Horrible-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

958

Trades

3,395

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	14	$47	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	12	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	10	$39	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	12	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	8	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	12	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$34	25	25	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	8	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	12	$34	30	30	+0	Up	$-5	05-10 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	8	$34	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$34	20	20	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	10	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	12	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	9	$33	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	8	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$33	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$30	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	8	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	9	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$28	25	25	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 01:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdade26…
05-16 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb84a79…
05-16 01:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfb5387…
05-16 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x502406…
05-16 01:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc7c27b…
05-16 01:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb71c02…
05-16 01:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd6eed2…
05-16 01:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc2674d…
05-16 01:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x02e075…
05-16 00:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe45c79…
05-16 00:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd28a3b…
05-16 00:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc1576e…
05-16 00:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84eb4f…
05-16 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9e48e3…
05-16 00:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa1582c…
05-16 00:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5f9fcd…
05-16 00:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7b1b92…
05-16 00:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3b257d…
05-16 00:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x278fb3…
05-16 00:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x413ecf…
05-16 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeeed3b…
05-16 00:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x162deb…
05-16 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0cda50…
05-15 23:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xfecd1b…
05-15 23:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa6e26d…
05-15 23:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7582ca…
05-15 23:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac647f…
05-15 23:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcae1c5…
05-15 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x98b98f…
05-15 23:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x108f6f…
05-15 23:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd3bb66…
05-15 23:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6df2b1…
05-15 23:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3e1ff1…
05-15 23:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x23961f…
05-15 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdb6fa7…
05-15 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x46feda…
05-15 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd4d7cf…
05-15 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2edbc3…
05-15 23:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6e95d0…
05-15 23:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcc1a35…
05-15 23:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x41d879…
05-15 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa16904…
05-15 22:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x406757…
05-15 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x974954…
05-15 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x24d3c6…
05-15 22:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf64018…
05-15 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x669278…
05-15 22:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2c523a…
05-15 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbea9af…
05-15 22:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbaca0d…
05-15 22:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x399de5…
05-15 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfbad44…
05-15 22:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x744c69…
05-15 22:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9222eb…
05-15 21:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x493da3…
05-15 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd05f45…
05-15 21:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x32022e…
05-15 21:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5546a5…
05-15 21:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x114522…
05-15 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8d5e6…
05-15 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xda3510…
05-15 21:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfa2603…
05-15 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb96fb1…
05-15 21:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x883869…
05-15 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xfec142…
05-15 21:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6efdf7…
05-15 21:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x016345…
05-15 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc9b7e3…
05-15 21:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6ac4c7…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x88d277…
05-15 21:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x89e85a…
05-15 21:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x12f41c…
05-15 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7365ae…
05-15 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x414d57…
05-15 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x72bcbd…
05-15 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x70a49e…
05-15 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3f4fc3…
05-15 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9caae3…
05-15 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x48b70b…
05-15 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5839b4…
05-15 20:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1eb3b1…
05-15 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x6e35e1…
05-15 20:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4486f2…
05-15 19:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x816c1f…
05-15 19:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1e8f0d…
05-15 19:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x8d7b39…
05-15 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x95cc5d…
05-15 19:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x984098…
05-15 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb409e2…
05-15 19:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1aa6d5…
05-15 19:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xfcf0f8…
05-15 19:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x372488…
05-15 19:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x841efa…
05-15 19:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdc8d4f…
05-15 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x28de7e…
05-15 19:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb5b8bb…
05-15 19:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5ac453…
05-15 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x54b83a…
05-15 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xead305…
05-15 19:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0bfdfe…