Key-Workout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$411

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-22 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 22% $-20

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1784741100	3	$17	12	8	+4	open	—	07-22 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$17	0	20	-20	open	—	05-18 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-31 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$14	18	9	+9	open	—	05-19 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-11 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$9	5	9	-4	open	—	05-17 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	05-18 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$8	11	0	+11	Up	+$3	05-10 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	05-17 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	05-18 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$7	0	10	-10	open	—	05-18 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	3	$7	30	0	+30	Up	$-7	05-11 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	4	$7	19	0	+19	open	—	05-18 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	5	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	05-15 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	05-17 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	2	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$5	11	2	+9	open	—	05-19 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-22 06:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-10 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-17 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	3	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	05-11 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:29:19	btc updown 5m 1784741100	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x0ae51e…
07-22 17:27:12	btc updown 5m 1784741100	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfa9ad6…
07-22 17:23:34	btc updown 5m 1784741100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xca784d…
07-22 16:48:54	btc updown 5m 1784738700	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc87539…
07-22 16:44:22	btc updown 5m 1784738400	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc18af4…
07-22 16:38:36	btc updown 5m 1784738100	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x743fef…
07-22 16:32:04	btc updown 5m 1784737800	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e3ff8…
07-22 16:29:30	btc updown 5m 1784737500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x04f907…
07-22 16:24:00	btc updown 5m 1784737200	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9dd281…
07-22 16:17:58	btc updown 5m 1784736900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x233d69…
07-22 16:14:54	btc updown 5m 1784736600	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29f7b0…
07-19 10:22:37	btc updown 5m 1784456400	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe01ea2…
07-19 10:10:00	btc updown 5m 1784455500	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff869b…
07-19 10:09:39	btc updown 5m 1784455500	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x936c56…
07-19 10:04:46	btc updown 5m 1784455200	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd52038…
07-17 18:20:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x918651…
07-17 18:19:40	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 17	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x444cf7…
07-17 18:08:18	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x616605…
07-14 18:32:44	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x429125…
07-11 17:19:35	btc updown 5m 1783790100	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x298328…
07-11 17:17:49	btc updown 5m 1783790100	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x8dad77…
07-11 17:17:49	btc updown 5m 1783790100	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x727ea3…
07-11 17:15:01	btc updown 5m 1783789800	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d90a4…
07-11 17:09:37	btc updown 5m 1783789500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1db16a…
07-10 15:16:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x710a7e…
07-07 17:47:52	bitcoin up or down on july 8 2026	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x165921…
07-04 08:01:35	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xe62050…
07-04 04:20:34	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd1446e…
06-07 05:27:51	btc updown 15m 1780810200	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x007215…
05-31 17:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb20c46…
05-31 17:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5ab7d0…
05-31 17:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x386ad2…
05-22 07:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x3b293a…
05-22 06:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x76d7af…
05-21 03:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd5e23d…
05-21 03:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb6ef6b…
05-20 09:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x164e62…
05-20 09:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xd4edbd…
05-20 08:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x2069a8…
05-20 06:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x35b4c4…
05-20 05:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x788bb3…
05-20 05:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc13cb6…
05-19 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xfe3f08…
05-19 17:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f0744…
05-19 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xfd65ad…
05-19 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x43bd12…
05-19 17:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5c3720…
05-19 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xed4290…
05-19 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0xc0dd32…
05-19 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xc0dd32…
05-19 16:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xeb690e…
05-19 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7784eb…
05-19 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6b2480…
05-19 16:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xca57e8…
05-19 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xcb36e1…
05-19 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4b906a…
05-19 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3e0f06…
05-19 15:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x13142a…
05-19 10:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x730b57…
05-19 09:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd33c76…
05-19 09:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xbf6ca0…
05-19 09:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x547b8b…
05-19 07:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c8e10…
05-19 07:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb7840c…
05-19 07:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa4b30b…
05-19 07:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8ba0a1…
05-19 06:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0e6bf0…
05-19 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa44db6…
05-18 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9c526e…
05-18 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x426f50…
05-18 17:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4014f5…
05-18 17:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8317b1…
05-18 17:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x7c64e9…
05-18 17:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x34e99e…
05-18 17:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x5f66c3…
05-18 17:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x87c48c…
05-18 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b2a09…
05-18 09:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x65a7fe…
05-18 09:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4d6313…
05-18 08:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd042bc…
05-18 08:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xe5c532…
05-18 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x2b50e4…
05-18 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x34bc43…
05-18 07:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xa8f542…
05-18 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xf2bde2…
05-18 07:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x3f7a9c…
05-18 07:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x2507eb…
05-18 07:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x4ebf6a…
05-18 06:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x40a876…
05-18 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xebeed1…
05-18 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$3	0x9644a6…
05-18 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x801181…
05-18 05:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xc1bc9e…
05-18 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x476a0d…
05-17 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb121c7…
05-17 18:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x600197…
05-17 18:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0639c8…
05-17 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x0abe8b…
05-17 17:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xe7c425…
05-17 17:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x3fa56f…