Full-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$520

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-04 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 31% $-32

Politics

15% 0% $-10

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$38	114	0	+114	open	—	02-18 21:20
btc updown 5m 1771452000	2	$35	26	25	+0	open	—	02-18 22:05
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$30	86	0	+86	open	—	02-17 23:28
btc updown 5m 1771449600	3	$23	18	17	+0	open	—	02-18 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	14	14	+0	Up	+$8	05-04 20:00
btc updown 5m 1771452300	2	$20	103	0	+103	open	—	02-18 22:07
btc updown 5m 1771451700	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-18 22:00
btc updown 5m 1771438500	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-18 18:20
btc updown 5m 1771412400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-18 11:05
btc updown 5m 1771450500	3	$11	67	0	+67	open	—	02-18 21:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	$-10	05-04 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Down	$-10	05-04 20:30
btc updown 5m 1771452600	1	$10	96	0	+96	open	—	02-18 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	45	0	+45	Up	$-10	05-04 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-04 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-10	05-04 20:36
btc updown 5m 1771451400	2	$10	121	0	+121	open	—	02-18 21:52
btc updown 5m 1771450800	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-18 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-04 20:59
btc updown 5m 1771425000	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	02-18 14:35
btc updown 5m 1771451100	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	02-18 21:49
btc updown 5m 1771450200	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$6	22	0	+22	Down	$-6	05-04 20:52
btc updown 5m 1771413300	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	02-18 11:15
btc updown 5m 1771438800	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 18:25
btc updown 5m 1771423500	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-04 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	$-5	05-04 20:01
btc updown 5m 1771437900	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	02-18 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 21:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbbc426…
05-04 21:11:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8b7a90…
05-04 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2fe00f…
05-04 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x75b2fe…
05-04 20:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xa3ecc5…
05-04 20:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4e81ae…
05-04 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ea910…
05-04 20:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8ffe91…
05-04 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4f75be…
05-04 20:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x40c7bd…
05-04 20:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7679f6…
05-04 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd79e20…
05-04 20:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x85de6e…
05-04 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xf59d74…
05-04 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x77cb66…
05-04 20:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xad751f…
05-04 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x889aca…
05-04 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x31575d…
05-04 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xb6a986…
05-04 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x958dc9…
02-21 19:24:52	btc updown 5m 1771701600	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8fda26…
02-20 14:26:46	btc updown 5m 1771597500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xccfd8d…
02-20 14:23:56	btc updown 5m 1771597200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b3555…
02-19 22:37:04	btc updown 5m 1771540500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfcf1e6…
02-19 22:32:32	btc updown 5m 1771540200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7c2c1f…
02-19 14:07:06	btc updown 5m 1771509900	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa5a3f9…
02-19 12:55:08	btc updown 5m 1771505400	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd515f1…
02-19 12:52:48	btc updown 5m 1771505400	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x341514…
02-19 12:48:58	btc updown 5m 1771505100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9d18d1…
02-19 12:46:16	btc updown 5m 1771505100	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x25f0cc…
02-19 12:45:14	btc updown 5m 1771504800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f5175…
02-19 12:41:58	btc updown 5m 1771504800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfd2f50…
02-19 12:39:20	btc updown 5m 1771504500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x44f99d…
02-19 12:36:56	btc updown 5m 1771504500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x959853…
02-18 22:16:06	btc updown 5m 1771452900	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xdaf5db…
02-18 22:12:02	btc updown 5m 1771452600	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xc46b32…
02-18 22:07:00	btc updown 5m 1771452300	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe59551…
02-18 22:06:04	btc updown 5m 1771452300	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x84d422…
02-18 22:05:12	btc updown 5m 1771452000	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcaf8cb…
02-18 22:02:10	btc updown 5m 1771452000	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x06b4d5…
02-18 22:00:08	btc updown 5m 1771451700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3f78f5…
02-18 21:57:14	btc updown 5m 1771451700	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x43c6cf…
02-18 21:52:40	btc updown 5m 1771451400	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x02b640…
02-18 21:52:28	btc updown 5m 1771451400	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x74473f…
02-18 21:49:36	btc updown 5m 1771451100	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe5860a…
02-18 21:48:52	btc updown 5m 1771451100	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x81f901…
02-18 21:47:30	btc updown 5m 1771451100	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9336e4…
02-18 21:44:16	btc updown 5m 1771450800	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf7bfa2…
02-18 21:42:16	btc updown 5m 1771450800	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbca61f…
02-18 21:36:58	btc updown 5m 1771450500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb15701…
02-18 21:36:16	btc updown 5m 1771450500	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x37be7e…
02-18 21:35:48	btc updown 5m 1771450500	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xde2ee7…
02-18 21:35:30	btc updown 5m 1771450200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x60288d…
02-18 21:34:30	btc updown 5m 1771450200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcedde6…
02-18 21:32:08	btc updown 5m 1771450200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa4cef3…
02-18 21:27:46	btc updown 5m 1771449900	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x548588…
02-18 21:25:14	btc updown 5m 1771449600	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x57f67e…
02-18 21:22:06	btc updown 5m 1771449600	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x881858…
02-18 21:21:28	btc updown 5m 1771449600	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe56b67…
02-18 21:20:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x0dcf0e…
02-18 18:47:54	btc updown 5m 1771440300	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7fdf94…
02-18 18:27:12	btc updown 5m 1771439100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x48f64c…
02-18 18:25:28	btc updown 5m 1771438800	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x63160f…
02-18 18:21:22	btc updown 5m 1771438800	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc73d39…
02-18 18:20:12	btc updown 5m 1771438500	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc5f23b…
02-18 18:16:00	btc updown 5m 1771438500	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x656636…
02-18 18:11:08	btc updown 5m 1771438200	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x96a3b2…
02-18 18:05:56	btc updown 5m 1771437900	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe8bae6…
02-18 18:05:22	btc updown 5m 1771437600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a7066…
02-18 18:01:02	btc updown 5m 1771437600	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3ae682…
02-18 17:59:02	btc updown 5m 1771437300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b1914…
02-18 17:56:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd8b2e7…
02-18 17:53:54	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x2f8acc…
02-18 17:15:30	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x2b4e3d…
02-18 16:13:06	btc updown 5m 1771431000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdfba6c…
02-18 16:11:32	btc updown 5m 1771430700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x631178…
02-18 16:06:08	btc updown 5m 1771430700	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5c7cdb…
02-18 15:57:14	btc updown 5m 1771430100	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd8268f…
02-18 15:54:28	btc updown 5m 1771429800	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x687ec1…
02-18 15:41:38	btc updown 5m 1771429200	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14db8a…
02-18 15:34:28	btc updown 5m 1771428600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1836d6…
02-18 15:32:44	btc updown 5m 1771428600	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x200f7c…
02-18 15:30:20	btc updown 5m 1771428300	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xe11c45…
02-18 15:28:02	btc updown 5m 1771428300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f8144…
02-18 15:25:34	btc updown 5m 1771428000	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x189338…
02-18 15:22:52	btc updown 5m 1771428000	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7be6b3…
02-18 14:37:10	btc updown 5m 1771425300	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc4c49a…
02-18 14:35:24	btc updown 5m 1771425000	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd4317e…
02-18 14:32:00	btc updown 5m 1771425000	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3d9778…
02-18 14:29:02	btc updown 5m 1771424700	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x615b19…
02-18 14:28:34	btc updown 5m 1771424700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22f446…
02-18 14:27:54	btc updown 5m 1771424700	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x20599c…
02-18 14:15:42	btc updown 5m 1771423800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x24ba21…
02-18 14:10:46	btc updown 5m 1771423800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x02be51…
02-18 14:10:18	btc updown 5m 1771423500	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2dbead…
02-18 14:09:10	btc updown 5m 1771423500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa77eab…
02-18 14:06:20	btc updown 5m 1771423500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4b3211…
02-18 14:05:56	btc updown 5m 1771423200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c8724…
02-18 14:00:26	btc updown 5m 1771423200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x302782…
02-18 13:18:20	btc updown 5m 1771420500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x868827…