Mundane-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$148

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-13 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 22% $-20

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$37	29	20	+10	Up	$-3	05-04 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$31	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	7	$25	23	17	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$11	56	6	+50	Down	$-0	05-04 23:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	05-13 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$8	13	2	+11	Up	$-4	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-13 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	$-3	05-05 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:27:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1233a2…
05-13 11:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xde47f9…
05-13 11:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa48f56…
05-13 11:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa427ae…
05-13 11:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x611ba1…
05-13 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x3c6b38…
05-13 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ccc23…
05-13 11:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x736508…
05-13 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7926a1…
05-05 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x5c1602…
05-04 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xfc6983…
05-04 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x142325…
05-04 23:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x620003…
05-04 23:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe226ad…
05-04 23:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x9433de…
05-04 23:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf86dc2…
05-04 23:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf880ac…
05-04 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x09f88f…
05-04 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ff9e9…
05-04 23:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb94c9c…
05-04 23:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdb023a…
05-04 23:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xa79d10…
05-04 23:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbe64bd…
05-04 23:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x00960c…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd5a71f…
05-04 23:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x720ebc…
05-04 23:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9d0515…
05-04 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xb701d8…
05-04 23:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x89968d…
05-04 23:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb012af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	10	$14.0K	351	05-21 11:22
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	9	$10.5K	1,063	05-13 11:24
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	9	$9.58K	1,992	05-13 11:25
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	9	$8.51K	786	05-13 11:24
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$7.63K	96	05-13 11:24
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	9	$6.53K	954	05-13 11:24
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	9	$4.68K	210	05-13 11:24
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	9	$4.44K	248	05-13 11:24