Plain-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

238

Trades

721

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-03 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$1.3K	1,093	1,093	+0	Down	+$27	05-11 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$864	515	515	+0	Up	+$64	05-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$605	393	393	+0	Down	+$165	05-13 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$549	380	380	+0	Down	+$49	05-13 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$523	279	279	+0	Down	+$23	05-11 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	13	$497	301	301	+0	Up	+$27	05-13 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	8	$490	389	389	+0	Down	+$210	05-13 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$479	368	368	+0	Up	$-25	05-13 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$430	265	265	+0	Down	+$26	05-12 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$410	293	293	+0	Up	+$30	05-13 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	12	$405	287	287	+0	Up	+$57	05-13 08:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$400	221	221	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$339	259	259	+0	Down	+$70	05-13 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$321	543	543	+0	Up	$-13	05-13 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$267	148	148	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$242	193	193	+0	Down	+$42	05-11 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$241	307	307	+0	Up	$-85	05-13 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$230	460	0	+460	Down	$-230	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$230	235	0	+235	Up	+$5	05-12 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	11	$225	153	153	+0	Down	+$69	05-12 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$210	160	160	+0	Down	+$40	05-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$206	123	123	+0	Down	+$34	05-13 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$200	278	62	+216	Up	$-100	05-13 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$199	110	110	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$198	130	130	+0	Up	+$58	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$177	283	192	+91	Up	+$10	05-09 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	13	$164	122	122	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	8	$151	156	156	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$151	132	29	+103	Down	+$6	05-12 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 10:53:43	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x344a90…
07-03 10:52:55	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Up	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x5f3120…
07-03 10:51:40	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x01ad7b…
07-03 10:40:17	btc updown 5m 1783075200	Down	BUY	114	50¢	$57	0xce1350…
07-03 10:22:34	btc updown 5m 1783074300	Up	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x5281b5…
07-03 10:20:01	btc updown 5m 1783074000	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x4676b0…
07-03 10:17:08	btc updown 5m 1783073700	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa4e3b0…
07-03 10:14:47	btc updown 5m 1783073700	Up	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0xf501f3…
07-03 10:09:34	btc updown 5m 1783073400	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x4d2ad1…
07-03 10:05:41	btc updown 5m 1783073100	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x22c7e3…
07-03 09:59:17	btc updown 5m 1783072500	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb8150b…
07-02 13:35:46	btc updown 5m 1782999300	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x72c198…
07-02 12:28:53	btc updown 5m 1782995100	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x2e3702…
07-02 12:28:35	btc updown 5m 1782995100	Up	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0x7f5361…
07-02 12:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa24bfb…
07-02 12:19:29	btc updown 5m 1782994500	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xb96fd9…
07-02 12:18:47	btc updown 5m 1782994500	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x3af546…
07-02 11:59:08	btc updown 5m 1782993300	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xfcc749…
07-02 11:49:38	btc updown 5m 1782992700	Down	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x1177f6…
07-02 11:44:40	btc updown 5m 1782992400	Up	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x043a51…
07-02 11:44:25	btc updown 5m 1782992400	Up	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0xcae9ee…
07-02 11:34:50	btc updown 5m 1782991800	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x1d615e…
07-02 11:31:19	btc updown 5m 1782991800	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xa6cf63…
07-02 11:29:17	btc updown 5m 1782991500	Down	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0xeccf5b…
07-02 11:23:59	btc updown 5m 1782991500	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xa1359c…
07-02 11:21:53	btc updown 5m 1782991200	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd2a18c…
07-02 11:15:43	btc updown 5m 1782990900	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1367fc…
07-02 11:13:34	btc updown 5m 1782990600	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xae3f9a…
07-02 11:13:34	btc updown 5m 1782990600	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x44f75e…
07-02 11:11:13	btc updown 5m 1782990600	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5099a3…
07-02 11:04:37	btc updown 5m 1782990000	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xee45b9…
07-02 11:02:28	btc updown 5m 1782990000	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x605fa1…
07-02 10:43:10	btc updown 5m 1782988800	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x0cf893…
07-02 10:42:49	btc updown 5m 1782988800	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6493a9…
07-02 10:38:50	btc updown 5m 1782988500	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x81c254…
07-02 10:38:50	btc updown 5m 1782988500	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4870dc…
07-02 10:38:26	btc updown 5m 1782988500	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x384cd1…
07-02 10:34:31	btc updown 5m 1782988200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x62f9fd…
07-02 10:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782988200	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x475076…
06-29 16:37:59	btc updown 5m 1782751200	Down	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xe0a537…
06-29 16:36:37	btc updown 5m 1782750900	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe6abbe…
06-29 16:30:19	btc updown 5m 1782750600	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x7863b0…
06-29 16:29:32	btc updown 5m 1782750600	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6c0cc1…
06-29 16:25:25	btc updown 5m 1782750300	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xab43ea…
06-29 16:21:28	btc updown 5m 1782750000	Up	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x300b96…
06-29 16:21:26	btc updown 5m 1782750000	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x5a332a…
06-29 16:16:59	btc updown 5m 1782749700	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xc2624f…
06-29 16:16:59	btc updown 5m 1782749700	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x6310ce…
06-29 16:16:58	btc updown 5m 1782749700	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1a0210…
06-29 16:09:58	btc updown 5m 1782749100	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2fc6a6…
06-29 16:05:43	btc updown 5m 1782749100	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x595602…
06-29 15:56:49	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xab5aff…
06-29 15:56:49	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5066ea…
06-29 15:55:40	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8bc513…
06-29 15:54:35	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Up	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xf94087…
06-29 15:53:40	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x34066e…
06-29 15:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d895e…
06-29 15:51:28	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xbc812d…
06-29 15:51:26	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x770491…
06-29 15:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfc25b3…
06-29 15:48:11	btc updown 5m 1782747900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc2bb7…
06-29 15:44:59	btc updown 5m 1782747600	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1f2874…
06-29 15:44:40	btc updown 5m 1782747600	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4a2017…
06-29 15:40:59	btc updown 5m 1782747600	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xefe2da…
06-29 15:40:17	btc updown 5m 1782747600	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x961bb1…
06-29 14:45:16	btc updown 5m 1782744300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x67153a…
06-29 14:45:14	btc updown 5m 1782744300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2f7a2c…
06-29 14:37:37	btc updown 5m 1782743700	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xf001ce…
06-29 14:35:34	btc updown 5m 1782743700	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0fe4d9…
06-29 14:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782743400	Down	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x754594…
06-29 14:30:28	btc updown 5m 1782743400	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xd98521…
06-29 14:30:28	btc updown 5m 1782743400	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x37e927…
06-29 14:25:44	btc updown 5m 1782743100	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x40c469…
06-29 14:22:41	btc updown 5m 1782742800	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x33ff69…
06-29 13:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782741300	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x40fa31…
06-29 13:55:50	btc updown 5m 1782741300	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6c09cd…
06-29 13:48:04	btc updown 5m 1782740700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9b06af…
05-14 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x1d00d5…
05-14 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x0d1726…
05-14 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x01b596…
05-14 12:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe5a026…
05-14 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7cf6ce…
05-14 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x6d136c…
05-14 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x287a58…
05-14 12:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2bea23…
05-14 11:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	91	74¢	$68	0x4e0f8b…
05-14 11:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x4970ca…
05-14 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x5f8821…
05-14 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x019457…
05-14 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x1e99ad…
05-14 11:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x5206de…
05-14 11:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x301f45…
05-14 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3ab363…
05-14 11:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x40792e…
05-14 11:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x44687f…
05-14 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4c2241…
05-14 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd5187c…
05-14 11:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x7b00b2…
05-14 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xb12859…
05-14 11:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x81952c…