Starchy-Today — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$59.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% — —

Other

6% 0% $-3

Politics

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	142	$51.7K	34,430	34,830	-400	open	—	03-24 20:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	15	$1.3K	2,700	149	+2,551	open	—	03-06 14:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-02 23:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	34	$929	706	706	+0	open	—	03-05 22:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$879	441	441	+0	open	—	06-07 23:34
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$773	562	608	-46	open	—	05-22 22:30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$476	694	0	+694	open	—	05-15 21:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$375	100	339	-239	open	—	05-23 07:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	3	$315	232	232	+0	open	—	04-14 22:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$223	115	115	+0	open	—	05-12 18:14
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$153	188	0	+188	open	—	02-25 13:17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	20	$142	222	222	+0	open	—	05-21 23:49
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	1	$92	110	0	+110	open	—	01-15 23:49
eth updown 5m 1772143500	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	02-26 22:11
James Comey arrested by May 15?	3	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 18:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 22:47
us strike on somalia by january 31	1	$63	97	0	+97	open	—	01-06 02:18
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-24 19:40
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$38	53	53	+0	open	—	03-24 19:40
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	17	$37	81	81	+0	open	—	03-17 11:00
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	6	$36	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 03:08
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	3	$31	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 03:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$26	450	225	+225	open	—	05-23 20:48
btc updown 5m 1772532300	2	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	03-03 10:06
btc updown 5m 1772533200	2	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	03-03 10:23
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	5	$24	30	20	+10	open	—	03-10 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 04:44
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	4	$16	12,000	1,000	+11,000	open	—	01-01 10:53
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	2	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 14:26
btc updown 15m 1772856000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-07 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:23:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa41b09…
06-07 23:34:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	441	100¢	$440	0x862a0c…
06-07 02:38:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	441	100¢	$439	0xa2c8bf…
05-23 20:48:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	225	6¢	$13	0x912d94…
05-23 14:19:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	450	3¢	$13	0x3b0c23…
05-23 07:53:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	339	99¢	$335	0xce6144…
05-22 22:30:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x74cc69…
05-22 21:47:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x3970d1…
05-21 23:49:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0xb4e1e0…
05-21 23:40:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x55f397…
05-21 23:38:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf028d7…
05-21 23:38:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x97d7b6…
05-21 23:37:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xee27d8…
05-21 23:37:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc71936…
05-21 23:37:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xd3a0b3…
05-21 23:37:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xfa6898…
05-21 22:11:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x0cbdc9…
05-21 22:10:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xaecd4c…
05-21 22:10:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x0fc4b3…
05-21 22:09:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3b7dc6…
05-21 22:09:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x149d30…
05-21 22:02:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x017c8c…
05-21 22:02:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfd1e78…
05-21 21:56:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xcc1320…
05-21 21:54:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3fe51a…
05-21 10:59:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x396cbe…
05-21 10:30:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x756127…
05-20 21:19:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xe80285…
05-20 20:10:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x71c370…
05-19 16:41:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	127	43¢	$55	0x41886a…
05-19 16:39:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8a1caf…
05-19 16:12:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	310	54¢	$167	0x9594e0…
05-19 14:19:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	79	70¢	$55	0x05a086…
05-19 14:15:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	158	65¢	$103	0x2c20fa…
05-19 13:15:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xbdef84…
05-19 13:07:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	250	69¢	$172	0x214e48…
05-16 17:58:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xf653bc…
05-16 17:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc3364d…
05-16 14:54:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x642b7b…
05-16 14:53:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe8c440…
05-15 21:54:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x37edae…
05-15 21:43:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0x9fdea2…
05-15 21:42:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdb6d17…
05-15 17:59:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	152	88¢	$133	0x0ea52d…
05-15 16:26:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	109	84¢	$91	0xb10c96…
05-13 16:07:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	146	78¢	$114	0xf176ba…
05-12 18:14:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x5c9f72…
05-12 10:53:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$17	0x32327f…
05-04 00:29:52	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f980c…
05-04 00:26:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0796ba…
05-03 01:16:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0xf4f528…
05-02 14:27:36	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x8ce6ea…
04-29 18:53:16	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe3bee0…
04-29 01:19:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x126b08…
04-29 01:19:26	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0x008fd2…
04-20 11:23:20	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0xb6f3d1…
04-20 07:40:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x3cf310…
04-20 07:17:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x548ba1…
04-19 10:45:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0xfcd646…
04-19 09:49:44	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xc1b9c6…
04-18 18:51:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xbb3c1c…
04-18 18:51:14	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	Yes	SELL	146	1¢	$2	0x8b08f2…
04-18 18:50:58	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0x6a8c4c…
04-18 18:50:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x3274f4…
04-18 18:50:24	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 190 214	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x82b2a0…
04-18 18:49:54	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 215 239	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x38a596…
04-18 18:47:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x75266c…
04-14 22:51:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	232	60¢	$139	0x9c9a69…
04-14 22:47:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x69df37…
04-13 08:13:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x9afee2…
04-13 07:56:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	153	76¢	$116	0xd27cea…
04-13 03:31:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	82	45¢	$37	0x323237…
04-13 03:20:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb567f6…
03-24 20:00:45	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,938	0¢	$8	0x57311a…
03-24 19:57:41	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,376	5¢	$124	0xf263db…
03-24 19:57:39	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	446	5¢	$23	0xce4de4…
03-24 19:57:35	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	178	5¢	$9	0xa32381…
03-24 19:43:09	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	938	13¢	$122	0xcf52ea…
03-24 19:40:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x00bf80…
03-24 19:40:21	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x773144…
03-24 19:40:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x3e3e73…
03-24 19:40:11	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x49aeb1…
03-24 19:39:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,136	85¢	$965	0x402b65…
03-24 19:39:41	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9,828	85¢	$8,344	0x11481e…
03-24 19:38:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	275	85¢	$234	0xeeff58…
03-24 19:37:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	180	84¢	$152	0xcbfc3d…
03-24 19:33:29	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	139	84¢	$117	0xeab66c…
03-24 19:33:23	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	131	84¢	$110	0xb1b722…
03-24 19:32:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x3b670a…
03-24 19:32:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	83¢	$31	0xe2dbe2…
03-24 19:32:17	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	278	83¢	$231	0x563a34…
03-24 19:32:13	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	143	84¢	$119	0x23b25a…
03-24 19:32:03	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x890f98…
03-24 19:29:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	298	84¢	$250	0x13abfd…
03-24 19:29:43	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xf13684…
03-24 19:29:33	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	82¢	$246	0xc11db4…
03-24 19:29:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x038500…
03-24 19:28:43	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x989f5e…
03-24 19:24:15	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x8aa458…
03-24 19:21:05	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x033289…