Dirty-Hydrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$440

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$41.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-01 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

35% — —

Other

35% — —

Crypto

25% 50% +$440

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$5.3K	3,040	3,040	+0	open	—	03-10 06:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$3.9K	4,800	0	+4,800	open	—	06-01 12:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	47	$3.8K	1,970	1,970	+0	open	—	03-18 14:58
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	25	$3.5K	5,634	5,700	-66	open	—	03-23 13:17
will iran strike jordan in march	12	$2.3K	1,303	1,353	-50	open	—	03-14 07:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.0K	5,513	140	+5,373	open	—	05-20 14:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$1.8K	1,459	1,459	+0	open	—	03-08 01:03
us strikes iraq by february 28	29	$1.6K	3,138	2,138	+1,000	open	—	03-04 03:48
will kanye tweet again by march 31	15	$1.3K	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	03-18 07:42
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$1.3K	860	860	+0	open	—	05-13 15:09
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$1.2K	750	750	+0	open	—	03-05 07:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$1.1K	930	930	+0	open	—	04-17 16:15
nothing ever happens microstrategy	22	$905	1,464	1,514	-50	open	—	03-12 09:57
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$872	975	975	+0	open	—	05-14 06:12
will iran strike jordan in march 375	13	$739	295	496	-201	open	—	03-14 07:20
bitcoin above 72800 on march 21 2026 5am et	3	$678	344	344	+0	open	—	03-21 16:29
Will Solana reach $90 in May?	2	$640	1,085	0	+1,085	Yes	+$445	05-03 01:47
will iran strike israel on march 6	22	$626	3,813	5,600	-1,787	open	—	03-09 11:44
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	17	$591	454	454	+0	open	—	03-21 14:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	13	$582	904	1,144	-240	open	—	03-21 05:34
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	8	$496	2,100	400	+1,700	open	—	03-12 13:19
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	15	$433	4,520	4,679	-159	open	—	03-14 18:26
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$420	388	940	-552	open	—	02-27 12:59
ethereum above 2085 on march 21 2026 5am et	3	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	03-21 14:39
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	3	$398	313	307	+6	open	—	04-30 00:42
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	7	$339	165	175	-10	open	—	01-17 12:22
bitcoin above 72000 on march 21 2026 5am et	2	$328	165	165	+0	open	—	03-21 16:36
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$302	155	155	+0	open	—	01-21 11:25
will trump say hormuz this week march 22	6	$285	208	208	+0	open	—	03-16 09:49
will iran strike cyprus in march	3	$279	628	628	+0	open	—	03-05 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:17:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	650	84¢	$543	0x74caf9…
06-01 12:17:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,670	0x6569d6…
06-01 12:17:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	84¢	$202	0x3b08da…
06-01 12:17:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	642	84¢	$536	0x37485e…
06-01 12:17:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0x060f99…
06-01 12:12:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	76¢	$914	0xaa4d9a…
05-25 11:00:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x7f25ff…
05-21 16:28:46	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x7c6d0a…
05-21 08:59:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xa0effd…
05-20 14:39:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,567	37¢	$581	0x556c84…
05-20 14:36:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	280	37¢	$104	0x554a63…
05-20 11:24:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	36¢	$364	0xd64756…
05-18 09:52:14	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x35054f…
05-18 09:28:24	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xa8d18e…
05-18 08:37:04	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb6ef95…
05-18 08:29:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe6aa44…
05-16 04:41:38	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x879f6b…
05-16 03:02:05	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	59¢	$22	0x31e9cb…
05-15 13:36:23	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	145	79¢	$115	0xffa3bc…
05-15 08:25:03	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	128	46¢	$59	0x0af3ab…
05-15 07:40:52	Will BNB reach $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0xf94e57…
05-14 13:45:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x0239b9…
05-14 13:44:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	72¢	$101	0x8941cb…
05-14 13:42:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	72¢	$101	0xe84a2f…
05-14 13:37:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	28¢	$501	0xbf94a8…
05-14 13:28:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	269	27¢	$74	0x3155ff…
05-14 13:28:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	27¢	$29	0xc9afad…
05-14 10:36:44	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	229	44¢	$102	0xa1727f…
05-14 10:28:04	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xdcd3f8…
05-14 10:27:46	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa745d7…
05-14 06:12:36	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	680	32¢	$218	0x2c163b…
05-13 15:43:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x604515…
05-13 15:43:06	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9dc4cc…
05-13 15:40:41	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xc0e1cf…
05-13 15:39:22	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	95	61¢	$58	0x2166c9…
05-13 15:29:55	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	190	57¢	$108	0x569751…
05-13 15:09:01	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	130	81¢	$105	0xde372c…
05-13 15:04:15	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x42fc4b…
05-13 15:00:45	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	186	84¢	$156	0x032f95…
05-13 15:00:12	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x20b4b1…
05-13 14:58:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	117	83¢	$97	0x5e59ae…
05-13 14:56:09	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xd361b0…
05-13 14:54:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xa5dc61…
05-13 14:53:59	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xc81b52…
05-13 13:53:51	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	140	84¢	$118	0x4cc324…
05-13 13:52:29	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x896644…
05-13 13:52:23	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x2492c9…
05-13 13:46:42	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	62	83¢	$51	0x6003be…
05-13 13:44:43	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xd7afcf…
05-13 13:35:34	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x18db2b…
05-10 06:59:31	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x87b643…
05-10 04:08:36	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe2c7ec…
05-10 00:44:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x84bec3…
05-10 00:43:05	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x4561d1…
05-09 09:08:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3f574e…
05-09 09:06:52	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	847	50¢	$420	0x496d45…
05-09 09:01:55	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x836ed4…
05-09 08:59:26	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0x0e1994…
05-09 08:51:53	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x842420…
05-09 08:47:46	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	845	68¢	$571	0xec55a2…
05-09 08:30:25	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x6a4c66…
05-09 03:55:27	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	53¢	$48	0x345ec4…
05-08 06:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x64fbce…
05-03 01:47:34	Will Solana reach $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0x4dd72d…
05-03 01:44:08	Will Solana reach $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,010	59¢	$596	0x772181…
04-30 00:42:14	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	76¢	$214	0xf5d32a…
04-29 03:08:16	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xd2b438…
04-27 11:08:32	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	56¢	$15	0xc14160…
04-27 08:34:32	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x7826ca…
04-27 04:05:20	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$10	0x625ba9…
04-27 04:04:20	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	SELL	31	72¢	$23	0xf22054…
04-27 00:07:10	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	54¢	$169	0xbff6fc…
04-26 11:35:20	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x2e909d…
04-26 08:24:50	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xd6bbe9…
04-26 08:23:50	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x95ce83…
04-24 11:09:16	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	SELL	71	21¢	$15	0x0ec16e…
04-24 08:40:54	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0xe1c7ed…
04-24 07:37:28	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	SELL	63	20¢	$13	0xb2257a…
04-24 07:33:12	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0x7580c5…
04-24 07:28:54	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0xd723a5…
04-24 07:12:02	Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	BUY	272	20¢	$54	0x771aed…
04-17 16:15:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	930	60¢	$558	0x29e41c…
03-27 03:26:05	btc updown 5m 1774581900	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xddfefd…
03-23 15:13:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	930	63¢	$586	0xc5f9fa…
03-23 13:17:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	2,611	10¢	$266	0xbd09e4…
03-23 07:50:49	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	461	70¢	$322	0x12d6ae…
03-23 07:28:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	280	65¢	$182	0x74b7e7…
03-23 06:38:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	181	64¢	$116	0xdb6671…
03-22 22:32:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	2,611	11¢	$297	0x00683c…
03-22 01:24:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x1dd015…
03-21 21:33:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	1,420	40¢	$568	0x83d411…
03-21 17:19:33	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x48d61d…
03-21 17:14:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x32ac83…
03-21 16:37:29	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$109	0xbebdae…
03-21 16:36:25	bitcoin above 72400 on march 21 2026 5am et	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x0c64b1…
03-21 16:36:15	bitcoin above 72000 on march 21 2026 5am et	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x686abb…
03-21 16:35:55	bitcoin above 69200 on march 21 2026 5am et	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x0374ca…
03-21 16:29:33	bitcoin above 72800 on march 21 2026 5am et	No	SELL	344	100¢	$344	0xf57719…
03-21 14:45:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	198	54¢	$107	0xcbd7fd…
03-21 14:45:35	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x6bf468…