Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$401
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$22.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$952
Open exposure
$19.1K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-16 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$3
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United? No +7,922 $7,914 100¢ $7.9K $-8 05-15 14:06
Will Thierry Henry be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? No +3,998 $3,994 100¢ $4.0K +$0 05-16 17:46
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3? No +1,884 $1,880 100¢ $1.9K $-6 05-14 01:56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12? No +1,857 $1,854 98¢ $1.8K $-35 05-14 02:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16? No +1,801 $1,799 100¢ $1.8K $-2 05-16 17:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17? No +441 $441 100¢ $440 $-0 05-16 17:06
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? No +719 $717 57¢ $410 $-307 05-14 03:20
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22? Yes +641 $358 50¢ $318 $-40 05-16 17:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17? No +284 $283 100¢ $283 +$0 05-16 17:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16? Yes +263 $262 100¢ $262 $-0 05-16 17:07
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? Yes +41 $41 92¢ $38 $-3 05-14 03:21