Favorable-Envelope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,020

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-27 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 90% $-3

Other

15% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$21

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	30	$654	663	0	+663	open	—	05-25 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	26	$650	670	0	+670	open	—	05-25 09:29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	3	$525	525	0	+525	open	—	05-18 20:52
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	1	$385	405	0	+405	New York Yankees	+$20	05-07 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	17	$361	365	0	+365	open	—	05-25 15:24
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	20	$319	329	4	+325	open	—	05-26 07:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$296	172	172	+0	open	—	04-29 08:27
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	4	$265	265	0	+265	Philadelphia Phillies	+$1	05-10 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	13	$261	264	0	+264	open	—	05-25 20:24
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	18	$238	241	0	+241	open	—	05-26 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	11	$235	256	0	+256	open	—	05-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	05-25 10:20
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$176	178	0	+178	Up	+$2	05-07 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$155	165	0	+165	open	—	05-23 08:28
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	19	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	05-27 05:59
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	9	$137	139	0	+139	open	—	05-27 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	10	$114	153	0	+153	open	—	05-24 12:36
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$106	109	0	+109	open	—	05-26 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-25 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	05-24 11:54
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$100	100	0	+100	Baltimore Orioles	+$0	05-13 19:40
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-21 10:31
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	1	$97	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	05-08 04:58
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	11	$95	96	0	+96	open	—	05-27 05:49
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$83	158	0	+158	open	—	05-27 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$82	83	0	+83	open	—	05-24 12:49
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	5	$81	82	0	+82	open	—	05-19 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	1	$78	78	0	+78	Down	+$0	05-08 16:54
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	18	$74	86	0	+86	open	—	05-27 16:52
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	8	$68	105	0	+105	open	—	05-27 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 16:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa34741…
05-27 16:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x638146…
05-27 16:56:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe688ce…
05-27 16:56:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2886b7…
05-27 16:56:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xac6f61…
05-27 16:56:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7c199a…
05-27 16:56:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x774fb3…
05-27 16:52:57	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x80404c…
05-27 16:52:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50da16…
05-27 16:52:29	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x283bad…
05-27 16:52:27	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa5a11d…
05-27 16:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd269e5…
05-27 16:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x888dd8…
05-27 16:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x540469…
05-27 16:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2309ef…
05-27 16:51:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfdc003…
05-27 16:51:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe758ec…
05-27 16:51:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaad569…
05-27 16:51:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x94d8fd…
05-27 16:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x66912d…
05-27 16:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5be41c…
05-27 16:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x33b6be…
05-27 16:51:43	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x02a745…
05-27 16:51:41	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x4d3f2e…
05-27 16:51:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3cb608…
05-27 16:49:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa39d92…
05-27 16:49:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x714a00…
05-27 16:49:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1111f4…
05-27 16:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x868257…
05-27 16:49:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb94624…
05-27 16:49:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb76518…
05-27 16:49:39	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd7f7a0…
05-27 16:49:39	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2bbceb…
05-27 15:18:37	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa792b…
05-27 15:14:16	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51a832…
05-27 15:14:01	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb9089…
05-27 15:04:32	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e7037…
05-27 15:03:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5442cb…
05-27 14:59:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8065dd…
05-27 14:53:30	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02b56f…
05-27 14:22:25	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb6dcfd…
05-27 14:22:18	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa55155…
05-27 14:21:13	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfbf903…
05-27 14:20:43	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7081ac…
05-27 13:34:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe880ec…
05-27 08:49:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d0864…
05-27 08:49:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4be6bb…
05-27 08:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2e0082…
05-27 08:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98fea9…
05-27 08:34:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaa9809…
05-27 08:34:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x59f311…
05-27 08:34:45	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe49daa…
05-27 08:34:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf8c815…
05-27 08:34:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x510b2f…
05-27 08:09:21	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ed319…
05-27 08:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0f103…
05-27 08:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x072b45…
05-27 08:04:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0106d…
05-27 08:04:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x855aa3…
05-27 07:49:45	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x312a96…
05-27 07:49:43	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x944864…
05-27 07:49:43	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d1bb2…
05-27 07:19:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ab75d…
05-27 07:19:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05b5b6…
05-27 07:19:54	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a264a…
05-27 07:19:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x48d7d0…
05-27 07:15:02	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80439c…
05-27 07:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f268c…
05-27 06:18:57	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x604e82…
05-27 06:18:57	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f35bf…
05-27 06:14:17	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb250a9…
05-27 06:13:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf91ace…
05-27 06:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbea2f1…
05-27 06:09:51	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80bcd9…
05-27 06:04:50	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4ae65…
05-27 05:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7b2ab…
05-27 05:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09ec74…
05-27 05:59:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35d421…
05-27 05:59:37	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c663f…
05-27 05:59:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f5448…
05-27 05:59:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x149cee…
05-27 05:59:31	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0a3fe…
05-27 05:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x152792…
05-27 05:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x081f6d…
05-27 05:59:23	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3dd2cb…
05-27 05:59:17	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16040d…
05-27 05:59:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x391722…
05-27 05:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf17151…
05-27 05:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f1c7a…
05-27 05:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5cf737…
05-27 05:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b3f5a…
05-27 05:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x54dcaf…
05-27 05:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4eaef9…
05-27 05:59:07	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe4dbd0…
05-27 05:49:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1c9a4…
05-27 05:49:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb59ac4…
05-27 05:49:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14b750…
05-27 05:49:36	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf84cd4…
05-27 05:49:36	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfabea…
05-27 05:49:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8a3386…