Outgoing-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$292

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-02 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	06-02 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Down	$-10	05-08 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-08 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-09 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-09 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-09 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-09 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-09 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$4	61	0	+61	Down	$-4	05-08 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-08 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-09 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-09 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0xc6d242…
06-02 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa8fa00…
06-02 05:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xca1b37…
06-02 05:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb81b15…
05-15 01:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf28cc9…
05-15 01:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c7a0c…
05-15 01:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaf6c87…
05-15 01:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x649823…
05-15 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x81dc9c…
05-15 01:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x33db9d…
05-15 01:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x00db43…
05-15 01:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8c62be…
05-15 00:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f503c…
05-12 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe94029…
05-12 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6610d6…
05-09 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1653b1…
05-09 10:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9dd5aa…
05-09 09:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd9c6a2…
05-09 09:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb9f70e…
05-09 09:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1ba53b…
05-09 09:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2c9b82…
05-09 09:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5b403c…
05-09 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x431241…
05-09 08:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4bdf00…
05-09 08:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8b4a49…
05-09 08:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd0b737…
05-09 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x20b111…
05-09 08:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5edb5a…
05-09 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd88283…
05-09 07:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaa5acc…
05-09 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xffebdc…
05-09 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x227847…
05-09 07:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8c224c…
05-09 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4e8e4f…
05-09 07:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x60c1c1…
05-09 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x509221…
05-09 06:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xce8515…
05-09 06:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6d48b7…
05-09 06:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x21fcbd…
05-09 06:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xee5de8…
05-09 06:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x736280…
05-09 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x214d06…
05-09 06:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd3a08d…
05-09 05:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcebff1…
05-09 05:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x091577…
05-09 05:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xed7efe…
05-09 05:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x520fbe…
05-09 05:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x8be9e1…
05-09 05:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0ec3d4…
05-09 05:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf5e623…
05-09 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb3821…
05-09 05:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa1fd75…
05-09 04:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4c4e91…
05-09 04:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x10281a…
05-09 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd68992…
05-09 04:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x591376…
05-09 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd235dd…
05-09 03:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdba9ea…
05-09 03:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87ea77…
05-09 03:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1e9c8f…
05-09 03:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xda09f6…
05-09 03:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce29b8…
05-08 23:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xee5072…
05-08 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb90cfa…
05-08 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x36e06c…
05-08 22:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x44f490…
05-08 21:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4a92e2…
05-08 20:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa9a871…
05-08 19:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x2d8953…
05-08 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc5065d…
05-08 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f7099…
05-08 19:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa6acfe…
05-08 19:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8529f1…
05-08 18:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6ead7a…
05-08 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfb8cc9…
05-08 18:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5fc1eb…
05-08 18:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3cae8d…
05-08 18:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xe6acd6…
05-08 18:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x58cce4…
05-08 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xe6cee2…
05-08 18:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x237265…
05-08 17:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x92a0bc…
05-08 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x930435…
05-08 17:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3186f2…
05-08 17:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x368a5e…
05-08 17:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x35f070…
05-08 17:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x151e72…
05-08 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x91097e…
05-08 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6fcbaf…
05-08 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2092fc…
05-08 17:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb19a96…
05-08 16:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf93c65…
05-08 16:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x1353a0…
05-08 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd2427e…
05-08 16:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8486a8…
05-08 16:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc477dd…
05-08 16:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbc912f…
05-08 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x789749…
05-08 15:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb4bedb…
05-08 15:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x123713…