Graceful-Subsection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$379

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-13 19:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 74% +$65

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$50	38	38	+0	Down	+$26	05-13 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Down	+$14	05-13 09:05
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$20	11	11	+0	Baltimore Orioles	$-0	05-13 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$12	23	0	+23	open	—	05-13 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-13 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-13 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$12	19	0	+19	Down	$-12	05-13 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$12	27	0	+27	Down	+$15	05-13 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$12	05-13 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-13 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-13 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-13 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-13 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-13 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-13 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-13 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:48:19	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8e4077…
05-13 19:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x6c54bc…
05-13 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x2d82d3…
05-13 19:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xf18b8b…
05-13 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x292937…
05-13 19:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x3aa542…
05-13 19:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x2a5c80…
05-13 19:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x181fc8…
05-13 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x4c7e7c…
05-13 18:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x87a39b…
05-13 18:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x901889…
05-13 18:45:43	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x4b0b8e…
05-13 18:44:07	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdbd98a…
05-13 18:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x9aceb5…
05-13 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6c22df…
05-13 18:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd3f9c7…
05-13 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x414a13…
05-13 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x786fce…
05-13 17:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4254a6…
05-13 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xadc4dd…
05-13 10:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x840185…
05-13 09:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x21b034…
05-13 09:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfb82fb…
05-13 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x31fec9…
05-13 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x64da29…
05-13 08:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3b46f5…
05-13 08:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9a6411…
05-13 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x473745…
05-13 08:24:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x46dcab…
05-13 07:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3911d7…