Optimistic-Step — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.8%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$475.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.34K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-06 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

96% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% 33% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	74	$248.9K	124,660	124,660	+0	open	—	03-29 03:06
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	28	$68.0K	34,058	34,058	-0	open	—	03-25 15:40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	12	$48.8K	24,454	24,454	+0	open	—	03-30 10:30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$24.2K	12,153	12,153	+0	open	—	03-31 14:27
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$24.2K	12,129	12,129	+0	open	—	03-24 00:02
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$22.9K	11,500	11,500	+0	open	—	03-29 20:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	19	$19.1K	9,645	9,645	+0	open	—	03-25 16:31
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	3	$8.2K	4,114	4,114	+0	open	—	03-18 14:34
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$8.2K	4,112	4,112	+0	open	—	03-18 15:43
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	20	$1.2K	1,012	1,002	+9	open	—	04-30 08:12
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$494	277	277	+0	No	$-16	05-05 07:21
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$373	274	274	+0	open	—	04-30 08:14
itsb ent ven 2026 04 11 ven	2	$266	197	194	+2	open	—	04-11 13:39
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$216	120	119	+1	No	+$18	04-10 20:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$179	167	167	+0	open	—	04-30 11:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$16	256	6	+250	Up	$-4	05-06 12:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1da07d…
05-06 12:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x0f6ae5…
05-06 12:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd668b8…
05-05 07:21:58	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	191	85¢	$163	0x3a2166…
05-05 07:12:40	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	89¢	$76	0x6c3b03…
05-05 06:57:24	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	277	92¢	$255	0x4b6ebc…
04-30 11:10:40	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0xbf1582…
04-30 11:08:40	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd069cb…
04-30 10:59:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	139	57¢	$79	0x8ff8b8…
04-30 10:50:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x46a091…
04-30 10:41:42	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	104	58¢	$60	0xa97a65…
04-30 08:14:42	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	274	97¢	$265	0x19d475…
04-30 08:12:46	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,002	98¢	$979	0xdfc203…
04-29 12:15:34	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x81235c…
04-29 12:15:26	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8aeb0c…
04-29 12:15:22	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xad91e0…
04-29 10:38:04	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x0e517a…
04-29 10:37:30	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf04a4e…
04-29 10:36:02	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0ef278…
04-29 10:35:52	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8a393d…
04-29 10:35:06	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x048f7f…
04-29 10:31:28	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe37445…
04-29 10:31:06	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb45896…
04-29 10:30:40	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb78df8…
04-29 10:30:26	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x44d67a…
04-29 10:30:06	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfcabdb…
04-29 08:33:40	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xe9b66c…
04-29 08:33:14	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa657e9…
04-29 08:32:56	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1ae02e…
04-29 08:31:22	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdfba8d…
04-29 08:31:18	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4fdfca…
04-29 07:41:00	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x71ab65…
04-29 07:40:12	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2e338b…
04-29 07:39:26	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9754ad…
04-29 07:39:10	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa49771…
04-29 07:38:56	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x230459…
04-29 07:38:44	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb27b2f…
04-29 07:38:14	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc3c423…
04-29 07:37:52	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2774d3…
04-29 07:37:44	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x363ad5…
04-29 07:37:28	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf41011…
04-29 07:27:30	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	278	24¢	$67	0xc8114a…
04-28 09:09:24	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	145	10¢	$14	0xcd06af…
04-11 13:39:49	itsb ent ven 2026 04 11 ven	Yes	SELL	194	77¢	$150	0x250b18…
04-11 10:39:31	itsb ent ven 2026 04 11 ven	Yes	BUY	197	59¢	$116	0x593135…
04-10 20:02:05	OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	119	98¢	$117	0x4d1480…
04-10 19:59:29	OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5db6ac…
03-31 14:27:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,053	100¢	$4,041	0x9e41f3…
03-31 11:13:49	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,053	100¢	$4,045	0x4ebd2a…
03-31 11:07:33	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,050	100¢	$4,038	0x06f8be…
03-31 10:52:49	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,050	100¢	$4,042	0x8744b6…
03-30 15:30:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,050	100¢	$4,038	0x1ed468…
03-30 14:59:15	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,050	100¢	$4,042	0x6c53a7…
03-30 10:30:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,058	100¢	$4,046	0x654641…
03-30 09:53:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,058	100¢	$4,050	0x56510d…
03-30 09:11:18	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,070	100¢	$4,058	0xb235e6…
03-30 08:55:46	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,070	100¢	$4,062	0xeb12e9…
03-30 08:42:32	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,065	100¢	$4,053	0xfb684b…
03-30 08:27:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,065	100¢	$4,057	0x38e58e…
03-29 20:57:56	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	3,357	100¢	$3,347	0x2fde00…
03-29 20:54:02	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3,357	100¢	$3,350	0xbeade9…
03-29 20:40:20	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,072	100¢	$4,060	0x608421…
03-29 20:25:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,072	100¢	$4,064	0x2c503f…
03-29 19:23:26	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,071	100¢	$4,059	0x48e5d7…
03-29 18:23:24	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,071	100¢	$4,063	0xb52bea…
03-29 18:22:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,080	100¢	$4,068	0x2a9c03…
03-29 15:57:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,080	100¢	$4,072	0x8f29ac…
03-29 15:46:26	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,086	100¢	$4,074	0x84bf78…
03-29 15:09:28	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,086	100¢	$4,078	0xb18bca…
03-29 09:55:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4,095	100¢	$4,083	0x701117…
03-29 09:49:58	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4,095	100¢	$4,087	0x9b8f59…
03-29 03:06:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,093	100¢	$4,085	0x7d513e…
03-29 00:46:56	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,093	100¢	$4,089	0x32cff0…
03-29 00:32:56	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,098	100¢	$4,090	0xf11587…
03-28 22:38:54	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,098	100¢	$4,094	0x504000…
03-28 22:18:36	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,102	100¢	$4,094	0x373800…
03-28 20:42:02	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,102	100¢	$4,098	0x1d7ee3…
03-28 19:56:00	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,107	100¢	$4,099	0xb67fa9…
03-28 13:58:07	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,107	100¢	$4,103	0x990736…
03-28 12:46:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,114	100¢	$4,106	0x489ed0…
03-28 12:31:03	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,114	100¢	$4,110	0x31e915…
03-28 00:50:13	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,110	100¢	$4,102	0x9b287f…
03-28 00:43:59	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,110	100¢	$4,106	0x977e88…
03-28 00:39:09	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,118	100¢	$4,110	0xab900f…
03-28 00:24:17	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,118	100¢	$4,114	0x1475da…
03-28 00:19:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,123	100¢	$4,115	0x871494…
03-28 00:08:49	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,123	100¢	$4,119	0x3af8b1…
03-27 23:54:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	4,125	100¢	$4,117	0x8813f4…
03-27 23:45:51	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4,125	100¢	$4,121	0x99e7ea…
03-27 23:37:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,820	100¢	$2,814	0x6b0141…
03-27 23:31:59	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2,820	100¢	$2,817	0x97c498…
03-27 22:32:45	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,815	100¢	$2,809	0x89681e…
03-27 22:09:39	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2,815	100¢	$2,812	0x0dae6c…
03-27 16:29:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,817	100¢	$2,811	0x5846c9…
03-27 16:08:35	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2,817	100¢	$2,814	0x67ed6c…
03-27 15:42:37	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,825	100¢	$2,819	0x3a846f…
03-27 15:35:47	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2,825	100¢	$2,822	0xb6b701…
03-27 15:26:09	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,832	100¢	$2,826	0x43d026…
03-27 15:19:55	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2,832	100¢	$2,829	0xc0a573…
03-27 15:00:53	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2,831	100¢	$2,825	0xb01b63…