Fuzzy-Bellows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

352

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	13	$90	94	79	+15	Up	+$5	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$79	106	48	+58	Up	$-31	05-08 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	7	$64	47	46	+0	Up	+$14	05-08 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$58	49	49	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	7	$56	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	10	$56	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	8	$45	33	33	+0	Up	$-5	05-06 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$44	31	31	+0	Up	+$14	05-08 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	7	$42	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$37	23	23	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$32	49	28	+21	Up	$-8	05-06 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$29	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	23	$28	24	7	+17	Up	+$2	05-10 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	$-25	05-08 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$8	05-08 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$25	34	0	+34	Up	+$9	05-09 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$24	30	9	+21	Down	$-16	05-06 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$21	19	7	+12	Down	+$3	05-06 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$21	37	11	+25	Down	$-9	05-08 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$20	45	0	+45	Up	$-20	05-06 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$18	16	10	+6	Up	+$3	05-08 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	Up	$-15	05-06 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$15	20	0	+20	Up	+$5	05-06 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	15	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-10 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9c8847…
05-16 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x9dfdbd…
05-16 17:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4418a8…
05-16 16:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa7b02…
05-16 16:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb65d79…
05-16 16:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7fa760…
05-16 16:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x128585…
05-16 12:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x48b193…
05-15 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bb17e…
05-15 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fc2c3…
05-15 13:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9871bb…
05-12 09:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x164e13…
05-12 09:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x236799…
05-12 09:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0x302a92…
05-12 09:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x846f89…
05-12 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x9a4098…
05-12 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0830e9…
05-12 08:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x873a5b…
05-12 08:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdc6e83…
05-12 08:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x49d3f4…
05-11 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xb19bd6…
05-11 18:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7418f…
05-11 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb1a8ea…
05-11 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86acb2…
05-11 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7b11a5…
05-11 18:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe90c05…
05-11 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6c40e…
05-11 10:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c5130…
05-11 10:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc4b90…
05-11 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89441e…
05-11 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x337f30…
05-11 08:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4eca67…
05-11 07:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9713f3…
05-11 07:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4bd688…
05-10 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c6f7c…
05-10 21:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ea812…
05-10 21:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2937ca…
05-10 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x757273…
05-10 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x689b46…
05-10 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b4b3d…
05-10 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x179975…
05-10 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d6154…
05-10 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56a207…
05-10 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4fe47d…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc28e56…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x889387…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x658ea0…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x589733…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b974e…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x086fe1…
05-10 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d7040…
05-10 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xa498ce…
05-10 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc40f2c…
05-10 21:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7debfc…
05-10 21:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb2c655…
05-10 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x85eb9f…
05-10 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe942bb…
05-10 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9055f…
05-10 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd76a88…
05-10 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x537bfb…
05-10 20:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf21f34…
05-10 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb1a9bb…
05-10 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf287f…
05-10 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b5038…
05-10 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05dc02…
05-10 20:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x979516…
05-10 20:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xef7038…
05-10 20:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac13d4…
05-10 20:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x318611…
05-10 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe06e7e…
05-10 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x917cd8…
05-10 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90dc7b…
05-10 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa2a13c…
05-10 18:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbefd19…
05-10 18:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc8c6fb…
05-10 18:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x6d4336…
05-10 18:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x13e1f3…
05-10 18:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xd2e855…
05-10 18:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd58282…
05-10 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xe11332…
05-10 18:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x76e3a5…
05-10 18:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2e5301…
05-10 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x169f73…
05-10 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9033b4…
05-10 18:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa5de14…
05-10 18:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe2cb4c…
05-10 18:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcb4520…
05-10 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcccf5e…
05-10 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x14d85b…
05-10 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e9a66…
05-10 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xa471e4…
05-10 18:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa79261…
05-10 17:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8c284c…
05-10 17:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcefcf3…
05-10 17:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x61ced8…
05-10 17:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x01634f…
05-10 12:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7edf48…
05-10 11:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93e3d8…
05-10 11:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd6fb0a…
05-10 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc450b1…