Cloudy-Thongs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$0

Other

22% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	02-04 10:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	05-13 02:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	05-26 08:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	05-10 08:46
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-06 02:10
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	06-08 09:14
ethereum above 3200 on february 1	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-31 09:01
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-03 10:41
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-26 09:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-22 08:43
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-09 06:46
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-24 06:36
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-11 03:52
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	01-18 09:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 10	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	01-09 10:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	06-06 01:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-28 08:50
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-13 11:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-27 06:49
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	02-12 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-25 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-06 07:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	03-18 09:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	04-21 02:39
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	04-15 07:25
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	04-02 02:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	03-14 07:07
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$3	1,000	+1,000	open	—	02-12 01:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	600	+600	open	—	06-01 03:29
ethereum above 2700 on january 7	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	01-06 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:14:12	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7f5987…
06-06 01:59:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x67b5a7…
06-01 03:29:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xd20cb9…
05-26 08:14:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x5a03bd…
05-13 02:26:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb8eda4…
05-10 08:46:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9ee524…
04-25 08:41:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x79edf7…
04-21 02:39:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x4797c2…
04-15 07:25:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x70bdc3…
04-15 07:24:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb3c9a…
04-15 07:24:34	Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x546ab5…
04-15 07:24:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1df2e6…
04-11 03:52:17	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x486f9a…
04-06 07:47:09	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8dcf18…
04-02 02:33:33	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x85823c…
04-02 02:33:25	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ffd2c…
04-02 02:33:09	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda97a7…
04-02 02:32:57	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bf619…
04-02 02:32:39	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957d50…
03-28 08:50:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9e0be0…
03-24 06:36:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x95dc46…
03-18 09:16:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xd4a223…
03-14 07:07:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb26076…
03-14 07:07:19	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a239a…
03-14 07:07:07	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2dbf…
03-14 07:06:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ca770…
03-09 06:46:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xec8873…
03-03 10:41:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xae8e25…
02-27 06:49:06	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6ec21e…
02-12 01:30:09	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x7075d4…
02-12 01:29:57	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68614e…
02-12 01:29:35	will turbotax file your tax return be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x633bbd…
02-12 01:27:55	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x30df0c…
02-04 10:53:28	bitcoin above 88k on february 5	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x11ba95…
01-31 09:01:30	ethereum above 3200 on february 1	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd30d35…
01-26 09:16:47	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xdbeea2…
01-22 08:43:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x14f9d7…
01-18 09:56:30	will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc558cf…
01-13 11:03:03	ethereum above 2900 on january 13	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xccda33…
01-13 11:02:51	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d981e…
01-13 11:02:43	will grok be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8e801…
01-09 10:48:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 10	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xb35aec…
01-09 10:47:48	elon musk of tweets january 2026 840 879	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76668c…
01-09 10:47:34	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e3eb3…
01-06 02:10:11	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x809bf5…
01-06 02:09:59	ethereum above 2700 on january 7	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x210ba3…