Gregarious-Horse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,335

lifetime

Volume

$98.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 10% $-280

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	3	$1.9K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	05-04 02:04
ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	2	$541	2,772	0	+2,772	open	—	07-02 15:29
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	2	$506	426	426	+0	open	—	05-01 03:37
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	4	$450	3,190	0	+3,190	open	—	01-31 14:31
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	3	$400	1,669	0	+1,669	open	—	07-28 01:10
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	3	$370	7,830	0	+7,830	open	—	04-01 14:26
will ethereum dip to 1500 february 2 8	2	$351	2,485	0	+2,485	open	—	02-06 07:04
ethereum above 2200 on march 13	4	$345	3,735	0	+3,735	open	—	03-13 12:51
will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	2	$338	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	04-18 16:53
ethereum above 2200 on march 18	2	$330	3,666	0	+3,666	open	—	03-18 15:17
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$310	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-11 13:30
xrp above 1pt4 on march 12	1	$300	1,158	0	+1,158	open	—	03-12 14:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	1	$300	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	02-25 12:18
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	2	$300	2,168	0	+2,168	open	—	03-01 14:04
ethereum above 2100 on march 19	2	$300	2,839	0	+2,839	open	—	03-19 11:25
ethereum above 2300 on march 17	2	$300	2,057	0	+2,057	open	—	03-17 15:34
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	3	$300	4,429	0	+4,429	open	—	03-13 13:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 16	1	$296	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-16 14:59
ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	4	$293	1,789	0	+1,789	open	—	06-27 15:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	1	$290	1,327	0	+1,327	open	—	05-01 04:06
ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	2	$276	920	0	+920	open	—	07-22 07:38
ethereum above 3200 on january 13	3	$270	2,423	0	+2,423	open	—	01-13 14:05
ethereum above 1700 on june 18 2026	5	$262	1,845	0	+1,845	open	—	06-18 15:48
ethereum above 2100 on march 10	3	$260	4,222	0	+4,222	open	—	03-10 14:41
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	3	$260	2,109	0	+2,109	open	—	06-25 13:37
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	2	$250	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	05-21 00:08
will ethereum dip to 1800 february 16 22	2	$250	2,870	0	+2,870	open	—	02-22 13:40
ethereum above 2200 on april 1	2	$250	3,589	0	+3,589	open	—	04-01 13:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	1	$250	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	03-13 10:48
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	2	$250	3,622	0	+3,622	No	$-250	05-11 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:38:46	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 11	Yes	BUY	1,137	4¢	$50	0xeebd3c…
08-11 14:57:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 11	Yes	BUY	1,059	4¢	$40	0xa45d89…
08-10 15:18:37	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 10	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$30	0x8961e8…
08-10 15:18:12	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 10	Yes	BUY	1,098	4¢	$40	0xa20ec7…
08-10 13:44:52	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	1,099	7¢	$80	0xe1f824…
08-10 06:06:21	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,099	9¢	$100	0xf1db18…
08-10 00:14:27	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 9	Yes	BUY	1,034	14¢	$150	0xecee0c…
08-10 00:14:21	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 9	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x85ddf2…
08-09 22:58:30	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 9	Yes	BUY	1,040	6¢	$65	0x144b9d…
08-09 13:47:25	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 9	Yes	BUY	2,143	3¢	$60	0x5eab9e…
08-09 13:46:58	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 9	Yes	BUY	2,083	2¢	$50	0x4a7e80…
08-07 15:12:45	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5ee2cf…
08-07 15:12:31	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x52e44b…
08-07 15:12:28	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x297a64…
08-07 15:12:27	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe9c3ea…
08-07 15:11:45	ethereum above 1900 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	1,072	7¢	$75	0x8ccfe9…
08-07 14:26:10	bitcoin above 66k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1,212	2¢	$25	0x4633f6…
08-07 13:58:03	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	Yes	BUY	1,150	8¢	$93	0x924461…
08-05 09:21:32	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,184	9¢	$109	0xa733de…
08-04 22:31:39	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 4	Yes	BUY	1,155	13¢	$150	0x659a4d…
08-04 14:36:39	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 4	Yes	BUY	1,086	4¢	$40	0x8fd78b…
08-04 14:35:42	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 4	Yes	BUY	1,091	18¢	$200	0x02fc49…
08-04 14:35:12	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 4	Yes	BUY	3,339	3¢	$100	0x7ffec5…
08-04 12:27:09	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,012	10¢	$100	0x197faa…
08-04 00:06:23	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 3	Yes	BUY	732	5¢	$34	0x96919e…
08-04 00:05:53	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 3	Yes	BUY	1,233	2¢	$20	0xc7879a…
08-03 15:00:47	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 3	Yes	BUY	1,078	5¢	$55	0x383baf…
08-03 14:29:23	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 3	Yes	BUY	4,974	2¢	$100	0x492582…
08-02 02:49:05	will bitcoin reach 64k on august 1	Yes	BUY	1,072	7¢	$75	0x672dea…
08-02 01:23:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	Yes	BUY	1,053	4¢	$40	0x96dad9…
07-31 22:17:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	Yes	BUY	1,250	5¢	$60	0x47c941…
07-31 14:08:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 31	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0xe12587…
07-31 14:07:48	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 31	Yes	BUY	1,087	2¢	$25	0xada01c…
07-31 14:07:00	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 31	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x767470…
07-31 14:06:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 31	Yes	BUY	959	15¢	$140	0xe54989…
07-31 14:06:47	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 31	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x6b1f83…
07-31 14:05:18	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 31	Yes	BUY	1,190	2¢	$25	0xfdffac…
07-31 14:05:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 31	Yes	BUY	1,676	1¢	$20	0x69a791…
07-31 14:04:51	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	Yes	BUY	1,166	4¢	$50	0x350643…
07-31 14:00:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,579	2¢	$30	0xad74ac…
07-30 12:09:45	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0ce064…
07-30 12:09:29	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	Yes	BUY	898	23¢	$206	0x6d925b…
07-30 11:55:02	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 30	Yes	BUY	989	9¢	$90	0x1e402e…
07-30 11:54:45	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 30	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2f605d…
07-30 11:53:29	bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,105	3¢	$30	0xfe8626…
07-30 01:50:23	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	Yes	BUY	1,303	8¢	$100	0x59aa97…
07-30 00:44:50	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 29	Yes	BUY	1,079	16¢	$170	0x1fefe7…
07-29 23:57:48	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 29	Yes	BUY	1,185	8¢	$100	0x55fea6…
07-28 16:52:20	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 28	Yes	BUY	1,016	7¢	$70	0xb5259a…
07-28 16:04:34	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x85a686…
07-28 16:04:14	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 28	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xe7db70…
07-28 15:50:44	ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,004	1¢	$10	0xd99fee…
07-28 15:30:55	ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x09cc79…
07-28 14:01:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 28	Yes	BUY	1,100	5¢	$55	0x95270e…
07-28 13:59:28	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 28	Yes	BUY	1,124	9¢	$100	0x31edf3…
07-28 10:59:05	ethereum above 1800 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,198	2¢	$20	0xbf8ef7…
07-28 10:58:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,072	4¢	$40	0x4a99f3…
07-28 01:10:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	No	BUY	554	36¢	$200	0xe7dcfc…
07-27 23:42:46	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x9d833b…
07-27 23:41:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	Yes	BUY	559	18¢	$100	0xcdc141…
07-27 23:41:09	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	Yes	BUY	1,205	8¢	$100	0xede893…
07-27 14:33:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x5af12c…
07-27 14:33:42	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x88aa16…
07-27 14:33:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x8c7e09…
07-27 14:33:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	851	7¢	$60	0x3f244c…
07-27 12:48:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,102	6¢	$65	0x05e6ad…
07-27 04:15:09	ethereum above 2000 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,031	10¢	$100	0xd02b33…
07-26 16:33:55	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,076	5¢	$50	0x76c094…
07-25 01:26:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	1,238	4¢	$50	0x8f8ce9…
07-24 00:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1e2972…
07-24 00:41:15	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	BUY	938	7¢	$70	0x9f20c2…
07-23 23:55:28	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 23	Yes	BUY	1,037	14¢	$140	0x75f24d…
07-23 15:15:18	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xc562fc…
07-23 14:55:48	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7e8c40…
07-23 14:55:39	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5bbcc8…
07-23 14:55:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	252	29¢	$73	0xb3cb9f…
07-23 10:56:37	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	386	10¢	$40	0x866335…
07-23 10:56:28	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	466	11¢	$50	0x072af2…
07-23 10:43:39	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x2fe16b…
07-23 10:43:27	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x1f2705…
07-23 02:23:04	will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,066	6¢	$65	0xad7edc…
07-23 02:20:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 22	Yes	BUY	880	5¢	$40	0x276ccb…
07-23 02:20:06	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 22	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x7c6b5c…
07-22 23:59:39	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0xd08406…
07-22 14:37:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 22	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x474e59…
07-22 14:37:45	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 22	Yes	BUY	901	10¢	$90	0x9478bf…
07-22 14:30:52	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,176	5¢	$60	0x1a0b21…
07-22 07:38:16	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x34311a…
07-22 07:38:00	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	913	30¢	$274	0x51af2f…
07-21 23:47:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,088	17¢	$180	0x86c101…
07-21 16:18:19	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,017	6¢	$60	0x61a009…
07-21 16:15:55	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xa12953…
07-21 16:15:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,001	6¢	$60	0x20391e…
07-21 15:01:54	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xea2766…
07-21 14:58:51	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	954	2¢	$20	0x1adbaf…
07-21 14:29:10	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	665	6¢	$40	0xf1dd95…
07-21 14:29:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	381	6¢	$22	0xccff59…
07-21 04:07:13	ethereum above 2000 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,943	5¢	$100	0xb90a17…
07-20 22:57:36	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	1,077	6¢	$70	0x38653e…
07-20 12:54:24	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	1,069	12¢	$130	0x43f278…