Yearly-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

215

Trades

4,672

lifetime

Volume

$32.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-17 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 43% $-113

Other

40% — —

Sports

18% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	3	$500	371	371	+0	open	—	02-18 20:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$406	1,383	1,383	+0	open	—	03-09 16:26
cs2 g2 mouz 2026 02 06 total games 2pt5	2	$296	196	196	+0	open	—	02-06 21:26
eth updown 15m 1774698300	54	$197	495	0	+495	open	—	03-28 11:58
xrp updown 15m 1774418400	20	$177	379	0	+379	open	—	03-25 06:08
btc updown 15m 1774554300	48	$173	410	0	+410	open	—	03-26 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11am et	10	$173	377	0	+377	open	—	03-25 15:07
btc updown 15m 1774515600	12	$172	387	0	+387	open	—	03-26 09:06
bkcba xin nin 2026 03 30	3	$170	248	119	+129	open	—	03-29 17:28
btc updown 15m 1774669500	34	$165	283	0	+283	open	—	03-28 03:58
eth updown 15m 1772921700	15	$160	228	114	+113	open	—	03-07 22:29
cs2 furia prv 2026 02 17 total games 2pt5	6	$156	340	0	+340	open	—	02-17 17:04
cs2 furia prv 2026 02 17	5	$155	250	0	+250	open	—	02-17 16:19
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 03 08 total games 2pt5	5	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 22:51
eth updown 15m 1774668600	35	$147	256	0	+256	open	—	03-28 03:44
cbb buf ballst 2026 02 11 total 141pt5	2	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	02-12 02:39
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 2pt5	3	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 23:02
sol updown 15m 1774493100	12	$140	277	0	+277	open	—	03-26 02:53
btc updown 15m 1774248300	17	$139	300	0	+300	open	—	03-23 06:50
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	7	$139	100	100	+0	open	—	03-07 06:53
nba phi ind 2026 02 24	5	$136	366	295	+71	open	—	02-24 22:28
btc updown 15m 1774376100	23	$132	301	0	+301	open	—	03-24 18:21
mls min sea 2026 03 22 draw	2	$129	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 22:39
nba mem den 2026 02 11 rebounds gg jackson ii 5pt5	1	$127	230	0	+230	open	—	02-12 02:00
eth updown 15m 1774512900	18	$126	298	0	+298	open	—	03-26 08:22
eth updown 15m 1774377000	22	$123	271	0	+271	open	—	03-24 18:31
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 draw	2	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 23:02
xrp updown 15m 1774323900	23	$122	259	0	+259	open	—	03-24 03:47
sol updown 15m 1774305900	30	$121	277	0	+277	open	—	03-23 22:52
nba bos phx 2026 02 24	6	$121	181	135	+46	open	—	02-24 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13dd1b…
05-17 05:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x658a9c…
05-17 05:00:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18e976…
05-17 04:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1abd9f…
05-17 04:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x49672e…
05-17 04:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2a3019…
05-17 04:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x632003…
05-17 04:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x23cc88…
05-17 04:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x973d55…
05-17 04:35:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce580a…
05-17 04:15:11	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a5664…
05-17 03:45:09	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf2ec4b…
05-17 01:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdc5848…
05-17 01:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xc6f355…
05-17 01:01:05	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56d436…
05-17 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4bec28…
05-16 17:31:29	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa1b1c6…
05-16 17:31:10	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfdc075…
05-16 15:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe4db4d…
05-16 14:15:22	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc60775…
05-16 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6787bd…
05-16 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc8b8d0…
05-16 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2e1dcb…
05-16 11:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x393ff3…
05-16 10:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x567c62…
05-16 09:31:13	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb89f26…
05-16 09:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x858bf0…
05-16 07:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbb6829…
05-16 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x90ea95…
05-16 07:15:15	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcc52f3…
05-16 07:01:18	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x379702…
05-16 06:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x911c21…
05-16 06:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc04669…
05-16 06:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x594144…
05-16 06:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc2d450…
05-16 06:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x135c35…
05-16 05:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa43a4a…
05-16 02:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4aab2…
05-16 01:03:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x38ce65…
05-15 23:03:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x301b12…
05-15 23:02:50	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb1580c…
05-15 23:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xe80462…
05-15 23:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x99351e…
05-15 22:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e8203…
05-15 22:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f0cba…
05-15 21:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a7067…
05-15 18:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e1435…
05-15 18:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x069197…
05-15 16:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x67b23a…
05-15 14:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe77d36…
05-15 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe7e1a2…
05-15 14:00:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x689e93…
05-15 14:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x941174…
05-15 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x542e4d…
05-15 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbca181…
05-15 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x603d5d…
05-15 12:15:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa58856…
05-15 11:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4a522…
05-15 09:43:12	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f4846…
05-15 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4fa907…
05-15 08:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3df809…
05-15 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c554a…
05-15 08:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5e4823…
05-15 08:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x43c546…
05-15 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35daff…
05-15 06:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x4037d8…
05-15 06:45:04	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd435f4…
05-15 06:45:04	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa034c6…
05-15 06:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e515f…
05-15 06:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb089d6…
05-15 06:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7f48e…
05-15 05:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x094788…
05-15 05:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee65ba…
05-15 02:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdc8d49…
05-15 02:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd065ea…
05-15 02:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a40e8…
05-15 02:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf64105…
05-15 02:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9dd86b…
05-15 02:01:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbdfb60…
05-15 01:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc8af4e…
05-14 23:55:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x393564…
05-14 06:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd01fd3…
05-14 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03e382…
05-14 06:01:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf21eec…
05-14 06:01:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x567498…
05-14 06:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82cae8…
05-14 06:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc1002a…
05-14 05:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5bbc96…
05-14 05:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8e392b…
05-14 05:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7692c2…
05-14 05:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5c297…
05-14 05:30:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce7297…
05-14 05:30:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x939eaa…
05-14 05:16:51	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6058e3…
05-14 05:16:27	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x712c30…
05-14 05:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x2edfff…
05-14 05:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xefe11d…
05-14 04:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd310ce…
05-14 04:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x266340…
05-14 04:46:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd6456a…