Warlike-Necktie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$648

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-21 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 30% $-95

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$70	217	50	+167	Down	+$29	05-09 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$54	68	40	+28	Down	+$24	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$41	56	37	+19	Up	+$19	05-09 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$29	125	28	+97	Up	+$6	05-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$27	115	0	+115	Down	$-27	05-10 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$25	93	0	+93	Down	$-25	05-09 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$24	33	14	+19	Up	+$4	05-09 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$23	85	15	+70	Up	$-3	05-10 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$22	25	25	+0	Up	+$20	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$22	75	0	+75	Up	$-22	05-09 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$21	51	0	+51	Down	+$31	05-09 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$20	69	0	+69	Down	$-20	05-09 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$20	344	0	+344	Up	$-20	05-09 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$20	1,006	0	+1,006	Up	$-20	05-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$12	05-09 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	12	$16	261	0	+261	Down	$-16	05-09 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$16	129	0	+129	Down	$-16	05-09 15:08
btc updown 5m 1782049200	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	06-21 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$15	49	0	+49	Down	$-15	05-09 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$15	58	0	+58	Up	$-15	05-09 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 14:25
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	06-21 13:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	05-09 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$10	26	0	+26	Up	$-3	05-09 17:33
btc updown 5m 1771449000	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	02-18 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Down	$-7	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$7	155	0	+155	Up	$-7	05-09 15:05
btc updown 15m 1770238800	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 21:01
btc updown 15m 1770224400	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	02-04 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 13:47:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x708af9…
06-21 13:43:23	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xb1376a…
06-21 13:40:19	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x56c292…
05-10 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x83a086…
05-10 13:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4c668e…
05-10 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0x01e743…
05-10 13:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6d36d6…
05-10 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8f779c…
05-10 13:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5b99a7…
05-10 13:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xc628ea…
05-10 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd12869…
05-10 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa54dba…
05-10 13:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x503f15…
05-10 13:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x38c5ee…
05-10 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x693e5f…
05-10 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x29d065…
05-10 13:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc44571…
05-10 13:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8c5d69…
05-10 13:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x642325…
05-09 19:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf6b88a…
05-09 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x01e7a2…
05-09 19:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc9d0f9…
05-09 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0037dd…
05-09 19:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xf54cf3…
05-09 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd72202…
05-09 19:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xac8f3b…
05-09 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f111d…
05-09 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xf8ac82…
05-09 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa73ef9…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xdbec23…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbf65ee…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbf0a00…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xae7d53…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x993beb…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7e903f…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x499f80…
05-09 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x11e4d5…
05-09 19:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x641535…
05-09 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9d694f…
05-09 19:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdac03f…
05-09 19:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4face8…
05-09 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb09d30…
05-09 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x30ff2a…
05-09 19:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x68442e…
05-09 19:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x28318d…
05-09 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x33d099…
05-09 18:37:15	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x5b06b2…
05-09 18:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x218979…
05-09 18:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x103d67…
05-09 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x159f17…
05-09 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0xac09bd…
05-09 18:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x774b64…
05-09 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x24c539…
05-09 18:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x97e4ed…
05-09 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1c462c…
05-09 18:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8f57bf…
05-09 18:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xd62183…
05-09 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x4f6f6d…
05-09 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xba0e4d…
05-09 18:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9f89c9…
05-09 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xad99dc…
05-09 18:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x66340f…
05-09 18:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc10d10…
05-09 18:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd3cf67…
05-09 18:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3ddb26…
05-09 17:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xdd164a…
05-09 17:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x406a19…
05-09 17:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x88eb70…
05-09 17:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9cde08…
05-09 17:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8332f5…
05-09 17:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x4965b6…
05-09 17:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xfd476c…
05-09 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xf614e3…
05-09 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe480ba…
05-09 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd91b86…
05-09 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf02263…
05-09 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdeb93e…
05-09 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x75edf6…
05-09 17:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8e703c…
05-09 17:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x250be0…
05-09 17:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe117ea…
05-09 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa8ee19…
05-09 17:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xec787f…
05-09 17:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x23475c…
05-09 17:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2d9c48…
05-09 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x824d26…
05-09 17:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77fb9c…
05-09 17:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbb777f…
05-09 17:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x81fefd…
05-09 17:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	63¢	$17	0x99f90c…
05-09 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3c9161…
05-09 17:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x50bc9c…
05-09 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x08ea83…
05-09 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9015eb…
05-09 15:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa5f158…
05-09 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x82a868…
05-09 15:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x821e7a…
05-09 15:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x80145c…
05-09 15:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb682ad…
05-09 14:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0c63d0…