Unruly-Credibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

102

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$4.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-08 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 28% $-4

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776805200	2	$217	208	197	+11	open	—	04-21 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$208	200	200	+0	Down	+$188	05-06 18:31
btc updown 5m 1776811200	2	$96	78	75	+3	open	—	04-21 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$86	77	77	+0	Up	+$66	05-06 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776712200	2	$84	60	58	+2	open	—	04-20 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$72	53	53	+0	Down	+$32	05-07 18:49
btc updown 5m 1776805500	1	$70	304	0	+304	open	—	04-21 21:06
btc updown 5m 1775768100	2	$66	49	47	+2	open	—	04-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$61	152	152	+0	Up	+$41	05-08 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$60	62	62	+0	Up	+$40	05-08 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$50	163	0	+163	Up	$-50	05-06 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$50	70	0	+70	Up	+$20	05-08 06:19
btc updown 5m 1776807000	1	$50	171	0	+171	open	—	04-21 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776804600	1	$50	238	0	+238	open	—	04-21 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$50	116	0	+116	Down	$-50	05-06 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776807900	1	$50	217	0	+217	open	—	04-21 21:46
btc updown 5m 1776751200	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	04-21 06:04
btc updown 5m 1776793800	1	$50	107	0	+107	open	—	04-21 17:51
btc updown 5m 1776837900	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	04-22 06:06
btc updown 5m 1776008400	1	$50	146	0	+146	open	—	04-12 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$50	172	0	+172	Up	$-50	05-07 22:46
btc updown 5m 1776750000	1	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	04-21 05:43
btc updown 5m 1776718200	1	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	04-20 20:54
btc updown 5m 1776713100	2	$49	49	47	+2	open	—	04-20 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$47	111	83	+28	Down	+$18	05-08 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776837300	1	$45	141	0	+141	open	—	04-22 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$45	228	0	+228	Down	$-45	05-08 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$43	111	111	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776807600	1	$40	154	0	+154	open	—	04-21 21:41
btc updown 5m 1776000900	1	$40	120	0	+120	open	—	04-12 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x857449…
05-08 21:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb3c39b…
05-08 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe31cd3…
05-08 20:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	228	20¢	$45	0xe3a1b1…
05-08 20:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0xb2c4e9…
05-08 20:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x71634d…
05-08 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x75c47d…
05-08 20:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1bd3ff…
05-08 20:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x0eeb2f…
05-08 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2130a6…
05-08 19:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x392140…
05-08 19:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x25c3cc…
05-08 19:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0xac579d…
05-08 19:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x936d0d…
05-08 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe070bc…
05-08 17:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1,125	0¢	$1	0x85fe26…
05-08 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,105	1¢	$10	0xdf78e5…
05-08 17:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf60a16…
05-08 17:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x77e8c3…
05-08 17:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7b03e2…
05-08 17:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x6dff7b…
05-08 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6b51d4…
05-08 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	62	81¢	$50	0x91c2f7…
05-08 17:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7993b2…
05-08 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf6fd0c…
05-08 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	83	39¢	$32	0xd907e2…
05-08 17:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2349a8…
05-08 17:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	238	6¢	$14	0x3fb367…
05-08 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	152	34¢	$51	0x6c43c7…
05-08 16:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xe67fa2…
05-08 16:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5b674e…
05-08 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x54d7ba…
05-08 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6caf4c…
05-08 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x801341…
05-08 16:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xc3fdfa…
05-08 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x331d8f…
05-08 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4417e9…
05-08 12:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x872580…
05-08 12:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x5b30fe…
05-08 12:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa21de9…
05-08 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x514e30…
05-08 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x139f7f…
05-08 06:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2604c0…
05-08 06:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xcecadf…
05-08 06:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xac6025…
05-08 06:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf319c1…
05-08 06:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x1fbd98…
05-08 06:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4bee61…
05-08 06:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x074fd5…
05-08 05:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xf1c059…
05-08 05:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7ed05b…
05-07 23:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x55db3c…
05-07 23:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa022c9…
05-07 23:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	337	3¢	$10	0xde9fef…
05-07 23:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	1¢	$10	0xcb19dc…
05-07 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe8690e…
05-07 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	416	2¢	$10	0x4cc15d…
05-07 22:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x57e796…
05-07 22:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x92dc52…
05-07 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x147098…
05-07 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfbb544…
05-07 22:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe815a3…
05-07 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xc3854b…
05-07 19:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x30467c…
05-07 19:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	461	2¢	$10	0x93afc7…
05-07 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4fb163…
05-07 19:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x9c98bc…
05-07 19:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x093b95…
05-07 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x5d3df0…
05-07 18:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x676350…
05-07 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7e18bd…
05-07 18:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf3b4d0…
05-07 18:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x6f5376…
05-07 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0x85b32b…
05-07 16:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x1a949e…
05-07 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa25d1c…
05-07 16:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3bcf82…
05-07 16:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x58e28f…
05-07 15:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x03200a…
05-07 15:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcc586e…
05-07 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0669c8…
05-07 12:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x96c860…
05-07 12:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x676514…
05-07 12:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xdb57c7…
05-07 07:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x5d741d…
05-07 06:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x622c73…
05-07 06:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xcee2c7…
05-07 06:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe73172…
05-07 06:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0x87f901…
05-07 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x4fe69f…
05-07 06:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xf833d7…
05-07 06:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1f1b2c…
05-07 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb3c98b…
05-06 23:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe1f09c…
05-06 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x73e51a…
05-06 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	163	31¢	$50	0xc9964f…
05-06 20:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x2f3a4d…
05-06 19:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xf4e22c…
05-06 19:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x37a09f…
05-06 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xc6b2c3…