Careless-Pole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$90	110	+110	Up	+$20	05-09 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$50	92	+92	Up	+$42	05-09 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$50	63	+63	Down	$-50	05-09 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$50	74	+74	Down	+$24	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$35	74	+74	Down	$-1	05-11 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$35	65	+65	Down	$-10	05-11 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$30	63	+63	Up	+$8	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$30	66	+66	Up	+$3	05-11 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$30	52	+52	Up	+$2	05-11 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$30	87	+87	Down	+$12	05-11 16:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$30	62	+62	Up	+$4	05-09 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$30	80	+80	Down	+$5	05-09 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$27	55	+55	Down	+$17	05-11 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	39	+39	Up	$-25	05-09 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$25	28	+28	Down	+$4	05-09 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$25	31	+31	Up	+$6	05-09 09:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	38	+38	Down	$-25	05-09 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$25	32	+32	Down	+$7	05-09 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$25	47	+47	Up	+$22	05-09 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$25	48	+48	Down	$-25	05-09 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$25	42	+42	Up	$-25	05-11 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$25	59	+59	Down	$-25	05-09 13:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$25	34	+34	Down	+$9	05-09 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$25	26	+26	Down	+$1	05-09 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$25	32	+32	Up	$-25	05-11 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$25	33	+33	Up	+$8	05-09 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$25	29	+29	Up	+$4	05-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	32	+32	Up	$-25	05-09 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$25	29	+29	Down	+$4	05-09 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	27	+27	Up	+$2	05-09 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 17:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x4678c8…
05-11 17:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xba7e01…
05-11 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6e2c92…
05-11 17:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x4111d6…
05-11 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x564f92…
05-11 17:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7dabe6…
05-11 17:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6ddadf…
05-11 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb73da4…
05-11 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x5dbcd6…
05-11 17:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc665bb…
05-11 17:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xea9319…
05-11 17:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xda53b3…
05-11 17:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1d76ef…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x0d0c4c…
05-11 16:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x33dfe7…
05-11 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xb9cafd…
05-11 16:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6a7b0d…
05-11 16:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xcc079c…
05-11 16:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6b613d…
05-11 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe72e10…
05-11 16:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x094fea…
05-11 16:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x65a0ef…
05-11 16:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x0605f0…
05-09 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x6fd4c7…
05-09 13:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8c0da7…
05-09 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x9c4302…
05-09 13:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9f0c92…
05-09 13:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbcf42e…
05-09 13:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x180da6…
05-09 13:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x02a02e…
05-09 13:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf72e0b…
05-09 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd87a37…
05-09 13:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x908461…
05-09 13:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x112b65…
05-09 13:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6d7862…
05-09 13:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x4ab2f4…
05-09 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcfdece…
05-09 13:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xaaf477…
05-09 12:57:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x30a5e8…
05-09 12:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xd574a8…
05-09 12:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x00154e…
05-09 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x10fafd…
05-09 12:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x307662…
05-09 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8438fe…
05-09 12:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xda99c1…
05-09 12:43:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf2cacb…
05-09 12:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x010540…
05-09 12:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x435b76…
05-09 12:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x959bed…
05-09 09:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xe83635…
05-09 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe99c80…
05-09 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x26dd6c…
05-09 09:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8e3e76…
05-09 09:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3431db…
05-09 09:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe50079…
05-09 09:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x248a78…
05-09 09:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xbad97e…
05-09 09:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5057ae…
05-09 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x730f05…
05-09 09:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x96532b…
05-09 09:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xca2c5a…
05-09 09:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x17a916…
05-09 09:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x819e51…
05-09 09:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3aecec…
05-09 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x255743…
05-09 08:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa30291…
05-09 08:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7dd32b…
05-09 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x663c20…
05-09 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x383787…