Regular-Capitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.9%

Resolved

Trades

878

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-26 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% $-10

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776112200	3	$31	72	0	+72	open	—	04-13 20:32
btc updown 5m 1776107400	3	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	04-13 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776119700	2	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	04-13 22:37
btc updown 5m 1776103200	3	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	04-13 18:02
btc updown 5m 1776122400	2	$26	52	0	+52	open	—	04-13 23:21
btc updown 5m 1776105900	2	$25	61	0	+61	open	—	04-13 18:47
btc updown 5m 1776106200	2	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	04-13 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	05-23 21:14
btc updown 5m 1776782400	4	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	04-21 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776606900	3	$24	49	0	+49	open	—	04-19 13:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-12 19:25
btc updown 5m 1776780300	3	$23	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776768900	3	$23	52	0	+52	open	—	04-21 10:57
btc updown 5m 1776121500	2	$23	48	0	+48	open	—	04-13 23:07
btc updown 5m 1776624300	6	$22	51	0	+51	open	—	04-19 18:49
btc updown 5m 1776130500	2	$22	47	0	+47	open	—	04-14 01:37
btc updown 5m 1776841500	3	$22	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 07:08
btc updown 5m 1776130200	4	$22	42	0	+42	open	—	04-14 01:34
btc updown 5m 1776366900	3	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	04-16 19:19
btc updown 5m 1776178200	2	$21	57	0	+57	open	—	04-14 14:52
btc updown 5m 1776154500	3	$21	63	0	+63	open	—	04-14 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776101400	2	$20	75	0	+75	open	—	04-13 17:31
btc updown 5m 1776841200	2	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 07:00
btc updown 5m 1776102300	2	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-13 17:47
btc updown 5m 1776099600	2	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	04-13 17:03
btc updown 5m 1776097800	2	$20	72	0	+72	open	—	04-13 16:33
btc updown 5m 1776123900	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 23:48
btc updown 5m 1776152700	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-14 07:48
btc updown 5m 1776123300	2	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	04-13 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-23 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb39921…
05-26 15:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48c4e5…
05-23 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e7d6e…
05-23 22:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe86dad…
05-23 22:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf4774…
05-23 22:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb9b92a…
05-23 22:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8c0de7…
05-23 22:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f4ee2…
05-23 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8ce949…
05-23 22:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd0018e…
05-23 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacad9d…
05-23 22:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5e636a…
05-23 22:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2d4717…
05-23 22:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2348cc…
05-23 22:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x766af2…
05-23 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd8009d…
05-23 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x326d7b…
05-23 21:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b9e4d…
05-23 21:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeeebd2…
05-23 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x798199…
05-23 21:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5820b9…
05-23 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb12f23…
05-23 21:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb63369…
05-23 21:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd38240…
05-23 21:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcfe8bf…
05-23 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x180536…
05-23 21:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8c77b2…
05-23 21:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd8a00d…
05-23 21:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2f0efb…
05-23 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xef71e9…
05-23 21:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x28f13a…
05-23 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xe80889…
05-23 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7f1d79…
05-23 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x44a51a…
05-23 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe5cc16…
05-23 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6f0d07…
05-23 20:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0ab0f7…
05-23 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0c968c…
05-23 20:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb286c5…
05-23 20:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3456b7…
05-23 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9a54fb…
05-23 20:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x26328f…
05-23 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5fea51…
05-23 20:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xd9bca0…
05-23 20:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe4a5e5…
05-23 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfac405…
05-23 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x230f21…
05-23 19:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1992af…
05-23 19:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1e1e28…
05-23 19:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x605c5a…
05-23 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdf742f…
05-23 16:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4ec654…
05-23 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x56d4e5…
05-23 16:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc253b1…
05-22 17:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x11c9ab…
05-22 13:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdd1823…
05-22 13:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfa6858…
05-13 09:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9e7acf…
05-13 09:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x849796…
05-09 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4226c4…
05-09 08:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x63214c…
05-09 08:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfd3cf…
05-09 08:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7e8ee3…
05-09 08:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdf7537…
05-04 15:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xadd702…
05-04 15:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8df1f5…
05-04 15:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xfa65de…
05-04 15:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc5905f…
05-04 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e1b9d…
05-04 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1fa10b…
05-04 05:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7039df…
05-04 05:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96174c…
05-04 05:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x194bfa…
05-04 05:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd737a4…
05-04 05:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd74a45…
05-04 05:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe6937d…
05-04 05:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x14e4d6…
05-04 05:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x346b09…
05-04 05:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4f043d…
05-04 05:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x38e773…
05-04 05:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf3a81d…
05-04 05:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x06bb9e…
05-04 05:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf0de87…
05-04 05:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x771cc9…
05-04 00:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5bb318…
05-03 23:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6493b3…
05-03 23:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8e125f…
05-03 23:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd2c67c…
05-03 23:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x959125…
05-03 23:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd6418e…
05-03 23:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x119bfd…
05-03 23:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x57fce8…
05-03 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc371d7…
05-03 23:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x60f7bd…
05-03 23:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfabdac…
05-03 23:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe6ede9…
05-03 23:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x81a5fa…
05-03 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf83a5e…
05-03 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xecf826…
05-03 22:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd660ad…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	429	$154.2K	46,848	05-26 15:33
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	429	$134.6K	43,468	05-26 15:33
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	428	$146.9K	27,291	05-26 15:32
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	428	$130.6K	23,357	05-26 15:32
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	426	$354.5K	11,638	05-26 15:33
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	423	$100.8K	5,089	05-26 15:33
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	422	$327.0K	19,109	05-26 15:33
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	416	$35.6K	8,980	05-26 15:31