Modest-Butcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$362

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 86% $-4

Other

14% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 09:34
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 07:49
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 11:04
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 11:09
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:44
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:04
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 09:49
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:14
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:54
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:29
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 05:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:39
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 09:39
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:34
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 12:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 08:14
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 12:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b53c3…
05-15 11:54:55	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x07eaae…
05-15 11:09:26	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa43075…
05-15 11:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55dc86…
05-15 10:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfa022b…
05-15 10:44:48	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa8ca26…
05-15 10:44:30	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36e14f…
05-15 09:54:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a34a2…
05-15 09:49:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeccf76…
05-15 09:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47b3aa…
05-15 09:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x301e7a…
05-15 09:34:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x01feeb…
05-15 09:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6b024b…
05-15 09:29:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf66657…
05-15 09:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc2fe54…
05-15 09:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6861f9…
05-15 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaae93c…
05-15 08:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe04793…
05-15 08:24:27	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d69ce…
05-15 08:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe0c261…
05-15 08:14:25	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b524c…
05-15 08:09:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25d7ab…
05-15 07:59:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84f546…
05-15 07:55:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc65bec…
05-15 07:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9a5aa…
05-15 07:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0db7de…
05-15 07:54:43	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe2f4a1…
05-15 07:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56a282…
05-15 07:54:29	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf9deb7…
05-15 07:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb17f5…
05-15 07:49:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x584f97…
05-15 07:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3d2923…
05-15 07:39:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe71860…
05-15 07:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x844834…
05-15 07:29:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48e871…
05-15 07:19:26	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21f5b8…
05-15 07:14:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab3fa2…
05-15 07:09:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x9cd4da…
05-15 07:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0bffb…
05-15 06:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09e041…
05-15 06:54:26	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x648b15…
05-15 06:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe5a350…
05-15 06:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x006345…
05-15 06:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa59a77…
05-15 06:34:26	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc1eb0e…
05-15 06:29:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x664864…
05-15 06:24:25	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x452d65…
05-15 06:19:51	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2fcbb9…
05-15 06:14:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45755f…
05-15 06:09:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b239e…
05-15 06:04:27	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9cd72…
05-15 05:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8907fe…
05-15 05:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf7d073…
05-15 05:49:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb33db0…
05-14 22:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x287f48…
05-14 17:34:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1bca81…
05-14 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0e4d0a…
05-14 13:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe945b…
05-14 11:59:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a935c…
05-14 11:49:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2ca03e…
05-14 11:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa51713…
05-14 10:04:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x672e5d…
05-14 07:49:54	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf28e7…
05-14 06:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65fc5d…
05-14 06:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56f7ab…
05-13 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9aaf33…
05-13 18:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82cdd1…
05-13 18:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3b51a7…
05-13 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x969588…
05-13 15:19:36	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdb4da3…
05-13 12:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3d96a0…
05-13 10:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe213d7…
05-13 09:54:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf91ea…
05-13 09:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9089ce…
05-13 09:09:37	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x477895…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	51	$1.56K	327	05-15 12:09
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	50	$5.62K	674	05-15 12:09
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	50	$4.65K	435	05-15 12:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	47	$8.27K	770	05-15 12:09
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	43	$3.73K	1,777	05-15 12:09
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	43	$522	423	05-15 12:06
Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91	42	$1.25K	322	05-15 12:06
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	42	$842	193	05-15 12:06