Optimistic-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$416

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-01 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

67% 72% -$2,073

Politics

33% 80% +$235

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$6.8K	3,837	3,837	+0	Yes	-$265	06-13 09:59
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	13	$4.3K	2,669	2,669	+0	Yes	+$147	07-21 13:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	7	$4.0K	2,944	2,053	+891	No	+$363	05-25 03:23
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	5	$3.4K	1,723	1,723	+0	No	+$20	08-01 13:42
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$3.4K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$46	07-31 06:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	5	$2.9K	1,505	1,505	+0	No	+$38	07-17 18:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.9K	2,376	1,428	+948	No	+$108	05-26 10:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,702	0	+2,702	No	+$327	06-02 07:11
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	6	$2.4K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$2	07-29 00:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	3	$2.3K	2,369	0	+2,369	Yes	+$73	04-30 11:35
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	6	$2.1K	1,048	1,048	+0	No	+$10	07-26 18:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	3	$2.0K	2,058	0	+2,058	No	+$56	04-29 20:15
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	5	$1.8K	920	920	+0	No	+$34	07-30 11:41
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	3	$1.3K	668	668	+0	No	+$19	07-28 18:07
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	6	$1.3K	2,079	0	+2,079	No	-$1,289	08-01 21:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$1.2K	1,417	0	+1,417	No	-$1,172	05-01 11:45
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	6	$894	494	494	+0	No	-$15	07-26 22:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$509	536	0	+536	No	+$27	05-26 10:31
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	6	$325	387	0	+387	No	-$325	08-01 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$240	251	0	+251	No	+$11	04-29 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$117	145	0	+145	No	+$29	04-28 02:32
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	2	$115	60	60	+0	No	+$4	07-26 17:28
will wti reach 110 in august 2026	4	$87	460	0	+460	No	-$87	08-01 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 21:53:18	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x337a43…
08-01 21:49:21	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x8ca9c4…
08-01 21:47:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x803e6e…
08-01 21:47:27	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	215	62¢	$133	0x35de42…
08-01 21:36:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	154	62¢	$95	0x42e1ae…
08-01 21:02:05	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4285b3…
08-01 20:45:56	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	669	62¢	$415	0x48ed12…
08-01 19:00:56	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x555d8a…
08-01 18:58:17	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x7f2e89…
08-01 18:58:15	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	405	19¢	$77	0x76028b…
08-01 17:56:39	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,015	62¢	$630	0x525d85…
08-01 16:42:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x893b7f…
08-01 16:05:42	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0x2eb532…
08-01 15:17:41	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	84	84¢	$70	0xb04629…
08-01 15:00:14	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x599871…
08-01 14:58:57	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x4b15fe…
08-01 13:42:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	1,723	100¢	$1,721	0x66efcd…
07-31 06:49:45	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	1,229	99¢	$1,214	0xcde3c6…
07-31 06:49:03	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x057af9…
07-31 06:48:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	179	99¢	$176	0x727719…
07-31 06:48:05	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2bafd3…
07-31 06:47:21	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,711	100¢	$1,702	0xe799a5…
07-30 11:41:50	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	926	98¢	$911	0x7e339b…
07-30 11:41:29	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	920	99¢	$911	0x8797c8…
07-29 00:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	BUY	472	94¢	$444	0x612a25…
07-29 00:17:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0xbdfe9f…
07-28 23:46:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	BUY	225	97¢	$219	0x818148…
07-28 23:44:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	SELL	460	99¢	$456	0x0e4d36…
07-28 18:21:55	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x6b66c9…
07-28 18:11:56	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	415	99¢	$411	0x2766f6…
07-28 18:07:05	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	668	100¢	$665	0xd8b639…
07-28 14:14:19	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x10fbc9…
07-28 14:10:59	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	199	98¢	$194	0x22db30…
07-28 01:09:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x670701…
07-28 01:08:57	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x5f1fd4…
07-28 01:07:37	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0x22c576…
07-26 22:54:25	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	121	89¢	$107	0xd508ad…
07-26 22:35:03	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x07f06d…
07-26 22:21:46	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	169	89¢	$150	0x6878f9…
07-26 22:21:28	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xbb7770…
07-26 22:15:36	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	147	89¢	$131	0x28a4d4…
07-26 21:13:52	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	494	92¢	$455	0xb5c707…
07-26 20:59:54	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	652	97¢	$631	0x30e218…
07-26 20:58:46	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x6b5c87…
07-26 18:20:45	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,017	100¢	$1,013	0x019d75…
07-26 18:00:33	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x886836…
07-26 17:48:01	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5dc0…
07-26 17:28:10	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x7ced12…
07-26 17:17:37	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9c5c05…
07-26 17:07:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x72916a…
07-26 15:47:16	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	553	94¢	$520	0xef8189…
07-23 15:21:39	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	527	99¢	$522	0xffdce0…
07-22 17:00:03	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,048	99¢	$1,033	0x2cf9bf…
07-22 16:52:57	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	527	99¢	$520	0x74c79f…
07-22 12:23:34	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xb9af12…
07-21 13:31:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	SELL	1,468	90¢	$1,322	0x6c2b39…
07-21 13:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x72564f…
07-21 13:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	SELL	317	90¢	$285	0xb87a9e…
07-20 01:10:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xa070d1…
07-20 01:09:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	441	89¢	$391	0x137150…
07-20 01:08:54	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	315	88¢	$277	0xd051a5…
07-20 01:08:54	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	710	88¢	$625	0x79f3ba…
07-20 01:08:54	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	315	88¢	$277	0x6c556a…
07-17 18:05:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	822	67¢	$551	0x2e87dd…
07-17 18:05:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x10d341…
07-17 18:02:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x5050a8…
07-14 03:08:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	165	54¢	$89	0x155f56…
07-14 03:08:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x6356e6…
07-14 02:57:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	64	54¢	$35	0xe2bb58…
07-14 02:56:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x49ff48…
07-14 02:52:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	653	54¢	$352	0x626c36…
07-14 02:51:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	375	96¢	$361	0x34818b…
07-13 18:38:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	1,505	96¢	$1,445	0x085487…
06-13 09:59:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0x283781…
06-13 09:59:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,441	84¢	$1,217	0x39b5b3…
06-13 09:58:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0xda4ead…
06-13 09:56:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,381	85¢	$2,014	0x205936…
06-12 20:30:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	966	84¢	$808	0x479b77…
06-10 06:29:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	169	96¢	$162	0xff6d59…
06-09 18:22:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,702	94¢	$2,540	0x7c4496…
06-02 07:11:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,936	95¢	$1,839	0xc49d3a…
05-27 16:12:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x8cc44a…
05-27 16:09:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x411056…
05-27 16:08:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x8cf7a4…
05-27 16:08:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	745	70¢	$521	0xe00c06…
05-26 10:31:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	536	95¢	$509	0xec6278…
05-26 10:25:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x550615…
05-26 10:25:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	73¢	$25	0xc1e582…
05-26 10:24:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	632	73¢	$461	0x0911e2…
05-26 10:23:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,423	73¢	$1,039	0x6fd5fb…
05-25 03:23:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	530	84¢	$445	0xea48dd…
05-25 03:17:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x044b8e…
05-25 03:16:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	487	85¢	$414	0xd993a2…
05-24 17:26:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	336	82¢	$276	0xf9957e…
05-23 14:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x4cb1d5…
05-17 21:31:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x635d20…
05-01 11:45:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x834c27…
05-01 11:42:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x97c297…
05-01 11:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2,934	77¢	$2,260	0xa9b060…
05-01 04:40:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,651	82¢	$1,354	0x588a45…