Ethical-Carrier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,878

lifetime

Volume

$6.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-11 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

53% 39% +$32

Sports

36% — —

Politics

11% 60% +$10

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	14	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	07-17 11:17
will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	5	$64	51	59	-8	open	—	04-06 20:37
will the announcers say visa during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316336	11	$61	70	0	+70	open	—	06-18 13:18
will the median home value in miami be between 1220000 and 1240000 by april 1	10	$51	80	0	+80	open	—	04-01 12:17
will boeing say airbus during earnings call 20260724221853562	15	$48	161	37	+124	open	—	07-28 15:17
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$46	55	29	+25	open	—	05-14 05:33
will jpmorgan say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006610	10	$44	117	0	+117	open	—	07-14 14:51
will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901492	7	$43	55	0	+55	open	—	07-10 18:52
will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	9	$40	77	67	+11	open	—	07-19 18:48
will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	5	$37	26	14	+12	open	—	07-22 06:18
will conagra brands say collaboration during earnings call 20260703161814723	10	$37	42	13	+28	open	—	07-15 04:01
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	9	$36	211	0	+211	open	—	07-05 23:37
will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	10	$34	43	0	+43	open	—	06-30 07:48
will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513570	25	$34	51	0	+51	open	—	06-17 06:22
will bank of america say subscriber during earnings call 20260710144833039	8	$33	21	17	+4	open	—	07-14 13:33
will american express say airline during earnings call 20260717164416062	10	$33	486	4	+482	open	—	07-24 12:44
will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	9	$32	54	0	+54	open	—	07-16 17:21
will conagra brands say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260703161814712	10	$31	21	15	+6	open	—	07-15 04:34
will microsoft say gaming during earnings call 20260727154558541	6	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	07-28 13:02
will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	5	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	07-27 15:47
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	10	$29	701	742	-41	open	—	03-17 13:28
will general motors say dollar 10 times during earnings call 20260713183530304	9	$29	24	14	+11	open	—	07-20 18:23
will verizon say china during earnings call 20260713183952385	5	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	07-24 11:01
will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	8	$27	113	0	+113	open	—	07-18 14:53
will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	3	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 00:30
will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402809	5	$27	41	0	+41	open	—	07-03 18:29
will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	8	$27	47	9	+37	open	—	07-14 13:05
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 03:15
will trump say ballroom during the white house easter egg roll	3	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 01:07
will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	12	$26	48	17	+31	open	—	07-30 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:17:36	will cava say fiscal 5 times during earnings call 20260807205722553	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x6041cb…
08-11 15:34:49	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x8f4950…
08-11 15:34:48	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x9b464c…
08-11 15:21:15	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x000b12…
08-11 15:18:48	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xbee3b9…
08-11 00:08:39	will cisco say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260807205828980	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x88be41…
08-10 22:58:01	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xab2854…
08-10 22:51:01	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5e0fa0…
08-10 21:27:10	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x810065…
08-10 21:21:42	will cava say sweet potato during earnings call 20260807205722561	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x25ed41…
08-10 15:00:33	will cisco say growth during earnings call 20260807205828982	No	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x4e10bf…
08-10 06:17:48	will cava say fiscal 5 times during earnings call 20260807205722553	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1ca06c…
08-09 17:52:57	will cisco say tariff during earnings call 20260807205828987	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4d766d…
08-08 23:26:31	will cisco say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260807205828981	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3aec79…
08-08 21:54:45	will cisco say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260807205828981	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x70313d…
08-08 18:47:21	will cava say sweet potato during earnings call 20260807205722561	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd6d374…
08-08 11:21:18	will cisco say income 10 times during earnings call 20260807205828979	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6a1617…
08-08 03:17:57	will cisco say capacity during earnings call 20260807205828986	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xeae9f3…
08-08 02:20:45	will hims say wearable during earnings call 20260807205625285	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x514c15…
08-08 02:20:42	will hims say wearable during earnings call 20260807205625285	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2d4dc5…
08-05 11:01:54	will uber say delivery 10 times during earnings call 20260803163025066	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x3434db…
08-05 00:18:20	will uber say market share during earnings call 20260803163025077	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3dabe2…
08-05 00:18:06	will uber say market share during earnings call 20260803163025077	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x52f5e1…
08-04 23:55:51	will uber say market share during earnings call 20260803163025077	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xcc0094…
08-04 13:26:44	will uber say safety during earnings call 20260803163025074	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x08655b…
08-04 12:14:35	will uber say safety during earnings call 20260803163025074	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8ae626…
08-03 08:49:21	will palantir say commercial 10 times during earnings call 20260730163530760	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x2f233c…
08-02 17:02:39	will amd say cpu 20 times during earnings call 20260730164425700	No	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x701e8f…
07-31 22:40:24	will palantir say healthcare during earnings call 20260730163530767	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x4cfc2c…
07-31 22:11:12	will palantir say healthcare during earnings call 20260730163530767	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x34c4ab…
07-31 18:44:56	will spotify say premium 20 times during earnings call 20260730163821615	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xd8ca57…
07-31 17:50:02	will palantir say healthcare during earnings call 20260730163530767	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x262cfe…
07-31 17:45:12	will palantir say healthcare during earnings call 20260730163530767	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x1a99c8…
07-31 17:44:53	will palantir say healthcare during earnings call 20260730163530767	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x271016…
07-31 14:13:59	will palantir say warp speed during earnings call 20260730163530770	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6c8a56…
07-31 11:07:02	will spotify say fitness during earnings call 20260730163821625	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x491c04…
07-31 11:06:59	will spotify say fitness during earnings call 20260730163821625	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x65a04d…
07-31 11:06:57	will spotify say fitness during earnings call 20260730163821625	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x3dae96…
07-31 10:21:36	will spotify say world cup during earnings call 20260730163821622	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd6d61f…
07-31 06:48:33	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x0d571c…
07-31 06:41:12	will spotify say meta during earnings call 20260730163821629	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2f7421…
07-31 05:26:20	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xbd5028…
07-31 04:31:21	will spotify say playlist during earnings call 20260730163821624	No	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x9b33bf…
07-31 03:56:32	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x72eb63…
07-31 03:56:12	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x04abfe…
07-30 21:50:12	will amazon say china during earnings call 20260728011934953	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9c0089…
07-30 21:34:08	will amazon say third party seller during earnings call 20260728011934952	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x769943…
07-30 21:20:51	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	No	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0xa678d7…
07-30 21:17:11	will apple say roadmap during earnings call 20260727155548218	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x2c5886…
07-30 16:38:27	will amazon say china during earnings call 20260728011934953	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb1a537…
07-30 16:36:39	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd52ae1…
07-30 16:27:21	will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfb5623…
07-30 13:55:33	will apple say gpu cpu during earnings call 20260727155548216	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x64519a…
07-30 13:54:00	will apple say gpu cpu during earnings call 20260727155548216	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xddb668…
07-30 08:51:03	will apple say gpu cpu during earnings call 20260727155548216	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc70b38…
07-30 06:34:41	will amazon say third party seller during earnings call 20260728011934952	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7e2c1a…
07-30 06:15:53	will apple say streaming during earnings call 20260727155548225	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xa2f4da…
07-30 03:37:17	will apple say icloud during earnings call 20260727155548212	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1abf03…
07-30 03:35:56	will apple say icloud during earnings call 20260727155548212	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x8af37e…
07-30 03:11:44	will apple say tariff during earnings call 20260727155548220	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x165aff…
07-29 21:21:08	will amazon say iran during earnings call 20260728011934944	Yes	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0x6a6c7e…
07-29 21:20:14	will amazon say middle east during earnings call 20260728011934943	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0xc011fd…
07-29 21:12:11	will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7cbb58…
07-29 21:06:02	will apple say icloud during earnings call 20260727155548212	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa686c5…
07-29 19:54:42	will microsoft say excel during earnings call 20260727154558542	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1aabbf…
07-29 16:22:15	will amazon say tariff during earnings call 20260728011934949	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xcfd978…
07-29 15:45:44	will amazon say live sports during earnings call 20260728011934950	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd1e7ae…
07-29 15:03:26	will amazon say live sports during earnings call 20260728011934950	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x94a84b…
07-29 14:18:32	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x0b3981…
07-29 13:46:15	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xb18a11…
07-29 13:46:08	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	No	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x405061…
07-29 13:00:56	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xbfe72d…
07-29 12:47:56	will procter gamble say collusion during earnings call 20260717164206373	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1935b7…
07-29 12:38:03	will apple say siri during earnings call 20260727155548221	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x915017…
07-29 10:34:24	will apple say airpod during earnings call 20260727155548214	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x053cfe…
07-29 08:56:06	will apple say roadmap during earnings call 20260727155548218	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x8a4a56…
07-28 21:42:44	will apple say ai artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260727155548210	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x12a04d…
07-28 19:35:14	will apple say apple intelligence during earnings call 20260727155548211	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x57c165…
07-28 17:32:32	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x381ffb…
07-28 15:33:29	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0c6435…
07-28 15:33:19	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x6af0e1…
07-28 15:33:19	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x61c5cf…
07-28 15:33:19	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4ffe00…
07-28 15:17:11	will boeing say airbus during earnings call 20260724221853562	Yes	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0x629ac4…
07-28 15:13:58	will amazon say tariff during earnings call 20260728011934949	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5f4706…
07-28 15:09:49	will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xe658f9…
07-28 15:08:32	will amazon say prime day during earnings call 20260728011934945	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x5d2e6b…
07-28 15:08:31	will amazon say prime day during earnings call 20260728011934945	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xd8a74d…
07-28 14:41:37	will apple say roadmap during earnings call 20260727155548218	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x195201…
07-28 13:12:56	will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0xfcaae1…
07-28 13:02:25	will microsoft say gaming during earnings call 20260727154558541	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x9946fb…
07-28 12:13:22	will microsoft say gaming during earnings call 20260727154558541	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x1ab77c…
07-28 11:16:55	will microsoft say layoff job cut during earnings call 20260727154558557	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc3de35…
07-28 11:01:16	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x16ec10…
07-28 10:51:14	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x335f12…
07-28 10:46:59	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9a1d21…
07-28 10:35:02	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0aad20…
07-28 10:31:10	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1261a4…
07-28 10:25:56	will apple say roadmap during earnings call 20260727155548218	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb35fb0…
07-28 10:00:38	will boeing say moon during earnings call 20260724221853557	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x2d7840…