Lovely-Lookout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	01-23 09:43
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	02-10 03:02
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$53	104	0	+104	open	—	02-08 02:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$48	25	23	+2	open	—	05-26 06:58
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	2	$44	25	19	+6	open	—	05-18 03:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	01-23 09:49
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 23	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-23 09:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-05 10:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-23 09:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	01-23 09:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	06-08 07:40
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	02-23 09:09
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-08 07:40
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 09:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-10 03:17
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 09:09
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 10:00
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-03 01:39
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-24 06:32
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	01-05 04:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-10 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-05 10:03
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-23 09:09
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-03 01:39
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-03 01:40
bitcoin above 80k on april 1	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-30 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-17 03:32
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-17 03:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-08 02:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-17 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:41:28	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x884e7a…
06-08 07:41:13	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeae94f…
06-08 07:40:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x08c4f1…
06-08 07:40:36	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc66c59…
06-08 07:39:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5eb542…
05-26 06:58:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0998f6…
05-18 03:05:14	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa7023f…
05-16 07:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbba1be…
05-16 07:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf3393…
05-05 10:05:06	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6af238…
05-05 10:03:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7d8d06…
05-05 10:03:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9817d2…
05-05 10:02:16	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x87a982…
05-05 10:00:14	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x58b9d7…
05-05 09:59:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8cbfe6…
04-10 02:20:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x26a211…
04-10 02:20:19	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaba42a…
04-10 02:20:13	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad0f5f…
04-10 02:19:59	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23aa60…
04-10 02:19:49	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 440 459	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9623bb…
04-10 02:19:45	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5bbd5d…
04-03 01:41:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 6	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9a8066…
04-03 01:41:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 5	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2b36dd…
04-03 01:40:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1160d5…
04-03 01:40:39	bitcoin above 56k on april 5	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xae99c5…
04-03 01:40:29	bitcoin above 58k on april 4	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1b272e…
04-03 01:40:09	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x322fab…
04-03 01:39:57	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xba5162…
04-03 01:39:43	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1ea85…
04-03 01:39:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa228a2…
03-31 01:27:51	will bitcoin reach 70k on march 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2b7e4…
03-31 01:27:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb37597…
03-31 01:27:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52308…
03-30 02:51:34	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4939ff…
03-30 02:51:18	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x631c41…
03-30 02:51:12	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b8ba6…
03-30 02:51:06	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8446a…
03-30 02:50:06	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 29	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe69280…
03-30 02:49:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c84e3…
03-30 02:49:42	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x799fbe…
03-30 02:49:28	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfdc027…
03-17 03:33:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6d9f95…
03-17 03:33:27	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1548b5…
03-17 03:33:07	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xebf4bc…
03-17 03:33:01	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x48c1d7…
03-17 03:32:57	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x437fea…
03-17 03:32:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x877193…
03-17 03:32:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2610c5…
03-17 03:32:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeb9e74…
03-09 02:28:49	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa60327…
03-09 02:28:35	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Rockets	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c3290…
03-09 02:28:09	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58f74d…
03-09 02:28:05	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6a1424…
03-09 02:27:59	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8bfb6…
03-09 02:27:47	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x899880…
03-09 02:27:39	ethereum above 2600 on march 11	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa3abd4…
03-09 02:27:35	ethereum above 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ab16e…
03-09 02:27:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xab4df2…
03-09 02:26:55	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32289b…
03-09 02:26:47	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x67d74d…
03-09 02:26:33	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0df3cc…
03-09 02:26:27	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ce910…
03-09 02:26:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1fa5a7…
03-09 02:26:13	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fa739…
02-23 09:10:06	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x87508d…
02-23 09:09:36	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb85135…
02-23 09:09:30	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc39432…
02-23 09:09:24	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3618c6…
02-10 03:18:13	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbddabd…
02-10 03:18:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1e5fb4…
02-10 03:17:53	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf3675d…
02-10 03:17:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x40bfb2…
02-10 03:17:21	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12c333…
02-10 03:02:27	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x978edf…
02-08 02:27:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc35ca3…
02-08 02:27:05	will bitcoin reach 84k february 2 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x77fa5e…
02-08 02:26:39	ethereum above 1800 on february 8	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9b0653…
02-08 02:26:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x157356…
02-08 02:25:49	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfefd6e…
02-08 02:25:25	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x252fa4…
01-29 10:45:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 29	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x230cfc…
01-29 10:45:10	ethereum above 2600 on january 29	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x350234…
01-29 10:44:12	Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2e16d3…
01-29 10:43:32	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8647c…
01-24 06:33:52	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0xfa79ed…
01-24 06:32:58	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac9929…
01-23 09:50:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 23	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf28b83…
01-23 09:50:24	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 23	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x348dd1…
01-23 09:49:58	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x158028…
01-23 09:49:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xbc7ad0…
01-23 09:43:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$51	0x5f1a88…
01-13 01:31:27	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on january 13	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xab100d…
01-05 04:08:09	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xef6bb3…
01-05 04:07:55	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x25da65…
01-05 04:07:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x809f7c…