 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2832ac…
06-02 09:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xaec6ba…
06-02 09:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x16985e…
06-02 09:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4384ed…
06-02 09:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x40bc23…
06-02 08:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x63ea23…
06-02 08:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4aad7b…
06-02 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x143e56…
06-02 06:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6006e0…
06-02 06:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xccf7a3…
06-02 06:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbc652b…
06-02 06:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb3d91c…
06-02 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf0ff88…
06-02 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5f9f73…
06-02 05:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd40756…
06-02 05:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x670bff…
06-02 05:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x430b01…
06-02 05:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3ab9d4…
06-02 03:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc9c601…
06-02 03:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32af05…
06-02 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1ad904…
06-02 02:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b2e2d…
06-01 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5edc1b…
06-01 17:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1ab422…
06-01 17:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdbd330…
06-01 17:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf40808…
06-01 17:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5b91b3…
06-01 17:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe0a8b3…
06-01 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x572749…
06-01 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8aedcf…
06-01 17:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x409221…
06-01 17:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xde8039…
06-01 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x08123d…
06-01 16:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4f6076…
06-01 16:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa3c6b9…
06-01 16:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0764a5…
06-01 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9250ba…
06-01 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x52aa7b…
06-01 15:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd3064c…
06-01 15:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x237e1c…
06-01 15:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x93f6d3…
06-01 15:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xcb48c2…
06-01 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa2eb5a…
06-01 13:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf28e77…
06-01 13:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4a932d…
06-01 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcd4f12…
06-01 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf70136…
06-01 13:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd22507…
06-01 12:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x20e59d…
06-01 12:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1e7f77…
06-01 09:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfee9c1…
06-01 09:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x867c52…