Ethical-Carrier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,624

lifetime

Volume

$5.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-22 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

46% 39% +$32

Sports

41% — —

Politics

13% 60% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	14	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	07-17 11:17
will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	5	$64	51	59	-8	open	—	04-06 20:37
will the announcers say visa during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316336	11	$61	70	0	+70	open	—	06-18 13:18
will the median home value in miami be between 1220000 and 1240000 by april 1	10	$51	80	0	+80	open	—	04-01 12:17
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$46	55	29	+25	open	—	05-14 05:33
will jpmorgan say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006610	10	$44	117	0	+117	open	—	07-14 14:51
will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901492	7	$43	55	0	+55	open	—	07-10 18:52
will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	9	$40	77	67	+11	open	—	07-19 18:48
will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	5	$37	26	14	+12	open	—	07-22 06:18
will conagra brands say collaboration during earnings call 20260703161814723	10	$37	42	13	+28	open	—	07-15 04:01
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	9	$36	211	0	+211	open	—	07-05 23:37
will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	10	$34	43	0	+43	open	—	06-30 07:48
will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513570	25	$34	51	0	+51	open	—	06-17 06:22
will bank of america say subscriber during earnings call 20260710144833039	8	$33	21	17	+4	open	—	07-14 13:33
will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	9	$32	54	0	+54	open	—	07-16 17:21
will conagra brands say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260703161814712	10	$31	21	15	+6	open	—	07-15 04:34
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	10	$29	701	742	-41	open	—	03-17 13:28
will general motors say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530304	9	$29	24	14	+11	open	—	07-20 18:23
will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	8	$27	113	0	+113	open	—	07-18 14:53
will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	3	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 00:30
will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402809	5	$27	41	0	+41	open	—	07-03 18:29
will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	8	$27	47	9	+37	open	—	07-14 13:05
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 03:15
will trump say ballroom during the white house easter egg roll	3	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 01:07
will trump say farmer during the white house easter egg roll	4	$25	146	0	+146	open	—	04-06 13:04
will trump say resurrection or resurrected or resurrect during the easter lunch on wednesday	3	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-02 08:07
will the announcers say depth during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716366	4	$25	80	0	+80	open	—	07-14 20:40
will the announcers say golden ball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757338	4	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	07-18 18:28
will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	10	$25	56	4	+51	open	—	07-19 20:20
will the announcers say set piece during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913601	6	$24	49	0	+49	open	—	07-05 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:50:22	will tesla say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260713183304166	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x97a36d…
07-22 21:37:30	will tesla say robot during earnings call 20260713183304182	No	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xa38dfd…
07-22 17:33:40	will tesla say robot during earnings call 20260713183304182	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x88bcec…
07-22 10:29:33	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x101355…
07-22 08:56:16	will tesla say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260713183304166	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x885850…
07-22 08:50:43	will tesla say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260713183304166	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xd64cf7…
07-22 07:27:00	will intel say advanced during earnings call 20260717163650078	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x39c31e…
07-22 06:18:06	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x11f2e3…
07-22 01:51:30	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xe0aebe…
07-21 20:34:49	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xf49160…
07-21 20:34:42	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x179a3a…
07-21 20:29:55	will verizon say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260713183952372	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x15da60…
07-21 20:29:42	will verizon say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260713183952372	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb0a779…
07-21 20:29:19	will verizon say income 10 times during earnings call 20260713183952370	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x89d8a9…
07-21 16:47:13	will verizon say china during earnings call 20260713183952385	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa38ffb…
07-21 11:32:33	will general motors say emission during earnings call 20260713183530316	No	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xc08489…
07-21 11:32:31	will general motors say emission during earnings call 20260713183530316	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x33e6ad…
07-21 11:23:03	will general motors say truck 5 times during earnings call 20260713183530310	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb315e9…
07-20 18:23:12	will general motors say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530304	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x892096…
07-20 18:22:55	will general motors say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530303	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xb06d7a…
07-20 13:42:25	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xe658f7…
07-20 11:45:36	will intel say node ramp during earnings call 20260717163650082	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x485e2d…
07-20 11:38:46	will general motors say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530303	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x480748…
07-20 03:44:42	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xec6dc5…
07-19 22:06:33	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x697f8a…
07-19 22:06:12	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xbfa0c1…
07-19 21:42:37	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa61a6a…
07-19 20:20:58	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x623cca…
07-19 19:13:49	will the announcers say equalizer during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403333	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xbba844…
07-19 19:06:52	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9bc1c3…
07-19 19:04:07	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956899	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xded2a4…
07-19 19:04:03	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe469d0…
07-19 18:57:24	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcdff9e…
07-19 18:48:36	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xd41e24…
07-19 18:47:34	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0xcc2f16…
07-19 18:27:15	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956887	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0ed674…
07-19 17:21:19	will general motors say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530303	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xa867ba…
07-19 17:07:01	will general motors say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530303	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x373081…
07-19 15:30:39	will intel say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650072	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa3fd1b…
07-19 15:30:07	will intel say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650072	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x45464a…
07-19 15:02:55	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x4e8b9c…
07-19 15:02:21	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf07665…
07-19 13:49:04	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xc8a44e…
07-19 13:48:34	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x4f78a9…
07-19 13:44:42	will general motors say suv 5 times during earnings call 20260713183530311	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x556c14…
07-19 13:43:37	will the announcers say tenure during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956889	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xaa8f76…
07-19 13:32:19	will general motors say suv 5 times during earnings call 20260713183530311	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdad1f6…
07-19 13:01:33	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8ad7bd…
07-19 12:42:49	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1aa7be…
07-19 12:39:52	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6cea48…
07-19 12:31:10	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0f5e14…
07-19 12:16:48	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7e7002…
07-19 11:34:19	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6afe24…
07-19 11:26:28	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x399f76…
07-19 10:54:06	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956887	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x73f560…
07-19 10:29:36	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956887	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x038b64…
07-19 10:22:21	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x3545b6…
07-19 10:06:45	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc59cdd…
07-19 09:55:09	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x9f0dff…
07-19 09:52:45	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xed4ab2…
07-19 09:18:01	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956885	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xfb15fb…
07-19 09:09:58	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x3c073d…
07-19 09:09:48	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956885	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x97977b…
07-19 09:01:34	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x764be8…
07-19 08:37:55	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x284099…
07-19 08:27:45	will dow say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814080	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x90f764…
07-19 08:27:45	will dow say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814080	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7b5f30…
07-19 08:27:21	will dow say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814080	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1e100f…
07-19 07:38:04	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956885	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb97b23…
07-19 07:25:40	will the announcers say what a strike or what a finish during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403324	No	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xfd680f…
07-19 07:25:34	will the announcers say what a strike or what a finish during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403324	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xbae78b…
07-19 07:23:21	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe97f3c…
07-19 07:17:03	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3eeb8c…
07-19 06:50:36	will intel say node ramp during earnings call 20260717163650082	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x00c1c2…
07-19 06:25:46	will general motors say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530304	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8665d7…
07-19 01:43:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xdfd001…
07-19 01:28:58	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956897	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf5e874…
07-18 23:26:01	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa18cb1…
07-18 23:09:42	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740627	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe46878…
07-18 23:04:07	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x62de31…
07-18 22:18:36	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x13030b…
07-18 22:11:30	will the announcers say transition during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740626	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfd9582…
07-18 21:53:10	will the announcers say history during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740633	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xd7f405…
07-18 21:22:43	will the announcers say transition during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740626	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x38bff0…
07-18 21:06:34	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x916ce3…
07-18 20:55:45	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x621ebf…
07-18 19:12:06	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740627	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8dff80…
07-18 19:04:24	will the announcers say tenure during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956889	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xf0c968…
07-18 18:28:31	will the announcers say golden ball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757338	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x6f4363…
07-18 18:00:31	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x69a3b0…
07-18 17:14:15	will general motors say emission during earnings call 20260713183530316	No	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x057fe8…
07-18 16:51:54	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x4250d6…
07-18 15:42:04	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740621	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xbd6961…
07-18 15:27:48	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740627	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6de6d8…
07-18 14:53:51	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3ea51f…
07-18 13:55:33	will the announcers say golden ball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757338	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x276f24…
07-18 13:50:10	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5f5eb5…
07-18 12:57:48	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x6d5f80…
07-18 11:13:30	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1125d8…
07-18 10:32:46	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x301392…