Dependent-Sugar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

727

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-14 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% $-20

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	11	$35	33	27	+6	Up	$-1	05-11 19:43
btc updown 5m 1776357300	2	$25	14	13	+0	open	—	04-16 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:14
btc updown 5m 1775692200	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$18	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 19:23
btc updown 5m 1775768100	6	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-09 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$16	24	14	+9	Down	$-2	05-11 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$13	13	11	+1	Down	+$1	05-11 20:59
btc updown 5m 1775769000	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-09 21:14
btc updown 5m 1776008100	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$12	16	9	+7	Down	$-2	05-11 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	6	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$12	11	7	+4	Down	$-0	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$11	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	8	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:53
btc updown 5m 1776007800	9	$11	11	10	+0	open	—	04-12 15:34
btc updown 5m 1775693400	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	7	$11	10	8	+1	Up	$-0	05-11 22:44
btc updown 5m 1775693100	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 00:10
btc updown 5m 1775768700	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$10	9	8	+2	Down	$-0	05-06 22:12
btc updown 5m 1775761800	8	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776182700	5	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	04-14 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776359400	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 19:07
btc updown 5m 1775768400	2	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	04-09 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$8	7	6	+2	Down	$-0	05-11 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x55ac57…
05-14 09:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x744b11…
05-14 09:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdd9a6f…
05-14 09:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe4529f…
05-14 09:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4384f2…
05-14 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc1f86a…
05-14 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xfdf958…
05-14 09:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2aeb04…
05-14 09:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad4c07…
05-14 09:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x85d948…
05-14 09:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xfcc0fa…
05-14 09:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4fe5c5…
05-14 09:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7659aa…
05-14 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb4fabf…
05-14 09:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9c465a…
05-14 09:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86ecbe…
05-14 09:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0897ff…
05-14 09:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe6bc19…
05-14 09:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa42787…
05-14 08:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x679fb6…
05-13 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6a0694…
05-13 15:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x90f279…
05-13 15:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x3fd1c3…
05-13 15:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbd6f72…
05-13 15:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdedeef…
05-13 15:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x63516e…
05-13 15:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7e92bd…
05-13 15:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2f3e09…
05-13 15:06:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x331093…
05-13 15:06:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5c708d…
05-13 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x61d969…
05-13 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9b2a88…
05-13 14:44:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdb92aa…
05-13 14:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8b54d6…
05-13 14:44:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x834e22…
05-13 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x064943…
05-13 12:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3a2261…
05-13 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfa4bac…
05-13 06:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0149f4…
05-13 06:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb40a5d…
05-13 06:24:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8c6623…
05-13 06:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d2362…
05-13 06:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5588db…
05-13 06:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13c386…
05-13 06:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2f31cb…
05-13 06:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd1503d…
05-13 06:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4042ad…
05-13 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x93a3ca…
05-12 23:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xacea2d…
05-12 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbf3198…
05-12 23:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xd11b17…
05-12 23:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5360b8…
05-12 23:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc4aeb0…
05-12 23:49:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xd838d4…
05-12 23:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x38c2d0…
05-12 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x287df4…
05-12 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd02f5…
05-12 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb8d035…
05-12 23:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8bb06d…
05-12 23:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9620e2…
05-12 23:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8a7be1…
05-12 23:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x71c033…
05-12 23:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf76273…
05-12 23:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x689043…
05-12 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6679aa…
05-12 23:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5ee741…
05-12 23:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xa7235f…
05-12 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x86a23e…
05-12 23:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8415cf…
05-12 23:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x305776…
05-12 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x1ccec6…
05-12 23:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4ac8b2…
05-12 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0136e4…
05-12 23:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x022a3a…
05-12 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe998fc…
05-12 22:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7bd23e…
05-12 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6d6eab…
05-12 22:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xa3d91a…
05-12 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xecfde9…
05-11 22:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x02a891…
05-11 22:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7d3114…
05-11 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x13ccf3…
05-11 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x76b005…
05-11 22:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x388cfe…
05-11 22:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7a5fe5…
05-11 22:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf9ddc0…
05-11 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4332ad…
05-11 22:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5f54eb…
05-11 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x0351a0…
05-11 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x04723c…
05-11 22:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc81987…
05-11 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0d74ed…
05-11 22:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x06397a…
05-11 22:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x21b02b…
05-11 22:22:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdd05a9…
05-11 22:20:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x261a4c…
05-11 22:18:33	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe68420…
05-11 21:58:25	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87e272…
05-11 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2fac9a…
05-11 21:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb456d8…