Black-And-White-Ruckus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-23 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

30% — —

Other

30% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 0% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$253	311	0	+311	open	—	04-20 20:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$250	132	132	+0	open	—	06-03 19:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$221	120	120	+0	open	—	06-01 09:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$201	122	122	+0	open	—	04-29 14:55
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	6	$166	134	134	+0	open	—	05-12 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$164	765	165	+600	open	—	04-30 13:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$148	166	0	+166	open	—	05-25 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$130	75	75	+0	open	—	05-03 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$125	4,498	0	+4,498	open	—	04-30 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$120	72	72	+0	open	—	05-25 17:35
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	2	$113	73	73	+0	open	—	06-17 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$106	750	250	+500	open	—	04-30 13:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$102	83	83	+0	open	—	04-28 07:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$102	106	106	+0	open	—	04-30 10:54
Kash Patel out by May 31?	2	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 17:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$80	195	0	+195	open	—	04-29 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$73	75	75	+0	open	—	04-30 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$72	57	57	+0	open	—	05-02 00:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$69	41	40	+1	open	—	04-30 07:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$60	150	150	+0	open	—	04-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$59	90	90	+0	open	—	04-30 13:19
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	2	$57	79	0	+79	open	—	04-28 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$57	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 00:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$55	65	65	+0	open	—	05-15 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$53	44	44	+0	open	—	05-02 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	05-02 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 00:48
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	3	$21	45	42	+3	open	—	05-03 18:56
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	1	$19	26	0	+26	open	—	06-21 10:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-20 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 18:57:31	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf41dda…
06-23 17:44:50	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8e6218…
06-23 17:34:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x09e1a5…
06-21 10:30:38	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x6788d5…
06-17 19:02:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x922ede…
06-17 17:19:20	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x53de4c…
06-08 19:27:27	btc updown 5m 1780946700	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9cd184…
06-03 19:06:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x933b26…
06-01 09:03:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xb188c9…
06-01 09:01:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x5e9fea…
05-27 20:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x29ad5f…
05-25 17:36:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xca06dc…
05-25 17:35:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xbe9a1f…
05-25 17:30:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	88	89¢	$78	0x24c501…
05-25 17:28:32	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$59	0x8d9c65…
05-21 19:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x54fe11…
05-21 19:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1e74e0…
05-20 11:00:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x00fa8b…
05-18 15:38:05	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x1627f2…
05-15 16:47:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	65	50¢	$32	0xbdeeb7…
05-14 22:15:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	65	35¢	$23	0x9cb269…
05-12 15:38:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	74	93¢	$69	0xa92489…
05-07 19:35:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x485fe4…
05-06 18:24:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x542038…
05-06 17:20:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xa64d52…
05-03 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x454ff4…
05-03 19:23:20	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x8142f9…
05-03 18:56:18	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4a9517…
05-03 18:23:44	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x8cb43a…
05-03 11:15:42	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9a8870…
05-03 10:55:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0xab369e…
05-02 01:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa84709…
05-02 01:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0xbb78f9…
05-02 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8a99de…
05-02 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	66¢	$32	0x508b2c…
05-02 00:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5e502f…
05-02 00:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xaf0fd6…
05-02 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3d3b63…
05-02 00:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xf54548…
05-02 00:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2ed76a…
05-02 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xe18fc9…
05-02 00:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf23900…
05-02 00:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcba91e…
05-02 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0xbc2a70…
05-02 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x3451d0…
05-02 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	61¢	$23	0xc95353…
05-02 00:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x25772d…
05-02 00:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	76¢	$15	0x5f961e…
05-02 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9be483…
05-02 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x597ae7…
04-30 16:59:02	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	66	55¢	$36	0xa574d6…
04-30 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x71b096…
04-30 13:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9fc44e…
04-30 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2f74ae…
04-30 13:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	250	30¢	$76	0xae89e9…
04-30 13:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x0252bf…
04-30 13:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0a7abc…
04-30 13:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x57e4db…
04-30 13:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	165	51¢	$84	0xa0a588…
04-30 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x3a903a…
04-30 13:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xed57a0…
04-30 13:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x1efb8e…
04-30 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	700	6¢	$43	0xdaaa80…
04-30 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,298	4¢	$57	0xbfb9ba…
04-30 13:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x695f18…
04-30 13:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9c51aa…
04-30 13:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0xe26ed5…
04-30 13:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x589eae…
04-30 13:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	90	38¢	$34	0xe214e8…
04-30 13:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x8cc8ec…
04-30 12:51:34	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x1ddf14…
04-30 12:51:10	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc1540c…
04-30 12:50:46	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5dfeb6…
04-30 12:27:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x29e488…
04-30 10:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	106	49¢	$52	0x61d2a9…
04-30 09:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xbb4cef…
04-30 07:53:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x4cf4fb…
04-29 14:55:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x8f2a9c…
04-29 10:18:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1fb924…
04-28 20:07:42	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbe97d3…
04-28 20:02:40	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x20b319…
04-28 07:47:52	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x237400…
04-28 07:41:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x9a6069…
04-27 21:00:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xae2361…
04-27 20:56:20	Clavicular arrested again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0x57748f…
04-26 18:57:34	Clavicular arrested again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0xd3f491…
04-24 17:28:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xa2a890…
04-23 18:49:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0x021a48…
04-23 18:28:26	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xe36db5…
04-23 18:19:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	66¢	$80	0x756c93…
04-23 18:19:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	16¢	$24	0xb1f60e…
04-23 14:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x555437…
04-23 14:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xf6ef28…
04-23 14:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x008510…
04-23 14:28:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	24¢	$24	0x255ffa…
04-23 14:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x994ab1…
04-23 14:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x47e5e8…
04-23 14:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ec30b…
04-23 14:28:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x219d84…
04-23 14:24:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x878de6…