Gregarious-Horse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,252

lifetime

Volume

$93.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 10% $-280

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	3	$1.9K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	05-04 02:04
ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	2	$541	2,772	0	+2,772	open	—	07-02 15:29
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	2	$506	426	426	+0	open	—	05-01 03:37
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	4	$450	3,190	0	+3,190	open	—	01-31 14:31
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	3	$370	7,830	0	+7,830	open	—	04-01 14:26
will ethereum dip to 1500 february 2 8	2	$351	2,485	0	+2,485	open	—	02-06 07:04
ethereum above 2200 on march 13	4	$345	3,735	0	+3,735	open	—	03-13 12:51
will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	2	$338	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	04-18 16:53
ethereum above 2200 on march 18	2	$330	3,666	0	+3,666	open	—	03-18 15:17
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$310	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-11 13:30
xrp above 1pt4 on march 12	1	$300	1,158	0	+1,158	open	—	03-12 14:03
ethereum above 2100 on march 19	2	$300	2,839	0	+2,839	open	—	03-19 11:25
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	1	$300	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	02-25 12:18
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	2	$300	2,168	0	+2,168	open	—	03-01 14:04
ethereum above 2300 on march 17	2	$300	2,057	0	+2,057	open	—	03-17 15:34
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	3	$300	4,429	0	+4,429	open	—	03-13 13:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 16	1	$296	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-16 14:59
ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	4	$293	1,789	0	+1,789	open	—	06-27 15:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	1	$290	1,327	0	+1,327	open	—	05-01 04:06
ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	2	$276	920	0	+920	open	—	07-22 07:38
ethereum above 3200 on january 13	3	$270	2,423	0	+2,423	open	—	01-13 14:05
ethereum above 1700 on june 18 2026	5	$262	1,845	0	+1,845	open	—	06-18 15:48
ethereum above 2100 on march 10	3	$260	4,222	0	+4,222	open	—	03-10 14:41
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	3	$260	2,109	0	+2,109	open	—	06-25 13:37
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	2	$250	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	05-21 00:08
ethereum above 2200 on april 1	2	$250	3,589	0	+3,589	open	—	04-01 13:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	1	$250	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	03-13 10:48
will ethereum dip to 1800 february 16 22	2	$250	2,870	0	+2,870	open	—	02-22 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	2	$250	3,622	0	+3,622	No	$-250	05-11 23:54
solana above 90 on march 13	2	$242	1,225	0	+1,225	open	—	03-13 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 02:23:04	will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,066	6¢	$65	0xad7edc…
07-23 02:20:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 22	Yes	BUY	880	5¢	$40	0x276ccb…
07-23 02:20:06	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 22	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x7c6b5c…
07-22 23:59:39	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0xd08406…
07-22 14:37:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 22	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x474e59…
07-22 14:37:45	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 22	Yes	BUY	901	10¢	$90	0x9478bf…
07-22 14:30:52	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 22	Yes	BUY	1,176	5¢	$60	0x1a0b21…
07-22 07:38:16	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x34311a…
07-22 07:38:00	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	913	30¢	$274	0x51af2f…
07-21 23:47:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,088	17¢	$180	0x86c101…
07-21 16:18:19	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,017	6¢	$60	0x61a009…
07-21 16:15:55	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xa12953…
07-21 16:15:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	Yes	BUY	1,001	6¢	$60	0x20391e…
07-21 15:01:54	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xea2766…
07-21 14:58:51	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	954	2¢	$20	0x1adbaf…
07-21 14:29:10	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	665	6¢	$40	0xf1dd95…
07-21 14:29:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	381	6¢	$22	0xccff59…
07-21 04:07:13	ethereum above 2000 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,943	5¢	$100	0xb90a17…
07-20 22:57:36	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	1,077	6¢	$70	0x38653e…
07-20 12:54:24	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	1,069	12¢	$130	0x43f278…
07-20 11:38:42	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xca5372…
07-20 11:38:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0b2f4e…
07-20 11:38:33	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x411d77…
07-20 11:38:28	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	829	7¢	$60	0x30a5a7…
07-20 06:38:27	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0xc9fd8f…
07-20 06:38:21	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	989	4¢	$40	0x9576f9…
07-20 05:25:39	ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	350	7¢	$25	0x085b61…
07-20 05:25:27	ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	746	5¢	$38	0x7ef18c…
07-19 22:21:42	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	Yes	BUY	930	4¢	$40	0xf54449…
07-19 22:21:36	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x516af3…
07-19 21:04:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	Yes	BUY	1,040	5¢	$52	0x81469a…
07-19 14:24:36	bitcoin above 64200 on july 19 2026 11am et	No	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x671558…
07-19 14:24:21	bitcoin above 64200 on july 19 2026 11am et	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x78e767…
07-18 12:20:18	btc updown 5m 1784377200	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd9dcb9…
07-17 17:18:28	btc updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xfab164…
07-17 16:54:03	btc updown 15m 1784306700	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0062b7…
07-17 16:53:57	btc updown 15m 1784306700	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xadbf23…
07-17 12:44:45	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe520e0…
07-17 12:44:40	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	962	10¢	$100	0xa8365e…
07-17 04:33:03	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	1,033	6¢	$65	0xc24183…
07-17 00:02:29	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	Yes	BUY	1,058	10¢	$110	0x349231…
07-16 14:56:26	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	348	9¢	$30	0x2e8c92…
07-16 14:22:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xc22bdc…
07-16 14:19:29	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	660	7¢	$46	0x810aeb…
07-15 23:48:02	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x4d993c…
07-15 23:47:29	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x50f0fa…
07-15 13:01:44	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 15	Yes	BUY	1,064	19¢	$200	0x52c43c…
07-15 13:00:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x0ec4f4…
07-15 13:00:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	943	11¢	$100	0x5843a9…
07-15 00:03:22	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	Yes	BUY	1,013	8¢	$80	0x20023a…
07-15 00:03:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0xabe299…
07-15 00:03:04	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0x1e829d…
07-15 00:02:37	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 14	Yes	BUY	1,038	5¢	$55	0xfe8ede…
07-14 15:32:40	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	503	8¢	$40	0x091159…
07-14 12:22:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	504	8¢	$40	0xfee25b…
07-14 12:22:02	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	505	8¢	$39	0xf91d0e…
07-14 01:04:47	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0x243e18…
07-14 01:04:38	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	Yes	BUY	211	7¢	$14	0x6c5b37…
07-13 23:49:59	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x0cd6b3…
07-13 23:49:26	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 13	Yes	BUY	965	4¢	$40	0xdb8d60…
07-13 12:44:37	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 13	Yes	BUY	1,048	14¢	$150	0x8c86eb…
07-13 12:40:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	Yes	BUY	1,047	3¢	$30	0x8cafea…
07-13 12:40:34	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 13	Yes	BUY	1,087	9¢	$100	0xcc324d…
07-13 10:48:47	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,051	9¢	$90	0x5f5e69…
07-13 00:17:29	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x4625f5…
07-13 00:17:14	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xfd028b…
07-13 00:15:58	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	943	5¢	$50	0x7c4ad5…
07-12 15:30:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	1,190	4¢	$50	0x43f43d…
07-12 01:46:41	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 11	Yes	BUY	1,429	2¢	$30	0x2e8172…
07-12 01:46:22	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	Yes	BUY	2,406	1¢	$30	0xb42624…
07-11 15:05:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	1,077	3¢	$30	0x7aa0a2…
07-11 01:23:11	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xc5abe0…
07-11 01:22:59	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	1,176	3¢	$40	0x14a456…
07-10 09:41:16	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	Yes	BUY	1,008	14¢	$140	0x793d45…
07-10 09:39:08	bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	492	3¢	$16	0x5ae5d9…
07-10 05:51:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,597	3¢	$50	0xa0097f…
07-10 02:52:32	will ethereum reach 1800 on july 9	Yes	BUY	2,445	4¢	$100	0x71e83a…
07-10 01:26:34	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 9	Yes	BUY	1,040	9¢	$90	0x479d89…
07-09 13:12:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,053	5¢	$50	0xd33fde…
07-09 10:23:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,056	7¢	$75	0xd6008e…
07-09 02:05:08	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 8	Yes	BUY	1,045	7¢	$70	0x364995…
07-08 16:07:07	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 8	Yes	BUY	1,094	6¢	$70	0x041595…
07-08 08:33:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	1,043	16¢	$170	0x33a3d8…
07-08 01:45:02	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 7	Yes	BUY	1,123	7¢	$80	0xb65620…
07-07 15:24:08	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x93b233…
07-07 15:24:01	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x354ad6…
07-07 13:30:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xbac858…
07-07 13:30:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x99cec3…
07-07 13:30:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	195	5¢	$10	0xbed938…
07-07 13:30:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	712	5¢	$34	0x99a53a…
07-07 13:30:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x3da95c…
07-07 12:24:17	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 7	Yes	BUY	1,111	4¢	$40	0xf6f144…
07-07 00:02:10	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	Yes	BUY	1,134	5¢	$55	0x044089…
07-06 15:54:16	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 6	Yes	BUY	1,266	8¢	$100	0xdd6c2b…
07-06 15:44:56	ethereum above 1800 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1,316	4¢	$50	0x19f7fa…
07-06 15:35:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	857	7¢	$60	0x6944a5…
07-06 15:35:14	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x223132…
07-06 15:17:01	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 6	Yes	BUY	1,144	14¢	$160	0xcfded4…
07-06 15:16:38	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 6	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0xd0fbd2…
07-06 12:05:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	1,154	5¢	$60	0xf6254e…