Perky-Handicap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$990

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-21 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

31% 100% +$3

Sports

14% 0% $-11

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$129	79	79	+0	open	—	04-06 05:13
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$89	125	125	+0	open	—	02-19 14:47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	04-12 17:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$52	43	43	+0	open	—	02-28 22:20
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	02-16 21:55
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$40	115	0	+115	open	—	06-21 15:05
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	02-08 20:39
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$40	52	0	+52	open	—	02-11 19:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$36	51	0	+51	open	—	02-10 20:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	02-19 11:30
cs2 tdk 100t 2026 06 21	1	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	06-21 15:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	1	$30	33	0	+33	Casper Ruud	+$3	05-13 16:14
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	02-21 05:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 15:22
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	05-18 16:43
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-08 22:48
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 22:25
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 22:26
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-18 16:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-08 22:49
mlb pit oak 2026 06 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-16 03:57
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$12	23	0	+23	Sean Strickland	$-1	05-09 15:57
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 04:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 10:24
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	04-12 17:31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$10	15	0	+15	Timberwolves	$-10	05-10 22:06
will trump say zelenskyy during the state of the union address 934	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	02-24 19:58
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-18 16:46
btc updown 5m 1772371800	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-01 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 15:07:02	cs2 tdk 100t 2026 06 21	TDK	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x582a90…
06-21 15:05:19	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xc8ead3…
06-16 03:57:30	mlb pit oak 2026 06 15	Athletics	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcbb7f1…
05-19 10:24:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x356ee1…
05-19 10:24:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xa44579…
05-18 16:46:32	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf74306…
05-18 16:44:07	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4ffdef…
05-18 16:43:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x185fc7…
05-16 19:20:57	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8358c8…
05-13 16:14:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf07ae8…
05-13 16:11:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x62acc5…
05-13 16:11:27	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x60543b…
05-13 16:11:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x40faa1…
05-13 16:10:51	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xcb80b0…
05-13 16:10:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5b3dd5…
05-10 22:06:15	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5d5ef8…
05-09 15:57:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x524ed5…
05-09 05:38:07	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2cc6ed…
04-29 22:26:38	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x334a84…
04-29 22:25:38	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x831c6f…
04-29 04:27:48	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x79dc56…
04-28 08:05:38	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x82ca59…
04-24 15:22:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xec444a…
04-24 15:21:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xc015aa…
04-22 06:02:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1728ba…
04-22 06:01:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2fcf34…
04-12 17:31:33	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc02bd6…
04-12 17:24:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	42	87¢	$37	0x275763…
04-10 19:40:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe7eb1f…
04-06 05:13:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x5302f7…
03-29 08:01:32	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x735b45…
03-15 21:57:57	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xebdb77…
03-15 21:57:37	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd435f3…
03-01 13:34:53	btc updown 5m 1772371800	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3d2b49…
02-28 22:20:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	43	52¢	$22	0x4e61c5…
02-28 19:10:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x06a5cd…
02-27 21:59:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x3a7e9e…
02-24 19:58:38	will trump say zelenskyy during the state of the union address 934	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd13b50…
02-24 19:57:52	will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9083fc…
02-21 05:56:58	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xda47f7…
02-19 14:47:12	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	47¢	$59	0xbe300e…
02-19 11:30:54	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x7a67d8…
02-16 21:55:21	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0x9f047a…
02-15 07:21:59	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x0bc642…
02-11 19:02:59	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xb75445…
02-11 14:19:11	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x017e8f…
02-10 20:53:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0x369f8a…
02-08 22:52:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5b99a0…
02-08 22:49:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xb2f28b…
02-08 22:49:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2df8de…
02-08 22:48:29	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x31d884…
02-08 20:39:39	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x5ba45b…