Sneaky-Promise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-08 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Politics

14% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$60	810	810	+0	open	—	02-21 08:06
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$50	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	02-17 16:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-12 10:40
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-11 09:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-10 13:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-09 07:53
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-07 12:48
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-05 23:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-03 12:52
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-01 08:16
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-31 08:37
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 13:18
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	03-29 09:14
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-28 07:04
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-27 13:01
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-26 07:02
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-25 03:22
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-24 12:11
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-23 08:36
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-22 14:19
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-21 14:14
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-20 14:02
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-19 14:07
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-18 08:42
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-11 09:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-03 07:53
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-22 03:09
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-18 14:53
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-28 16:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 04:59:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ad8d9…
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa1e556…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9406c4…
06-25 15:30:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x988c16…
06-14 09:51:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf069d9…
06-12 10:05:15	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc4a13…
06-11 05:33:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6748d3…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd40fa5…
06-04 13:04:33	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x070ebb…
05-30 07:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2b73c…
05-27 13:31:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdcc3e4…
05-23 12:30:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5b2452…
05-21 09:53:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe8b92e…
05-20 14:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x403fb4…
05-15 12:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52ad1…
05-14 10:36:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x658d16…
05-10 13:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe854e0…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb54bc0…
05-05 13:52:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcd5e5b…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x668215…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3598f5…
04-27 12:54:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf0f657…
04-26 13:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb8b1be…
04-23 09:56:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8321f2…
04-22 13:18:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xac5b7a…
04-21 10:41:14	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf20eb7…
04-20 13:34:48	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb9032b…
04-19 12:08:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x118ee6…
04-17 13:49:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xba00fc…
04-17 12:55:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x08bde4…
04-15 09:01:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x006480…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbadaa5…
04-13 13:06:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2510b…
04-12 10:40:31	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x6a733d…
04-11 09:30:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x314dc8…
04-10 13:39:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf7349f…
04-09 07:53:53	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x3e5274…
04-07 12:48:49	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x83a792…
04-05 23:19:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xee0ef0…
04-03 12:52:15	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xfeafbb…
04-01 08:16:43	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf1e34d…
03-31 08:37:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xcba61f…
03-30 13:18:28	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xa7e2e2…
03-29 09:14:22	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xe7967f…
03-28 07:04:05	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xf13c68…
03-27 13:01:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x878c71…
03-26 07:02:11	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xca2cf8…
03-25 03:22:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x057e5a…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:36:45	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd939ed…
03-22 14:19:27	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x161315…
03-21 14:14:57	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x30d710…
03-20 14:02:51	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xfa9024…
03-19 14:07:49	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa169a7…
03-18 08:42:55	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x476164…
03-17 09:52:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac8b41…
03-16 09:45:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xd9e533…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x19f5e4…
03-12 16:27:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xafacd3…
03-11 09:22:17	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc717a7…
03-03 07:53:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfe6c9d…
03-01 15:18:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x92c8fa…
02-28 16:00:57	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe882e4…
02-22 03:09:06	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0fdc23…
02-21 08:06:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	810	4¢	$30	0x77e62f…
02-21 04:30:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	810	4¢	$30	0x919ad0…
02-18 19:32:34	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,502	0¢	$5	0x49390e…
02-18 17:03:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,502	0¢	$5	0xd5f7cb…
02-18 14:53:52	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x76433f…
02-17 16:25:05	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	SELL	3,300	1¢	$23	0x359254…
02-17 16:22:01	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	3,300	1¢	$26	0x847037…
02-15 13:59:31	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,033	0¢	$4	0x93be22…
02-15 12:51:49	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	967	0¢	$2	0x611e5a…
02-14 23:03:33	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x0e6ac7…
02-08 17:14:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	501	0¢	$2	0x62422e…
02-08 17:13:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	501	0¢	$2	0x8cd412…