Merry-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 04-24 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

35% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$1.1K	538	538	+0	open	—	03-22 15:39
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$968	484	484	+0	open	—	03-24 03:05
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$884	442	442	+0	open	—	02-27 22:28
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$848	425	425	+0	open	—	04-01 06:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$798	401	401	+0	open	—	04-15 03:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$494	247	247	+0	open	—	02-24 22:38
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$474	238	238	+0	open	—	04-04 17:47
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	02-15 01:10
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$454	227	227	+0	open	—	04-24 03:34
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	04-02 14:07
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	04-07 21:36
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	03-27 10:10
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	04-18 02:40
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$442	222	222	+0	open	—	03-21 11:08
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	02-10 10:31
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$424	213	213	+0	open	—	03-28 23:09
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$418	210	210	+0	open	—	04-19 01:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	03-25 00:29
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$416	208	208	+0	No	$-0	04-04 04:44
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$414	208	208	+0	open	—	04-06 00:00
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	03-15 07:43
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$404	202	202	+0	open	—	03-23 12:52
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-13 06:01
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$398	199	199	+0	open	—	03-19 23:38
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	3	$397	199	199	+0	open	—	02-18 01:53
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$388	195	195	+0	open	—	02-10 08:16
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	03-16 04:39
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$382	191	191	+0	No	$-0	04-21 05:12
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$370	185	185	+0	No	$-0	04-03 19:30
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	03-27 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 03:34:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x64c160…
04-22 14:43:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x34d219…
04-21 05:12:48	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x5f59cd…
04-20 23:34:32	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x75d8d1…
04-19 01:46:40	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x7b1e8e…
04-18 23:58:42	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x6beac7…
04-18 23:58:24	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x743370…
04-18 18:50:00	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x0d627e…
04-18 02:40:40	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0xf3b9a4…
04-17 18:24:12	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xf492a7…
04-15 03:06:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0x2234b1…
04-14 21:49:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0xe0d9e1…
04-08 01:26:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0xafcad7…
04-07 21:36:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x4b1bcb…
04-07 21:36:31	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xe5efd5…
04-07 19:36:01	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x0d2c8e…
04-06 22:33:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x6d5825…
04-06 19:09:47	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x81c6ec…
04-06 00:00:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x59a5d9…
04-05 20:20:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x347317…
04-04 17:47:49	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0x3d5f7d…
04-04 14:05:03	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x251792…
04-04 04:44:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x8d260c…
04-04 02:18:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x36a867…
04-03 19:30:25	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x48c872…
04-03 16:31:19	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x08e748…
04-02 14:07:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x980ac2…
04-02 04:47:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x4c6267…
04-01 06:19:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0xb3f52e…
04-01 04:11:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x7e9af2…
03-31 08:36:01	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x247e35…
03-31 03:40:29	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x6afb9c…
03-30 23:43:27	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x910484…
03-30 15:06:37	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5782c9…
03-29 23:02:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xb8a51e…
03-29 19:12:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xeee2d1…
03-28 23:09:38	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0xbca327…
03-28 19:23:20	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x38d3a1…
03-28 14:53:23	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x9941b0…
03-28 12:04:09	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x9c54d5…
03-28 08:15:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0xf09e39…
03-28 04:50:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x743859…
03-27 10:10:47	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x168e48…
03-27 08:34:07	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x649e5c…
03-27 01:33:07	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xc78c17…
03-26 18:26:21	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xb358bc…
03-25 14:47:13	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0xdc9ba7…
03-25 07:37:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x137fcd…
03-25 00:29:53	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x0253f8…
03-24 17:18:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xa4a583…
03-24 03:05:47	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xf4c7ad…
03-23 20:01:03	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7d669d…
03-23 20:00:51	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x2c47e4…
03-23 12:52:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x956bac…
03-23 12:52:01	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xd7056d…
03-23 05:45:13	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x8981fd…
03-22 15:39:59	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x2dda3f…
03-22 08:36:49	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xa42195…
03-21 11:08:15	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x70af89…
03-21 03:57:55	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xfd9aea…
03-19 23:38:41	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0x187873…
03-19 16:33:37	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xb3a06a…
03-19 16:33:13	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x1af8ea…
03-19 09:32:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa1d40a…
03-18 19:28:21	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x6c2340…
03-18 12:18:01	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x0db7ab…
03-18 12:17:33	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xa5da21…
03-18 05:20:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x9fd5f2…
03-16 04:39:05	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x2ef472…
03-15 21:34:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x4594b9…
03-15 14:38:55	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0xe80418…
03-15 07:43:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xe9a63a…
03-15 07:43:19	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x3a79ba…
03-15 00:53:15	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x807c11…
03-15 00:52:55	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xa20ce9…
03-14 17:54:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x2bd4b1…
03-14 04:11:45	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x22f360…
03-13 21:22:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x1a56b7…
03-13 06:01:25	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x60a132…
03-12 18:46:49	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7381f8…
03-07 14:54:19	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xfab8c4…
03-06 05:20:37	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x6c16f2…
03-05 22:07:35	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xea6997…
03-05 18:46:09	nba lal den 2026 03 05	Nuggets	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0xa1bf85…
03-05 18:45:33	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Wizards	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xe57eda…
03-03 21:06:13	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x73b6f5…
03-03 11:03:03	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xd6212a…
03-03 11:02:35	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x0ef4f6…
03-03 03:07:01	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0x5f85b8…
02-27 22:28:19	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x845905…
02-27 19:42:39	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0x630912…
02-24 22:38:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0x897a01…
02-24 13:26:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x13c918…
02-24 06:14:10	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x59d353…
02-22 20:36:10	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x7d54f3…
02-18 01:53:33	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xf1ec44…
02-18 01:53:15	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0xf7bccf…
02-15 14:49:09	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x4c7366…
02-15 01:10:45	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xf294ef…
02-15 00:12:05	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xcfb212…