Determined-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$419

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-01 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

41% 50% $-6

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	8	$3.5K	3,658	3,658	+0	open	—	03-12 21:25
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	4	$3.4K	1,818	1,818	+0	open	—	03-12 14:01
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	4	$3.4K	1,836	1,836	+0	No	$-7	03-13 03:51
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	2	$3.2K	1,628	1,628	+0	open	—	03-12 13:34
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$3.1K	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	03-12 20:22
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$236	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	03-12 07:30
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$134	209	0	+209	open	—	03-11 04:10
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$116	1,183	1,183	+0	open	—	03-12 07:16
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	5	$46	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	03-12 13:47
fif irq ven 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	06-09 05:45
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 09:03
nba 2025 26 pacific division winner golden state warriors	2	$16	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	03-12 20:11
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread home 2pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-11 03:05
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5	1	$14	15	0	+15	Under	+$1	05-13 03:58
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 corners total 12pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-15 08:41
elc wba sot 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-11 03:28
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 09:03:05	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x505f56…
06-15 08:41:58	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x5762ee…
06-09 05:45:52	fif irq ven 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xcdc58d…
05-13 03:58:33	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x4af7d0…
04-26 15:50:46	CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xb028c4…
03-13 03:51:23	Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2eaff6…
03-12 21:25:11	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	403	5¢	$20	0xc638ab…
03-12 21:25:11	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,165	5¢	$58	0xc05ffc…
03-12 21:25:11	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	365	5¢	$18	0xb62132…
03-12 21:18:27	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,933	5¢	$97	0x372bd2…
03-12 21:09:13	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,670	95¢	$1,586	0xd43975…
03-12 21:09:13	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x1f53a4…
03-12 21:03:19	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	BUY	660	95¢	$626	0xd32532…
03-12 21:03:17	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,065	95¢	$1,010	0xd4b50a…
03-12 20:22:19	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,645	93¢	$1,536	0xb47347…
03-12 20:16:57	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,645	94¢	$1,538	0xc3abe6…
03-12 20:11:41	nba 2025 26 pacific division winner golden state warriors	Yes	SELL	1,111	1¢	$8	0xb9f7d9…
03-12 20:02:07	nba 2025 26 pacific division winner golden state warriors	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$8	0x4ab4eb…
03-12 19:53:45	Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1,834	92¢	$1,695	0x754ea3…
03-12 19:45:13	Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb2a9ef…
03-12 19:45:13	Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1,831	93¢	$1,699	0xaf2b7c…
03-12 14:01:49	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	668	94¢	$625	0x45cabd…
03-12 14:01:47	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	1,150	94¢	$1,076	0x263f29…
03-12 13:54:03	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	725	94¢	$679	0x0121c3…
03-12 13:54:01	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	1,093	94¢	$1,023	0xb2c951…
03-12 13:47:03	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	695	2¢	$14	0x963f2b…
03-12 13:47:03	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x7a7eda…
03-12 13:40:31	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0x9cbee4…
03-12 13:40:31	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	338	2¢	$7	0x4623ad…
03-12 13:40:31	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	574	2¢	$13	0x419822…
03-12 13:34:27	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	No	SELL	1,628	98¢	$1,595	0x492cb9…
03-12 13:24:55	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	No	BUY	1,628	98¢	$1,592	0xbd84b6…
03-12 07:30:45	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,241	9¢	$117	0x092eb5…
03-12 07:24:57	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,241	10¢	$119	0x4d0338…
03-12 07:16:53	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	132	5¢	$6	0x16bbb5…
03-12 07:16:51	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	1,051	5¢	$50	0x103389…
03-12 07:10:01	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,183	5¢	$59	0x4f3a2a…
03-11 04:10:23	nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0x254985…
03-11 04:10:23	nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	98	64¢	$63	0x14fd06…
03-11 03:28:49	elc wba sot 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	West Bromwich Albion FC	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfda8ef…
03-11 03:05:11	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread home 2pt5	Chelsea FC	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x12c341…