Plain-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

238

Trades

644

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$1.3K	1,093	1,093	+0	Down	+$27	05-11 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$864	515	515	+0	Up	+$64	05-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$605	393	393	+0	Down	+$165	05-13 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$549	380	380	+0	Down	+$49	05-13 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$523	279	279	+0	Down	+$23	05-11 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	13	$497	301	301	+0	Up	+$27	05-13 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	8	$490	389	389	+0	Down	+$210	05-13 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$479	368	368	+0	Up	$-25	05-13 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$430	265	265	+0	Down	+$26	05-12 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$410	293	293	+0	Up	+$30	05-13 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	12	$405	287	287	+0	Up	+$57	05-13 08:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$400	221	221	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$339	259	259	+0	Down	+$70	05-13 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$321	543	543	+0	Up	$-13	05-13 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$267	148	148	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$242	193	193	+0	Down	+$42	05-11 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$241	307	307	+0	Up	$-85	05-13 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$230	460	0	+460	Down	$-230	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$230	235	0	+235	Up	+$5	05-12 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	11	$225	153	153	+0	Down	+$69	05-12 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$210	160	160	+0	Down	+$40	05-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$206	123	123	+0	Down	+$34	05-13 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$200	278	62	+216	Up	$-100	05-13 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$199	110	110	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$198	130	130	+0	Up	+$58	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$177	283	192	+91	Up	+$10	05-09 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	13	$164	122	122	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	8	$151	156	156	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$151	132	29	+103	Down	+$6	05-12 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x1d00d5…
05-14 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x0d1726…
05-14 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x01b596…
05-14 12:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe5a026…
05-14 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7cf6ce…
05-14 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x6d136c…
05-14 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x287a58…
05-14 12:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2bea23…
05-14 11:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	91	74¢	$68	0x4e0f8b…
05-14 11:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x4970ca…
05-14 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x5f8821…
05-14 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x019457…
05-14 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x1e99ad…
05-14 11:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x5206de…
05-14 11:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x301f45…
05-14 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3ab363…
05-14 11:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x40792e…
05-14 11:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x44687f…
05-14 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4c2241…
05-14 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd5187c…
05-14 11:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x7b00b2…
05-14 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xb12859…
05-14 11:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x81952c…
05-14 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3a6c9e…
05-14 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2ff0e6…
05-14 10:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8ae514…
05-14 10:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xd202e0…
05-14 10:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xdedf0f…
05-14 10:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x6111bf…
05-14 10:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa873ab…
05-14 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xbe0b21…
05-14 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x5a0528…
05-14 10:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x482bbc…
05-14 10:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x66f17c…
05-14 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xf7d3bb…
05-14 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xbe12a6…
05-14 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x786049…
05-14 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x396bd0…
05-14 10:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdede6b…
05-14 10:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xbae57a…
05-14 10:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x5fc45b…
05-14 10:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x48cca3…
05-14 10:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x097f48…
05-14 10:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x39d35c…
05-14 10:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5bf424…
05-14 10:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xcd0eae…
05-14 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xd19844…
05-13 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x1d2c70…
05-13 21:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xf23811…
05-13 21:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xb1c4e4…
05-13 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb141ff…
05-13 21:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xd4bf9e…
05-13 21:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xa0c00c…
05-13 21:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa75f86…
05-13 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x6198e2…
05-13 17:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x35959b…
05-13 17:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x2c7e84…
05-13 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x66c1ab…
05-13 17:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x53483a…
05-13 17:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb64b21…
05-13 17:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7e6c8b…
05-13 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3ed097…
05-13 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc9b9bb…
05-13 17:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf9d311…
05-13 17:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x6d271c…
05-13 17:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x3eaa2c…
05-13 17:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x33ae2a…
05-13 17:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x557e8a…
05-13 17:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x7de1aa…
05-13 17:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xb8c5ba…
05-13 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x5c39f6…
05-13 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xeee8f0…
05-13 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe3d231…
05-13 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x8d6062…
05-13 16:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x65a889…
05-13 16:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x22f8c6…
05-13 16:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x719cf4…
05-13 16:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x918279…
05-13 16:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf7217e…
05-13 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd75ebe…
05-13 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x07c1d5…
05-13 16:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xff6ecb…
05-13 16:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0x4e796c…
05-13 16:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x272e58…
05-13 16:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0xbc1204…
05-13 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x537c81…
05-13 16:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf0b5ae…
05-13 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0x91a03d…
05-13 16:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf7d0d6…
05-13 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x65f019…
05-13 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x7c8aa5…
05-13 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x44c16e…
05-13 15:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x13298b…
05-13 15:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2acd91…
05-13 15:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xb08cd6…
05-13 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xbb8d1f…
05-13 15:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbbe60b…
05-13 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9cb215…
05-13 15:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb6e7ea…
05-13 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xde1d9a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	257	$613	355	05-14 12:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	256	$108.3K	8,281	05-14 12:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	253	$256.2K	10,168	05-14 12:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	253	$34.6K	3,168	05-14 12:54
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	253	$557	1,761	05-14 12:54
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	252	$111.5K	18,626	05-14 12:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	252	$55.2K	15,550	05-14 12:54
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	252	$50.1K	8,013	05-14 12:54