Naive-Coal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$421

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-19 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% $-7

Other

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$9	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	7	$8	9	7	+2	Up	$-0	05-06 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$6	11	5	+7	Up	$-2	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$6	9	6	+3	open	—	05-03 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	3	$6	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$5	11	5	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-03 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$4	12	3	+9	open	—	05-04 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$4	11	4	+7	open	—	05-04 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa59e26…
05-19 19:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x79629b…
05-10 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xf8dcc8…
05-10 05:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x76c634…
05-10 05:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xf35457…
05-10 05:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7a4a74…
05-09 19:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xec10e2…
05-09 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x689d55…
05-09 19:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0935b2…
05-09 19:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x6afe3d…
05-09 19:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0be818…
05-09 19:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xf75b0e…
05-09 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2ccdbc…
05-09 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8b9575…
05-09 19:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc79f5f…
05-09 14:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xfdb657…
05-09 14:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x34893a…
05-09 14:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcd1ded…
05-09 14:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x60bea5…
05-09 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xff1892…
05-09 14:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48e4c4…
05-09 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x75ae7b…
05-09 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca10cc…
05-09 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x70d046…
05-09 14:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7b8403…
05-09 14:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x9a199a…
05-09 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3111ed…
05-09 14:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xaf6a4b…
05-09 14:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xae74a8…
05-09 14:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb94786…
05-09 14:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc87a0a…
05-09 14:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x526970…
05-09 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x70c5cb…
05-09 14:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc9a1ae…
05-09 14:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x055482…
05-09 14:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcdfb9d…
05-09 14:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3be394…
05-09 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x540310…
05-09 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfe3984…
05-09 04:29:10	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x191779…
05-08 19:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xed2dfa…
05-08 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd9de9e…
05-08 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7e2557…
05-08 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x74ab55…
05-08 19:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfb147b…
05-08 19:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x221de2…
05-08 19:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x312716…
05-08 19:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe569d4…
05-08 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xe23e68…
05-08 19:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3bf72…
05-08 19:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x4127bd…
05-08 19:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xf230c5…
05-08 19:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdc4ef6…
05-08 19:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x1bc4c1…
05-08 19:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb8b1f6…
05-08 19:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9b26bb…
05-08 19:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1659af…
05-08 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7b7f28…
05-08 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed2c46…
05-08 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5e4482…
05-08 05:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x051adf…
05-07 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xafaed9…
05-07 18:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x35477c…
05-07 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa54b1e…
05-07 18:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x8055f8…
05-07 18:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x585cf3…
05-07 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xab6193…
05-07 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9615bd…
05-07 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x1605a1…
05-07 18:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x31fb37…
05-07 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xae3182…
05-07 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f8d64…
05-07 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x083acd…
05-07 13:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x44d515…
05-07 09:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcfb785…
05-07 05:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xe5ffbd…
05-07 05:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c6f08…
05-07 05:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x5c0687…
05-07 05:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4b7518…
05-07 05:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7cf4e5…
05-07 05:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4b098c…
05-07 05:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x80c145…
05-07 05:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5458eb…
05-07 05:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x5316ff…
05-07 05:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb0f1c5…
05-07 05:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x26e36c…
05-07 05:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2453b2…
05-07 05:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcab616…
05-07 05:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe7aae9…
05-07 04:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x765741…
05-07 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe82b2b…
05-07 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xde6524…
05-07 04:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x599068…
05-07 04:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0c8417…
05-07 04:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x955b87…
05-07 04:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd9b5df…
05-07 04:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xbc2831…
05-07 04:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5606b2…
05-07 04:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb229ff…
05-07 04:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f45f2…