Stale-Cuticle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-07 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 61% $-35

Politics

7% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775904900	8	$260	177	174	+3	open	—	04-11 11:00
btc updown 5m 1775902500	7	$167	157	57	+100	open	—	04-11 10:21
btc updown 5m 1775907000	5	$147	95	93	+2	open	—	04-11 11:36
btc updown 5m 1775898300	5	$139	82	80	+2	open	—	04-11 09:10
btc updown 5m 1775896500	5	$121	76	74	+2	open	—	04-11 08:40
btc updown 5m 1775898000	4	$93	55	54	+1	open	—	04-11 09:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	03-15 20:17
btc updown 5m 1775924700	5	$87	51	50	+1	open	—	04-11 16:31
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 04:19
btc updown 5m 1775904300	2	$80	232	0	+232	open	—	04-11 10:49
btc updown 5m 1775894100	4	$74	45	44	+1	open	—	04-11 08:00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	2	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	04-11 05:14
btc updown 5m 1775907300	2	$68	39	39	+1	open	—	04-11 11:40
btc updown 5m 1775925900	5	$66	103	19	+85	open	—	04-11 16:48
btc updown 5m 1775903400	3	$60	95	0	+95	open	—	04-11 10:34
btc updown 5m 1775894400	6	$60	98	0	+98	open	—	04-11 08:04
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	03-13 15:21
btc updown 5m 1775933700	7	$55	37	36	+1	open	—	04-11 19:00
btc updown 5m 1775907600	2	$50	75	0	+75	open	—	04-11 11:41
btc updown 5m 1775903100	2	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-11 10:28
btc updown 5m 1775898600	3	$50	31	30	+1	open	—	04-11 09:15
btc updown 5m 1775925600	4	$47	29	28	+1	open	—	04-11 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775906700	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-11 11:31
btc updown 5m 1776000600	8	$43	35	34	+1	open	—	04-12 13:34
btc updown 5m 1775924400	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	04-11 16:23
btc updown 5m 1775905800	2	$40	54	0	+54	open	—	04-11 11:11
btc updown 5m 1775903700	2	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	04-11 10:36
btc updown 5m 1775905200	2	$40	52	0	+52	open	—	04-11 11:02
btc updown 5m 1775893800	8	$38	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$35	41	23	+18	Up	$-5	05-06 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83ff9a…
05-07 18:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x991ff8…
05-07 18:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf1ebfe…
05-07 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfd847b…
05-07 10:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2d18bc…
05-07 10:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf662e8…
05-07 10:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ac572…
05-07 10:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x620258…
05-07 10:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9fdf2…
05-07 09:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x52ede6…
05-07 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfb0d6a…
05-06 16:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xc54a3d…
05-06 16:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xbbb4e0…
05-06 16:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x021eab…
05-06 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4e5220…
05-06 16:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3753e3…
05-06 16:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x774a7d…
05-06 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc2224c…
05-06 16:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x97089c…
05-06 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x29d010…
05-06 11:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3aacfd…
05-06 11:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x268303…
05-06 11:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4d2cbc…
05-06 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xea6c4a…
05-06 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7dda6d…
05-06 11:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x301b36…
05-06 11:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd00e7e…
05-06 11:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$8	0x3f53ba…
05-06 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb3a2d9…
05-06 11:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x0dacb5…
05-06 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3e5229…
05-06 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0xb07396…
05-06 11:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbb1334…
05-06 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x3da135…
05-06 11:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4b37d8…
05-06 10:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0340ed…
05-06 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0f4f4f…
05-06 09:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x586ede…
05-06 09:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb34243…
05-06 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x97ea35…
05-06 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x211d00…
05-06 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x9d1346…
05-06 08:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x744fb6…
05-06 08:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x25becb…
05-06 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9d374…
05-06 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf028e5…
05-06 08:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x56798c…
05-06 08:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc7b360…
05-06 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x36dad9…
05-06 08:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5dc756…
05-06 08:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x4e5bf6…
05-06 08:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbfc823…
05-06 08:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x80f6b8…
05-06 08:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd84965…
05-06 08:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa20838…
05-06 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x8811f7…
05-06 08:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x68829b…
05-06 07:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xda9b4f…
05-06 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8bc7ef…
05-06 07:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xd347d4…
05-06 07:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xae754d…
05-06 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x23e0bd…
05-06 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xeabea9…
05-06 07:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5365ce…
05-06 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa9fe54…
05-06 07:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x899715…
05-06 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x96a3e7…
05-06 07:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x357651…
05-06 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x88b741…
05-06 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1c7c7f…
05-06 07:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x87296b…
05-06 07:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2a1239…
05-05 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x97f669…
05-05 20:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdcfacf…
05-05 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x58309f…
05-05 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2e5cf7…
05-05 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe603b6…
05-05 20:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xca21c3…
05-05 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x16d08d…
05-05 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe93f9a…
05-05 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xae48bf…
05-05 20:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xff3d42…
05-05 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x384014…
05-05 19:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda8c09…
05-05 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfd9aa7…
05-05 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x8d35e6…
05-05 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4b2c4f…
05-05 19:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b8d57…
05-05 19:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b75bc…
05-05 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x53bac9…
05-05 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x535069…
05-05 19:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x6636d5…
05-05 19:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb0567a…
05-05 16:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf68885…
05-05 16:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$15	0x94b38a…
05-05 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x23e5ea…
05-05 16:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x35e608…
05-05 16:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xf2e60b…
05-05 16:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x40d0d0…
05-05 16:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ac1db…