Profitable-Association — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-12 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 67% $-2

Other

8% 0% $-13

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 07:29
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	1	$13	16	0	+16	FUT Esports	$-13	05-11 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$11	13	13	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 07:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$9	15	14	+0	open	—	02-28 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 07:57
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 22:47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	04-12 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xf460f3…
05-12 08:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0fa39c…
05-12 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x3acdf3…
05-12 08:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1c35b2…
05-12 07:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xeb4b99…
05-12 07:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x358632…
05-12 07:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x7a3fc2…
05-12 07:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x107d15…
05-12 07:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x49fc0b…
05-12 07:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x22ce34…
05-12 07:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x1d3429…
05-12 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x6a6fc4…
05-12 07:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x91942b…
05-12 07:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0c5fc4…
05-12 07:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0fcc5f…
05-12 07:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x8e414c…
05-12 07:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x3cc36c…
05-12 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xd8fa0e…
05-12 07:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x1553e6…
05-12 07:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xc69d4f…
05-12 07:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9fde7e…
05-12 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x076eee…
05-12 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xdc16cd…
05-12 07:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x0a1544…
05-12 07:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x40aca7…
05-12 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd497b8…
05-12 07:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x27623c…
05-12 07:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x40eb79…
05-12 07:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1e52c8…
05-12 07:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x7c61c4…
05-12 07:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x14e897…
05-11 22:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xb3e60a…
05-11 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x8101af…
05-11 22:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x3d5da0…
05-11 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd317b0…
05-11 22:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x58065a…
05-11 22:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x727530…
05-11 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x56514a…
05-11 22:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1c0144…
05-11 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xc295b9…
05-11 22:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4fdadb…
05-11 22:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x580238…
05-11 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf28957…
05-11 22:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x206ae5…
05-11 22:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc12cc1…
05-11 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x558c8c…
05-11 22:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x081eb7…
05-11 18:57:33	Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	NRG	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xdf00bf…
04-12 13:45:29	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1d4bb5…
04-12 06:51:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xed8287…
02-28 19:53:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x8bdd4c…
02-28 12:53:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb7f8d0…
01-18 15:48:00	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x1febbd…
01-13 15:10:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xefbf5a…