Determined-Wish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$52	42	42	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$43	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$14	15	10	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$12	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$11	20	12	+8	Up	$-9	05-06 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$10	27	27	+0	Down	$-10	05-12 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-06 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Up	$-10	05-08 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$8	15	10	+6	Down	$-4	05-08 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	12	12	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$5	20	5	+15	Down	$-5	05-12 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-08 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-08 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-06 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	$-5	05-06 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x8e78c7…
05-12 15:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xfb1407…
05-12 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5e796f…
05-12 15:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x45f441…
05-12 15:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x6d1b92…
05-12 15:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbd2c47…
05-12 10:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x824ae3…
05-12 10:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x33971d…
05-08 08:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0xb0fd4a…
05-08 08:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	54¢	$22	0xb13d30…
05-08 08:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0d09e1…
05-08 08:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xae9aba…
05-08 08:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xaf1575…
05-08 08:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd1265a…
05-08 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x13cfe6…
05-08 08:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcafaa3…
05-08 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xbce76e…
05-08 08:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x18dfe0…
05-08 08:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x77aed7…
05-08 08:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x63352d…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe16298…
05-08 08:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x18c7af…
05-08 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x62f0c0…
05-08 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8f7fdb…
05-08 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x07e0a5…
05-07 15:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x3581cc…
05-07 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdf31e5…
05-07 15:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1485eb…
05-07 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x196c47…
05-07 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc27e7d…
05-06 14:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe43166…
05-06 14:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xd7da23…
05-06 14:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1c5678…
05-06 14:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x51724c…
05-06 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdee968…
05-06 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x6b8192…
05-06 14:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xafb365…
05-06 14:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7d7416…
05-06 14:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x8dfc0e…
05-06 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x28865f…
05-06 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xb45468…
05-06 13:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0795e5…
05-06 13:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7e75bb…
05-06 06:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2927f3…
05-06 06:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9a47ed…
05-06 06:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x763058…
05-06 05:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x32f692…
05-06 05:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4f769f…
05-06 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb25f09…
05-06 03:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x94f021…
05-06 03:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x50caa8…