Rotten-Godfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-19 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 42% +$24

Sports

20% — —

Other

19% — —

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl fla van 2026 03 17	2	$300	160	160	+0	open	—	03-18 04:54
nba den mem 2026 01 25	1	$159	181	0	+181	open	—	03-18 04:54
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 06:13
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$152	80	80	+0	open	—	05-04 05:29
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$130	75	75	+0	open	—	01-08 08:01
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 33c	1	$128	141	0	+141	open	—	03-16 16:08
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$106	98	98	+0	open	—	01-12 03:11
eth updown 15m 1767939300	3	$80	150	99	+51	open	—	01-09 06:28
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	2	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	03-05 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 17:28
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$64	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-09 05:36
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$60	51	51	+0	open	—	01-04 08:09
btc updown 15m 1767930300	2	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 03:51
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$55	60	60	+0	open	—	01-15 01:51
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	01-08 07:52
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 09:18
btc updown 15m 1767945600	1	$38	77	0	+77	open	—	01-09 08:02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	01-08 08:44
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	2	$35	20	30	-10	open	—	05-18 17:35
btc updown 15m 1767944700	1	$32	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 07:46
will vvd be part of the next government of the netherlands	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	01-29 06:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$28	0	56	-56	open	—	01-19 06:50
btc updown 15m 1767942000	7	$24	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$23	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 13:19
btc updown 15m 1767943800	1	$23	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 07:30
cbb nmxst smho 2026 03 11	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 03:50
btc updown 15m 1767941100	7	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	01-09 06:48
hok mtg kailun 2026 03 02	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 09:24
will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 07:20
eth updown 15m 1767424500	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-03 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 06:13:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xd98c32…
05-19 06:10:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x925a3f…
05-19 05:22:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x10d942…
05-19 05:15:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x49a05c…
05-19 04:51:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x79a474…
05-18 17:35:17	Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	NAVI Junior	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x9760ed…
05-18 17:28:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xb300be…
05-18 17:27:29	Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	NAVI Junior	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x83c64a…
05-16 08:17:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x827404…
05-14 05:45:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1df24a…
05-12 10:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x679d84…
05-12 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfb7d84…
05-12 10:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x868422…
05-06 13:46:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x857ab9…
05-06 13:42:58	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3461aa…
05-06 13:37:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xab66f6…
05-06 13:26:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2fb9fe…
05-06 13:24:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4ffec3…
05-06 13:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	64¢	$18	0xca8c1e…
05-06 13:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x25e572…
05-06 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc8a26f…
05-06 10:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x5bdca7…
05-06 10:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1bd35c…
05-06 10:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x4bcdf8…
05-06 10:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1d05b2…
05-06 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd3f29e…
05-06 10:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2b00c3…
05-04 05:29:16	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x0efa7f…
04-23 17:59:24	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$55	0xd8d35e…
04-23 13:26:58	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5a9202…
04-23 13:23:22	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xbdec24…
03-21 09:18:23	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x0b2b55…
03-18 04:58:23	nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 222pt5	Over	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe1ee0f…
03-18 04:54:37	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Nuggets	BUY	181	88¢	$159	0x38f37f…
03-18 04:54:01	nhl fla van 2026 03 17	Canucks	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x612144…
03-18 04:01:13	nhl fla van 2026 03 17	Canucks	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0x94c1ca…
03-16 16:08:39	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 33c	No	BUY	141	91¢	$128	0x3a0a78…
03-12 03:51:37	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x6e5c7b…
03-12 03:50:57	cbb nmxst smho 2026 03 11	Sam Houston Bearkats	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9af119…
03-12 02:41:53	cbb nmxst smho 2026 03 11	Sam Houston Bearkats	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe95872…
03-09 05:36:25	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,500	1¢	$19	0x591ad2…
03-09 05:35:03	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,500	3¢	$45	0x1f33c6…
03-05 12:18:29	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x89cdea…
03-05 07:11:17	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x9c92af…
03-05 07:09:07	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	42	81¢	$34	0x16b04a…
03-04 06:37:47	will google be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x088050…
03-04 02:57:45	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x11dfec…
03-04 01:50:27	cbb holy lafay 2026 03 03 spread home 3pt5	Holy Cross Crusaders	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x8e0201…
03-03 02:10:13	itsb pad spe 2026 03 03 spread home 1pt5	Spezia Calcio	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x2a400a…
03-02 09:26:23	rou1 aus fcr 2026 03 02 aus	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x13b639…
03-02 09:24:37	hok mtg kailun 2026 03 02	Mighty Tiger Gaming	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd01f4f…
03-02 09:16:33	hok mtg kailun 2026 03 02	Mighty Tiger Gaming	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x9d36aa…
03-02 07:21:33	hok mtg kailun 2026 03 02	Mighty Tiger Gaming	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xf33cd5…
03-02 07:20:57	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xbf90a3…
03-02 07:19:03	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb3f9ec…
01-29 06:10:40	infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf7c00a…
01-29 06:09:36	will vvd be part of the next government of the netherlands	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x411f84…
01-29 02:04:26	will vvd be part of the next government of the netherlands	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x07a25a…
01-24 08:37:34	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x9932d4…
01-19 06:50:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xbd01fb…
01-19 06:49:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x2e6fd3…
01-15 01:51:10	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0xcc86ae…
01-14 02:20:42	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x159fa6…
01-12 03:11:54	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xf9e112…
01-10 01:59:02	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x0cf7a4…
01-09 08:02:40	btc updown 15m 1767945600	Up	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x0f1f7a…
01-09 07:46:40	btc updown 15m 1767944700	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x16909c…
01-09 07:30:38	btc updown 15m 1767943800	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xaa1fe4…
01-09 07:05:02	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0xfb870a…
01-09 07:05:00	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xfef989…
01-09 07:05:00	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xa8552a…
01-09 07:05:00	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x831824…
01-09 07:05:00	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x7b43bb…
01-09 07:04:58	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x9a6e74…
01-09 07:04:58	btc updown 15m 1767942000	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x202bcb…
01-09 06:48:10	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x445299…
01-09 06:48:10	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a18be…
01-09 06:48:08	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb28663…
01-09 06:48:08	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x69f9f6…
01-09 06:48:08	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x67bbe8…
01-09 06:48:08	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x3ad068…
01-09 06:48:08	btc updown 15m 1767941100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x113be2…
01-09 06:31:40	btc updown 15m 1767940200	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x9ee55c…
01-09 06:28:40	eth updown 15m 1767939300	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x626726…
01-09 06:19:30	eth updown 15m 1767939300	Down	SELL	99	38¢	$38	0xab92d9…
01-09 06:16:44	eth updown 15m 1767939300	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa62308…
01-09 04:04:24	btc updown 15m 1767931200	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xafdb32…
01-09 03:55:00	eth updown 15m 1767930300	Down	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0xc5d33f…
01-09 03:51:08	btc updown 15m 1767930300	Down	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x6431b8…
01-09 03:49:32	btc updown 15m 1767930300	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xff2a00…
01-08 08:44:17	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x45f722…
01-08 08:36:19	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xb77f7e…
01-08 08:01:35	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0xe44ace…
01-08 07:57:29	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x462627…
01-08 07:52:09	infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xb0fcff…
01-08 06:41:01	infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xc0dc81…
01-08 06:34:11	infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x7dad69…
01-08 06:21:57	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x7703ba…
01-08 06:15:37	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x46faf2…
01-08 03:52:21	btc updown 15m 1767843900	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x907584…