Official-Ingredient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

128

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$261

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-2

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$6	204	4	+200	Down	$-2	05-08 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-07 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-07 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-07 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-07 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-07 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-07 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$4	102	0	+102	Down	$-2	05-08 04:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-07 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-07 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-07 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 11:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x74359a…
05-08 11:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26eda2…
05-08 11:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa09d59…
05-08 10:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa927e9…
05-08 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5d1cf8…
05-08 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa0fb7c…
05-08 10:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76e43e…
05-08 09:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x43af48…
05-08 09:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x3e8be7…
05-08 09:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec09a7…
05-08 09:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbf2c5e…
05-08 09:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1986c7…
05-08 09:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa02167…
05-08 09:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x13a14d…
05-08 09:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xdb90ba…
05-08 09:26:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xe9f10c…
05-08 09:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x267e32…
05-08 09:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x26cb0b…
05-08 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x98cafa…
05-08 09:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d9bf9…
05-08 09:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x881cb8…
05-08 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x07a262…
05-08 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x191946…
05-08 08:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb50738…
05-08 08:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x5694b8…
05-08 08:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x108abf…
05-08 08:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xff6f8e…
05-08 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x907a30…
05-08 08:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xb55c24…
05-08 08:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x5e328c…
05-08 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1d5a91…
05-08 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x412214…
05-08 08:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa2861e…
05-08 08:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1e1915…
05-08 08:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0d35a6…
05-08 08:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x807f30…
05-08 08:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1d87de…
05-08 08:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9a184d…
05-08 08:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1c9154…
05-08 08:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9ef68a…
05-08 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x420876…
05-08 08:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x378e91…
05-08 08:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3ddea2…
05-08 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0d54e1…
05-08 07:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9088f8…
05-08 07:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa628b3…
05-08 07:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4669ca…
05-08 07:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x23f78a…
05-08 07:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x50ecbf…
05-08 07:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x728d92…
05-08 07:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa551b9…
05-08 07:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf2686c…
05-08 07:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x119ebd…
05-08 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61bffe…
05-08 07:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a2bdb…
05-08 06:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe7882a…
05-08 06:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa21ff9…
05-08 06:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x89af04…
05-08 06:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe158d0…
05-08 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe06c50…
05-08 06:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d5d56…
05-08 06:03:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa4fc84…
05-08 06:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x09b14c…
05-08 05:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb9b229…
05-08 05:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40ee5a…
05-08 04:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc30fda…
05-08 04:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb08398…
05-08 04:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x892406…
05-08 04:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0cee36…
05-07 18:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf438ae…
05-07 15:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc1852d…
05-07 15:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xe53c20…
05-07 15:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1a937…
05-07 15:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x34d4d0…
05-07 15:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4ed389…
05-07 15:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x954f40…
05-07 15:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x31ec3e…
05-07 15:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x940cc4…
05-07 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0c9265…
05-07 15:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x687aea…
05-07 15:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x57c404…
05-07 15:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2dcca9…
05-07 14:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x720fe0…
05-07 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0d5a7d…
05-07 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd35340…
05-07 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x42f4a8…
05-07 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x63c255…
05-07 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa6b70c…
05-07 14:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7fb181…
05-07 14:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xba7f98…
05-07 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaf1af9…
05-07 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5aba88…
05-07 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xde4ded…
05-07 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb2ec82…
05-07 14:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x98913b…
05-07 13:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd908cd…
05-07 13:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x4721a1…
05-07 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x13e901…
05-07 13:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x911681…
05-07 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x98226d…