Worrisome-Crunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-09 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 80% +$50

Other

36% 0% $-6

Politics

14% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	10	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-12 13:46
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	10	$719	650	650	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
btc updown 15m 1775918700	2	$504	258	257	+1	open	—	04-11 14:57
btc updown 4h 1776124800	8	$410	412	402	+9	open	—	04-14 03:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	4	$410	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 06:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	5	$393	400	392	+8	open	—	04-12 11:54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	4	$374	400	440	-40	open	—	04-13 17:05
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	13	$364	274	274	+0	open	—	06-09 09:40
spy up or down on april 21 2026	3	$305	280	280	+0	open	—	04-21 15:36
btc updown 5m 1775136900	6	$296	176	173	+3	open	—	04-02 13:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$284	278	267	+11	open	—	04-27 12:35
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 03:12
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	2	$274	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 14:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 09:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 06:36
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	2	$250	500	500	+0	open	—	04-07 06:48
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$245	145	145	+0	open	—	05-02 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	13	$232	190	190	+0	Up	+$42	05-09 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	3	$229	124	124	+0	open	—	05-30 02:54
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	5	$226	214	210	+4	open	—	04-26 02:35
ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	2	$223	126	125	+1	open	—	04-19 05:46
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$218	140	140	+0	open	—	04-03 10:58
btc updown 15m 1775285100	5	$214	172	167	+5	open	—	04-04 06:49
bitcoin up or down april 3 8am et	5	$204	108	107	+0	open	—	04-03 12:49
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	2	$203	142	141	+1	open	—	04-14 04:14
Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 06:08
btc updown 15m 1775994300	3	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	5	$154	109	109	+0	open	—	05-23 03:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$148	81	81	+0	open	—	03-27 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:26:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x876deb…
06-09 13:59:55	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2291e0…
06-09 13:59:37	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x278d1c…
06-09 13:56:52	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x9b57bd…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xf9545f…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xf1e466…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xdd04a7…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9786fa…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3cb9e6…
06-09 09:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x02455b…
06-09 09:40:43	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbedcb6…
06-09 09:40:03	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xf7e337…
06-09 09:40:03	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x644994…
06-09 09:38:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x8d725b…
06-09 09:11:04	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	138	60¢	$83	0x72f824…
06-09 09:09:16	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	136	64¢	$87	0x0002d3…
06-09 09:04:18	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	136	47¢	$64	0x203eef…
06-07 13:52:40	btc updown 15m 1780839900	Down	SELL	224	19¢	$43	0x4d83e3…
06-07 13:47:21	btc updown 15m 1780839900	Down	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x7124f5…
06-07 13:18:34	btc updown 15m 1780838100	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd64177…
06-07 12:49:16	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Down	SELL	65	17¢	$11	0x0fac57…
06-07 12:45:10	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x2cd20c…
06-07 12:38:01	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	SELL	106	79¢	$84	0x7a0eda…
06-07 12:32:31	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x61c5fb…
06-07 12:27:54	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3df312…
06-07 09:43:30	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x444407…
06-07 09:32:24	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	144	24¢	$35	0xa37c75…
06-05 14:22:12	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Bryce Mitchell	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xacc728…
05-30 22:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x8f3c99…
05-30 13:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	92	13¢	$12	0x9f3eae…
05-30 11:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x929f3e…
05-30 08:06:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	79	52¢	$41	0xf53e01…
05-30 02:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	124	96¢	$119	0x6b818e…
05-30 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x83761d…
05-30 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x14d1e5…
05-24 09:40:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x6e4e61…
05-24 09:40:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xa2da81…
05-24 07:09:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe129a4…
05-24 06:57:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x650d9b…
05-24 06:36:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xf57896…
05-24 06:23:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x8e314c…
05-23 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xa94d4a…
05-23 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x8d8c29…
05-23 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x4011c1…
05-23 03:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x24d690…
05-23 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9e5bfd…
05-23 03:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x922c32…
05-23 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	109	49¢	$53	0xacdbaf…
05-23 02:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x55dd0d…
05-17 13:08:39	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x903be4…
05-12 17:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	88	68¢	$60	0x06911d…
05-12 17:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xff7378…
05-12 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	149	13¢	$20	0x4119dd…
05-12 14:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	149	33¢	$50	0x342efd…
05-12 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	75¢	$74	0x82a1fa…
05-12 00:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xf49576…
05-12 00:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x527a2b…
05-12 00:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x8e5cf1…
05-11 04:58:38	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4d22b8…
05-11 04:13:15	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x0bf175…
05-11 03:16:44	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xf6f353…
05-11 02:09:28	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb2ec31…
05-11 00:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	96	67¢	$64	0xf0d8bd…
05-11 00:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xef8ab7…
05-11 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0f08c0…
05-11 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x507a41…
05-09 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0xfcf753…
05-09 12:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0x07b300…
05-09 12:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x039b3f…
05-09 12:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xba56c2…
05-09 12:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x20d8bc…
05-09 12:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x04a645…
05-09 12:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xa48ad8…
05-09 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xfdca84…
05-09 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xe3b71a…
05-09 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x6e2402…
05-09 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x06e9b5…
05-09 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x70a563…
05-09 12:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	139	54¢	$75	0xff2a7a…
05-02 14:17:38	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x603815…
05-02 13:50:38	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x3d1a0f…
04-30 14:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc4b4f2…
04-30 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x79ae67…
04-29 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x15c696…
04-29 13:16:40	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x94d678…
04-29 13:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	25¢	$19	0x3c7d58…
04-29 13:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x0c0a41…
04-29 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xde4500…
04-29 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd3cece…
04-29 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xcdac39…
04-29 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc8a21d…
04-29 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa47d3f…
04-29 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xa43e61…
04-29 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x691cd8…
04-29 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x5fd9c8…
04-29 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xb9cdbf…
04-27 12:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	267	58¢	$154	0x54d7c7…
04-27 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xe1765c…
04-27 12:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd319b0…
04-26 12:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x190398…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	54	$72.5K	843	06-09 14:22
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	50	$11.1M	16,666	06-01 03:20
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	42	$151.6K	11,776	06-08 03:06
Dishonest-Omnivore 0xf8ea…b603	42	$8.08K	179	05-31 02:13
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	42	$3.56K	172	05-26 08:03
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	41	$43.9K	3,634	04-28 00:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	38	$300.5K	4,179	06-08 02:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	38	$93.0K	6,665	05-02 08:23