Discrete-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-22 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$0

Other

16% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-16 07:18
ethereum above 3600 on january 11	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-10 06:15
bitcoin above 86k on january 5	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-05 03:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$78	78	+78	open	—	03-02 07:18
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	03-20 07:39
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	03-13 03:09
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-09 06:37
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-01 08:18
ethereum above 2500 on march 28	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	03-27 09:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	05-22 06:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	05-15 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	05-09 08:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	05-12 07:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	04-27 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	04-22 09:43
bitcoin above 76k on february 15	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	02-15 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	04-17 06:24
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	02-04 09:25
ethereum above 1800 on march 5	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	03-05 09:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 6	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	03-05 09:24
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	1	$20	22	+22	open	—	01-27 08:07
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	1	$4	1,400	+1,400	open	—	02-04 09:28
ethereum above 2100 on april 17	1	$2	755	+755	open	—	04-17 06:22
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-05 09:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 27	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-27 09:30
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-04 09:26
will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-04 09:26
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-04 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 06:29:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5b5fd8…
05-15 03:09:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1b9af2…
05-12 07:20:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xda870b…
05-09 08:02:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x90da31…
04-27 06:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x99628b…
04-22 09:43:20	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x6b36a5…
04-17 06:24:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x47a2ed…
04-17 06:22:52	ethereum above 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0xb61ee0…
04-09 06:37:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd16e34…
04-01 08:18:05	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xac4081…
03-27 09:32:43	ethereum above 2500 on march 28	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf2d184…
03-27 09:30:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 27	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xba7b14…
03-20 07:39:47	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x7f46d5…
03-13 03:09:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xba6245…
03-05 09:24:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 6	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xec0500…
03-05 09:15:45	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x619e8e…
03-05 09:14:25	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x84d80f…
03-02 07:18:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa35e96…
03-02 07:16:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7fb5a…
02-15 03:11:23	bitcoin above 76k on february 15	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x579a09…
02-04 09:28:02	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0x1e4d91…
02-04 09:26:36	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d8121…
02-04 09:26:12	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7bea4f…
02-04 09:26:06	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x842ef7…
02-04 09:25:34	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd8afe1…
01-27 08:07:35	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xcf6f75…
01-16 07:18:02	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xbb1727…
01-10 06:15:04	ethereum above 3600 on january 11	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd8ff76…
01-05 03:45:39	bitcoin above 86k on january 5	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x60c458…